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SCP-7288 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7288
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
12
One-time setup costs for monitoring, upgrades and covert options are roughly $1.8M; steady-state annual operations (staffing, legal, monitoring, research and reserves) are approximately $3.66M, driven primarily by staff wages, research/license support, legal/insurance, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#5] Development and testing of custom anomaly-suppression module (heuristics, sandboxing, security QA) as an initial R&D/lab buildout cost.
Dlp And Custom Rules $287K
[#4] Commercial DLP/messaging gateway licenses and integration (~175k) plus custom rule development/integration (~112k) — one-time procurement and integration.
Relocation And Buyout $275K
[#8] Hush-money/relocation/NDA buyout package (mid-range estimate of one-time relocation/buyout/living support).
Equipment $237K
[#3, #19] Secure message-capture servers/SAN/HSM provisioning (~225k) plus initial secure comm devices/burner device batch (~12k).
Facilities $160K
[#12] Faraday rooms, device lockers, access-control and other physical hardening at Site-19 (one-time construction/hardening costs).
Field Surveillance Setup $137K
[#7] Covert monitoring / technical compromise ops initial setup (wiretaps, device compromise tooling, initial field ops provisioning).
Family Communication System Setup $137K
[#13] Development of a controlled family-communication system (system dev, workflow docs, initial training).
It Audit And Remediation $125K
[#15] Comprehensive site-wide IT audit and remediation plan (one-time).
Reputation Risk Investigation $30K
[#21] Initial investigation into personnel relationships and background checks (one-time).
Replacement Hiring And Training $27K
[#9] Recruitment fees and initial training/onboarding for replacement personnel (one-time).
Policy Rewrite $25K
[#20] Policy/directive rewrite and rollout costs (one-time).
Immediate Termination Operation $12K
[#10] Tactical removal/secure transport operation (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #13, #25, #9] Dedicated communications-monitoring team (4 analysts + 1 supervisor), 2 digital forensics FTEs, moderators/operators for sanitized channel, program manager + admin support, and replacement researcher salary (salaries + ~30% benefits).
Decommissioning Reserve $500K/yr
[#24] Annual contribution toward large-scale emergency containment/decommissioning reserve (catastrophic contingency funding).
Research And Monitoring $455K/yr
[#5, #4, #15, #22] Ongoing tuning/support for suppression module (~50k/yr), DLP/gateway license & support (~55k/yr), annual pentest follow-ups (~50k/yr), and modest ongoing anomaly research funding (~300k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $450K/yr
[#6, #14, #17] Legal retainer and ongoing counsel (~150k), per-incident legal reserve (~100k), PR/rapid-response retainer (~50k), and liability/litigation insurance/reserve (~150k).
Backup Emergency Fund $300K/yr
[#16] Annual reserve contribution toward backup/emergency containment fund (recommended 10–25% of projected budget; mid-range contribution).
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#7] Ongoing field ops/logistics and covert-monitoring operational costs (wiretaps, travel, operational support; mid-range estimate).
Facilities Maintenance $82K/yr
[#3, #12, #23] Annual maintenance and storage growth for capture servers (~45k), physical-harding maintenance (~20k), and additional energy/HVAC load (~17k).
Hush Money Upkeep $65K/yr
[#8] Ongoing upkeep/support if relocation/buyout option is used (witness-protection style ongoing costs).
Training And Policy Refreshers $30K/yr
[#20] Ongoing training refreshers and compliance audits (~10k–50k/yr; mid estimate).
Psych Counseling $25K/yr
[#18] Onsite counseling program and periodic psych support for staff (~10k–40k/yr; mid estimate).
Reputation Risk Mitigation Recurring $12K/yr
[#21] Periodic rechecks and background vetting (~5k–20k/yr; mid estimate).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#19] Replacement secure devices, SIM management, evidence kits, consumables (~2k–10k/yr; mid estimate).
Containment Custody $0/yr
[#11] Ongoing secure containment costs if Morgan is detained (recurring). Baseline assumes non-detention; estimate set to 0 in steady-state baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
80.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: full monitoring, licenses/support, legal retainers, modest research activity, reserve contributions and routine maintenance.
routine_operations no_major_leak scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$140K vs baseline
A single suppression failure yields a public-facing leak requiring emergency takedown, forensic overtime, and elevated legal/PR actions.
single_message_escape public_posting limited_legal_action
🚨 Termination And Detention $4.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$539K vs baseline
Researcher Morgan Llewellyn is immediately terminated and placed into secure custody; includes one-time tactical removal and recurring detention costs.
policy_enforcement suppression_failure_leads_to_exposure decision_to_detain_employee
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Complete suppression failure and/or significant public exposure requiring large-scale emergency containment, litigation, and remediation.
complete_suppression_failure widespread_public_exposure mass_litigation
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $4.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Anomalous nature confirmed — requires rapid expansion of research program and containment R&D, increasing annual research/staffing budgets.
anomalous_mechanism_confirmed need_for_larger_research_team scale_up_of_containment_R&D
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Communications Analyst 4 [#1] 24/7 monitoring analysts assigned to Morgan Llewellyn's comms.
Communications Supervisor 1 [#1] Supervisory oversight for monitoring team.
Digital Forensics Specialist 2 [#2] On-call digital forensics/incident response FTEs (includes overtime reserve).
Moderators / Operators 2 [#13] Human moderators/operators for controlled family-communication channel.
Program Manager / Administrative Staff 2 [#25] Program manager and admin support to coordinate procurement, accounting, and oversight.
Replacement Researcher 1 [#9] Replacement hire on staff if Morgan is removed (salary included in staff_wages recurring and one-time training/recruitment costs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are midpoints of broad ranges provided in analyst notes; significant uncertainty exists around the anomaly's technical character, the chosen long-term strategy (monitor-only vs. detention vs. buyout), and catastrophic contingency sizing, so overall confidence is moderate.
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