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SCP-7281 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7281
Expected annual
$5.4M
One-time setup
$39.9M
Annual recurring
$5.3M
Personnel
24
Estimated one-time capital to build hardened aquatic containment and associated infrastructure is ~$39.9M, dominated by the reinforced 12,000 m3 pool and life-support/hardening; ongoing annual operating costs are roughly $5.32M driven by staff wages, energy, maintenance, and research.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $39.9M
Facilities $26.0M
[#1, #6, #13, #19] Purpose-built pool shell and building envelope (#1), security installation (#6), initial wastewater/treatment system (#13), and initial structural spares/stockpile (#19).
Equipment $9.2M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #16, #17, #18, #28] Industrial life-support systems (#2), HVAC/chillers (#3), thick acrylic viewing panels (#4), backup generators/UPS (#5), monitoring/sensor network hardware (#16), emergency containment equipment (#17), heavy-lift/transport purchase option (#18), and initial secure IT/hardened servers (#28).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.6M
[#9, #10, #14, #15] Surgical containment suite / aquatic OR modifications (#9), purchase of/adaptation for imaging equipment (CT/MRI/mobile) (#10), biobanking/freezer/vault setup (#14), and laboratory/BSL upgrades for sample processing (#15).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#27] One-time contingency/reserve fund for unexpected retrofits, urgent repairs, or behavior-driven upgrades.
Legal Setup And Permits $50K
[#22] One-time legal setup and permit fees to establish cover-story/legal frameworks.
Background Initial Investigations $10K
[#23] Initial per-hire background screening costs for existing staff brought on at containment startup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.3M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Security payroll (24/7 contingent) (#7), containment/research scientist salaries (#8), and veterinary/medical personnel costs (#9).
Staff Benefits And Overhead $690K/yr
[#24] Benefits, HR, administrative overhead and fringe (~30% of payroll) for project staff and security (#24).
Facilities Maintenance $605K/yr
[#2, #3, #13, #19, #21] Ongoing life-support & filtration maintenance (#2), HVAC maintenance (#3), wastewater operations/disposal fees (#13), spares replenishment (#19), and general corrosion/structural maintenance (#21).
Research And Monitoring $525K/yr
[#10, #15, #16, #25, #29, #14] Imaging rentals/scans and per‑scan costs (#10), lab operating/certified personnel for BSL processing (#15), sensor data storage/monitoring maintenance (#16), research/linguistics/translation and ethology studies (#25), environmental/regulatory monitoring (#29), and biobanking maintenance (LN2/electric) (#14).
Energy Consumption $500K/yr
[#20] Electricity and energy to run pumps, chillers/heaters, compressors, and general facility consumption for the 12,000 m3 tank (#20).
Supplies And Consumables $163K/yr
[#11, #12] Feeding and food logistics/procurement (#11) and consumables/PPE/anesthetics/surgical disposables (#12).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#22] Ongoing insurance, legal counsel, permits renewals and cover-story management (#22).
Contingency Topup $100K/yr
[#27] Annual top-up to contingency/reserve for unpredictable anomalous-driven upgrades or escalation (#27).
Backup Power Fuel $60K/yr
[#5] Generator fuel, testing and maintenance fuel costs to sustain backup power cycles.
Emergency Drills $60K/yr
[#17] Annual training, drills, and refresh for emergency containment response and equipment readiness (#17).
Miscellaneous Operational Costs $50K/yr
[#30] Office supplies, travel, small tools, and routine subcontractor fees (#30).
Psychological Care $40K/yr
[#26] Employee assistance, counseling, debriefing and monitoring for staff exposed to psychological influence (#26).
Staff Background Checks $30K/yr
[#23] Ongoing background investigations, periodic re-screening, and psychological monitoring costs (#23).
It Operations $30K/yr
[#28] Secure IT operations, backups, and classified data handling costs (#28).
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#18] Standby mobilization/transport contract costs or occasional mobilizations for heavy-lift transport readiness (#18).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.3M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major containment incidents: regular operations, maintenance, research and staffing at expected levels.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or small structural damage (e.g., pump failure, minor acrylic panel crack, sensor network outage) requiring emergency repairs and short-term increased staffing and rental equipment.
pump_failure minor_panel_damage critical_sensor_fault
🚨 Major Breach $10.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or major structural failure (large panel replacement, major life‑support failure, large-scale biohazard response, legal/PR and potential replacement of major infrastructure).
structural_failure catastrophic_life_support_loss security_breach
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#7] 24/7 security posts with 3 shifts plus relief; count chosen within 12–20 FTE guidance to match security payroll assumptions.
Research Scientist 6 [#8, #25] Multidisciplinary marine biologists, ethologists, linguists and lead containment specialists (3–8 FTE in notes).
Medical Officer / Veterinary 2 [#9] Marine veterinarian and surgical/anesthesia support included in medical staffing estimates.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing a reasoned mid-range estimate, but substantial uncertainty remains due to site geology, energy prices, potential surgical or biosafety escalations, and anomalous behavior — hence medium confidence.
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