SCP-7261 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7261
Expected annual
$12.9M
One-time setup
$6.4M
Annual recurring
$12.7M
Personnel
72
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $6.22M driven by cell retrofits, lab setup, and a contingency reserve; recurring annual costs are approximately $12.74M driven primarily by staff wages, research/monitoring, and MTF readiness/logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.4M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.1M
[#4, #8, #23] Initial medical/surgical instrumentation and validated sterilization workflows (~$150k), research lab setup for synthetic-substitute research (~$1.5M), and pilot genotyping/database setup (~$500k).
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#25] Initial contingency/reserve fund for worst-case containment/neutralization scenarios (chosen conservatively within $1M–$10M range).
Equipment $1.0M
[#3, #5, #14, #26, #27] Non-metallic restraint systems and handling equipment (~$100k), specialized sensor suites (~$100k), non-metal transport cages (~$120k), capital neutralization/incineration equipment (~$500k), and initial IT/secure-communications hardware (~$200k).
Facilities $1.0M
[#1, #2, #6] One-time costs for non-metal cell retrofits (~$750k), localized rebar mitigation/engineering (~$100k), and initial HVAC/odor-control installation (~$150k) aggregated.
Amnestic Pharmacy Setup $150K
[#22] One-time capital/setup for secure amnestic production/pharmacy facility (equipment, secure storage) complementing recurring inventory costs.
Front Company Setup Initial $25K
[#21] Initial setup costs for cover identities/shell companies (one-time incorporation, basic setup).
Breath Ingestion Allergy Screening $20K
[#15] One-time medical/allergy screening for staff (approx. $300 per staffer × estimated staff count).
Metal Accessory Issuance Initial $7K
[#16] Initial issuance of standardized metal protective accessories for personnel (approx. $100 per staffer × estimated staff count).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.7M/yr
Staff Wages $6.9M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #12, #22, #27, #28] Annual wages and benefits for operational staff: MTF/security cadres, research scientists, medical staff, IT/communications, cultural liaisons, and specialist roles required to run containment and research programs.
Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr
[#4, #8, #9, #23, #24] Ongoing research operations: biomedical research into substitutes and vulnerabilities (~$1.25M/yr), thaumaturgic research unit (~$500k/yr), ongoing genotyping/monitoring (~$300k/yr), instrument maintenance and specialized training/refresher courses (~$150k/yr).
Mtf Maintenance And Deployments $1.0M/yr
[#12] Non-salary recurring costs to keep MTF-Omega 45 at readiness: training, specialized non-metal equipment replenishment, deployments, hazard pay supplements and logistics.
Cover Story And Legal $510K/yr
[#18, #20, #21] Recurring legal/diplomatic liaison budgets, cover-up/amnesty administration costs, and maintenance of front companies and cover identities.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#13, #26] Annual standby budget for rapid-response airlift/transport and recurrent neutralization/disposal contracts; per-deployment costs funded from this and contingency pools.
Regional Field Office $300K/yr
[#10] Recurring operating costs for covert field office in Tlaxcala (leases, local staff, vehicles, comms).
Amnestic Production And Pharmacy $200K/yr
[#22] Annual production, inventory, and secure pharmacy operations for amnestics (complements one-time setup).
Birth Registry Monitoring $200K/yr
[#11] Annual budget for registry/data agreements, analyst time, and targeted human intelligence in Tlaxcala.
Contingency Reserve Replenishment $200K/yr
[#25] Annual replenishment target for contingency/reserve drawn down during large responses.
Investigation And Forensics $150K/yr
[#19] Recurring funding for forensic responses, epidemiology, scene containment, and investigation costs (assumes multiple smaller incidents per year).
Insurance And Hazard Pay $150K/yr
[#29] Specialized insurance, liability contingencies, and hazard-pay budget for high-risk personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $138K/yr
[#7, #15, #16, #30] Recurring consumables including juvenile-pig provisioning and veterinary handling (~$60k), breath/ingestion compliance supplies (~$10k), metal accessory turnover (~$8k), and miscellaneous consumables/petty cash (~$60k).
Facilities Maintenance $120K/yr
[#5, #6, #26, #27] Annual maintenance/operations for HVAC/olfactory systems, sensor upkeep, incinerator/facility maintenance, and site physical upkeep.
Cultural And Language Liaisons $120K/yr
[#28] Recurring staffing and consulting costs for local cultural/language experts and anthropological research.
It Operations $100K/yr
[#27] Recurring IT/cybersecurity, secure comms, data storage and analysis operations.
Staff Medical Surveillance $75K/yr
[#17] Occupational health, regular exams, memetic/psych screenings, and mental-health support for staff.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.7M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; program operates at steady-state containment, research, and regional monitoring levels.
no major breaches routine monthly SCP-7261-A substitutions (pigs) standard research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $12.9M/yr
18.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized incident: a capture/response and several local witness amnestic operations required.
single SCP-7261-A exposed in community targeted MTF deployment & forensic response amnestics and localized cover-up
🚨 Major Breach $17.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or multiple simultaneous SCP-7261-A events requiring mass mobilization, public-health-style measures, and large reserve draw.
escape or coordinated multi-site incidents mass amnestic deployment large MTF mobilization and public quarantine
👥 Personnel 72 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 45 [#12] Primary rapid-response and containment staff (MTF-Omega 45 cadre); salaries included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 8 [#8, #9, #23] Lead biomedical and thaumaturgic researchers performing substitute development, ritual study, and genotyping programs.
Medical Officer 4 [#4, #17] Clinical staff for monitoring instances, surgical interventions, and occupational health.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#1, #2, #6] Facility engineers for non-metal retrofits, HVAC/odor systems, sensor maintenance, and rebar mitigation.
Administrative Staff 7 [#21, #27] Admin/support for cover companies, logistics, procurement, and secure data handling.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10] Overall program/site leadership and liaison functions.
IT / Comms Specialist 1 [#27] Secure communications, encryption, and sensor data management.
Thaumaturgy Specialist 1 [#9] Specialist for ritual testing, protective wards, and consultant coordination.
Research Support Technician 1 [#8, #23] Lab technician for genotyping, animal models, and assay support.
Medical Technician 1 [#4, #17] Supports medical procedures, sterilization workflows, and clinical sample handling.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges allowing a structured estimate, but wide ranges on per-item costs (number of instances, scale of surveillance, and contingency appetite) and thaumaturgic uncertainty reduce precision.
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