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SCP-7233 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7233
Expected annual
$17.0M
One-time setup
$39.1M
Annual recurring
$15.4M
Personnel
24
One-time capital costs are dominated by hardened space-based sensors, probe procurement/launch, and specialized equipment; annual recurring costs are driven by staffing, monitoring/operations (Binary Star and sensors), MTF readiness, and contingency reserves. Baseline annual running costs are estimated in the mid-single-digit millions, with incident years capable of adding millions to tens of millions.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $39.1M
Equipment $33.5M
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #7, #8] Binary Star.aic development & server hardware, Beholder Probe twelve build/launch, hardened space-sensor hardware and redundancy, data-center compute/storage hardware, MTF equipment procurement/training gear, and armored/ground transport procurement. Mid-range selections applied (e.g. $10M probe, $20M sensor redundancy tranche).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#11, #17, #18] Amnestic production lab & secure pharmacy build-out, initial laboratory instruments for artifact analysis, and initial research HPC/experimental setup for paraphysics/propulsion studies. Mid-range buildout and initial program setup costs included.
Facilities $2.1M
[#4, #9, #13, #17, #22] Upgrades/deployments for ground monitoring sites, secure debrief/interview facility build-out, long-term evidence/vault build-out, and one-time backup generator/fuel reserve costs. Estimates pick mid-range values for multiple remote sites and a climate-controlled vault.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $15.4M/yr
Contingency Replacement Pool $5.0M/yr
[#19] Insurance-style reserve for replacement of disabled assets (satellites, aircraft, ground equipment); baseline reserve set to cover occasional high-cost replacements without disrupting operations.
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#6, #7] Core personnel salaries (researchers, AI/ML engineers, analysts) and partial MTF standby/operational personnel wages; assumes a team ~24 FTE with benefits/security-clearance premium.
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #18] Binary Star operations and ML ops, Beholder Probe telemetry/ops, hardened sensor operations, data-center operational costs for modeling/storage, and ongoing funded research programs into propulsion/paraphysics at a moderate scale.
Logistics And Transport $1.3M/yr
[#7, #8, #16, #24] MTF rapid-response operating costs, vehicle/marine/rail maintenance and fuel, routine landing-site remediation logistics, and transport/disposal logistics for civilian devices seized at scenes.
Insurance Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#23] Broad reserve to fund large-scale escalations (public breach, mass amnestic campaigns); baseline set low but available for scaled activation.
Facilities Maintenance $800K/yr
[#4, #9, #13, #22] Annual maintenance of ground monitoring sites, debrief/interview facility upkeep, vault climate/control maintenance, and generator/fuel upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $750K/yr
[#14, #15, #20, #25] Retainers and ongoing legal/PR budgets, digital takedown/cyber-retainer baseline, diplomatic/legal coordination retainer, and budgets for archaeological fabrication as an ongoing cover capability.
Witness Handling $300K/yr
[#12] Annual budget for capture, amnesticization, temporary holding, psychiatric follow-up, relocation/compensation per-event averaged over expected events.
Cleanup And Removal $200K/yr
[#16] Annual budget for removal/disposal of small-to-moderate monoliths, site remediation, permits, and environmental work averaged across incidents.
Legal Incident Budget $200K/yr
[#20] Incident-specific legal/diplomatic budgets averaged annually (negotiations, international coordination, settlements).
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#11, #10, #27] Ongoing amnestic production/stock maintenance, per-arrival non-invasive medical/forensic consumables, and pooled consumables (PPE, evidence bags, small rentals).
Training Exercises $150K/yr
[#21] Tabletop simulations, MTF drills, cyber exercises, travel, and readiness audits averaged over the year.
Energy And Utilities $150K/yr
[#22] Power, HVAC, backup fuel consumption for datacenters, secure facilities, and on-call housing.
Pr Event Fund $100K/yr
[#15] Per-event PR/cover payments averaged annually in addition to retainer for higher-profile incidents.
Artifact Analysis And Vault Maintenance $100K/yr
[#17] Recurring campaigns of materials analysis, isotopic dating, anomalous-property testing, and vault maintenance for retained samples.
Archaeological Fabrication Program $100K/yr
[#25] Ongoing small program budget to seed cover narratives and fabricate plausible archaeological explanations when needed.
Personnel Medical Support $100K/yr
[#26] Long-term monitoring, counselling, disability payouts, and replacement recruitment costs for exposed field teams.
Physical Evidence Storage And Maintenance $50K/yr
[#13, #17] Long-term archive/vault maintenance and secure evidence cataloging costs for retained debris and media.
Digital Takedown Operations $50K/yr
[#14] Per-operation budget and small annual ops pool for cyber-forensics and takedowns beyond retainer.
Media Disposal Budget $50K/yr
[#24] Annual logistics and forensic time for secure collection and destruction or replacement of civilian media seized at scenes.
Miscellaneous Incidentals $30K/yr
[#27] Pooled small incidentals: fuel, food, PPE, temporary fencing, signage, small rentals.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $15.4M/yr
54.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, occasional small incidents; no major asset losses or public exposure.
routine_operations no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $16.7M/yr
40.0% probability / year +$1.3M vs baseline
Localized/populated landing requiring witness handling, cleanup, PR, and evidence suppression but no major asset loss.
urban_landing multiple_witnesses media_leak
🚨 Major Breach $27.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$12.3M vs baseline
Significant operational loss (disabled probe/satellite or major asset loss) requiring replacement, large-scale MTF deployments, and extended remediation.
asset_loss satellite_or_probe_replacement large_monolith_removal
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $65.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.3M vs baseline
Wide public exposure or sustained hostile escalation requiring mass amnestic campaigns, international remediation, and major replacement of national assets.
public_exposure sustained_combat international_escalation
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#6, #18] Core scientific staff for paraphysics/propulsion research and artifact analysis.
AI/ML Engineer 4 [#1] Developers and operators for Binary Star.aic, model development, and ML ops.
Data Analyst / Observer 4 [#1, #5] Analysts running trajectory extrapolations, telescope/sensor fusion, and archive management.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7, #12] Rapid-response MTF personnel for landing-site security, witness handling, and deployments.
Medical Officer 1 [#10, #26] Medical/forensic examiner to run non-invasive diagnostics and long-term personnel care.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#8, #22] Vehicle, site, and generator maintenance; ground logistics support.
Administrative Staff 1 [#15, #20] Legal/PR coordination, incident administration, and liaison work.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6] Oversight, briefings to O5 level and coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and a plausible 'moderate posture' baseline; many costs (space assets, contingency reserves, public-exposure responses) have wide ranges and depend on policy risk appetite, so uncertainty is material but not total.
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