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SCP-7253 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7253
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$3.0M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
16
Initial one-time setup dominated by a liability reserve and optional incinerator purchase (~$3.0M). Recurring costs are driven by salaried security/response staff, legal/cover operations, and site overhead (~$1.36M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.0M
Liability Reserve Establishment $2.0M
[#17] Establishment of a contingency/liability reserve to cover large-scale incidents or litigation.
Equipment $580K
[#2, #3, #6, #8, #12, #15] Tamper/breach sensors, perimeter cameras/NVR, UPS/generator, entry PPE and decon kit, optional on-site incinerator purchase, hardened servers/secure backup hardware.
Facilities $222K
[#1, #24] Structural sealing (permanent reinforced brick/CMU wall, inspection) and decommissioning/closure planning costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#14] One-time buildout or capability for a minimal autopsy/forensics-capable lab (BSL-2/3 room) or equivalent capability.
Initial Personnel Vetting $50K
[#21] Initial background vetting costs for hires (illustrative sample of site staff).
Medical Baseline Initial $25K
[#9] Initial baseline MD/psych exams for tracked personnel (example team of ~20).
Sop Development And Initial Training $20K
[#11] Development of SOPs, initial training and documentation.
Remediation One Time $10K
[#7] Occasional structural remediation if moisture/pests compromise the seal (lower-end estimate).
Land Acquisition One Time $0
[#16] One-time land acquisition/easement cost (assumed 0 in covert/contract approach).
Facility Purchase One Time $0
[#20] One-time facility purchase/major lease buy-in (assumed 0; covert lease approach).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $930K/yr
[#4, #5, #18] 24/7 on-site security staff, remote monitoring/control station technicians/operators, and retained incident-response team salaries/training/benefits.
Site Security Overhead $107K/yr
[#20] Utilities, lease or covert site control payments, insurance/self-insurance accounting and property overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#16, #25] Ongoing legal counsel, liaison, and public relations/misinformation budget to maintain plausible cover and handle inquiries.
Research And Monitoring $43K/yr
[#2, #3, #15, #23] Sensor/camera monitoring and storage, offsite replication, secure logs maintenance, and inspectorate/audit activity.
Long Term Mental Health $40K/yr
[#10] Counseling, medication, and long-term care budgets for affected personnel (expect multiple impacted individuals over time).
Personnel Vetting And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#21] Ongoing periodic rechecks, lifelong monitoring, and security-clearance maintenance for site personnel.
Medical Testing And Followup $30K/yr
[#9] Recurring medical/psych follow-ups (imaging, exams) for tracked personnel.
Archive And Evidence Destruction $20K/yr
[#22] Annual budget for secure destruction/archiving of physical evidence and records.
Training And Drills $15K/yr
[#11] Annual refresher courses and containment/drill exercises for staff.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#8, #19] Entry PPE consumables, suit replacement, decontamination consumables, routine camera/sensor consumables and small replacements.
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#13] Expected annual secure transfer costs for recovered B-instances (assumes ~2 transfers/year at modest security needs).
Contracted Disposal Expected Annual $10K/yr
[#12] Expected annual spend on contracted hazardous-waste/incineration disposals (assumes a small number of disposals/year at modest per-disposal cost).
Facilities Maintenance $9K/yr
[#6, #7] Fuel/maintenance for generator/UPS and environmental control/inspection services to preserve the sealed corridor.
Forensic Lab Contracts Expected Annual $3K/yr
[#14] Occasional contract lab/autopsy fees for minimal forensic confirmation prior to incineration.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, rare B-instance occurrences handled under expected per-year disposal/transport assumptions.
no major breaches infrequent B-instance discoveries standard maintenance and staffing
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small containment incident: additional disposals, localized medical/psych care, short-term overtime and PR response.
1-3 unexpected B-instances localized staff exposure small PR/legal engagement
🚨 Major Breach $3.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring emergency response, large-scale medical/psych support, incident investigations, and legal/PR escalations.
substantial breach or multiple simultaneous B-instance discoveries widespread exposures extended emergency response
🚨 Political Exposure $6.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Public/political discovery requiring buyouts, major legal settlements, land acquisition, or full-site remediation and relocation.
media/government exposure FOIA/official inquiry escalation forced land-use remediation or buyout
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#4] 24/7 physical security staff to prevent unauthorized access to the sealed area; headcount chosen to match recurring security wage allocation.
Remote Monitoring Technician 3 [#5] Operators/technicians for remote sensor and camera monitoring and log audits (shift coverage).
Incident Response Specialist (medic/containment) 4 [#18] On-call rapid-response personnel retained/assigned to handle anomalous incidents, medics and containment specialists.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#4, #16] Senior administrative oversight and liaison with legal/cover operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed cost ranges for most items, but large uncertainties remain around incident frequency, decisions (on-site incinerator vs contract), and political/land-acquisition outcomes; thus medium confidence.
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