SCP-7291 Pending ~ medium confidence
SCP-7291
Expected annual
$3.9M
One-time setup
$6.1M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
56
One-time setup and hardening estimated at several million USD driven by heavy engineering, specialized equipment, and contingency reserves; recurring operations are dominated by security payroll, tactical readiness, aerial surveillance and ongoing research/cover-story expenses totaling multiple millions per year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.1M
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#18] Contingency / incident response reserve retained for large-scale emergency mobilization and immediate procurement of heavy equipment and specialists.
Equipment $1.5M
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #11, #12, #13, #19, #29] Tactical team kit/training equipment, surveillance sensor nodes, optional aerial fleet purchase, communications hardware and uplink, solar + battery systems, specialized amphibious vehicles/ATVs/boats, environmental sensors, initial geophysical campaign equipment, secure data servers/ops center hardware, and specialized containment hardware kits.
Emergency Mobilization Reserve $1.0M
[#30] Reserve for large-scale international mobilization (airlift of heavy assets, expert teams) held aside for major escalations.
Facilities $940K
[#1, #2, #9, #10, #25] Perimeter signage/fencing, checkpoint shelters and gate hardware (one-time), site-hardening/sealing works, temporary wetland access infrastructure (roads/mats/barges) initial construction, and environmental permit/study fees.
Legal And Land Purchase $300K
[#16] Purchase of land/easements, negotiation costs, initial legal/cover-story establishment and related one-time expenditures.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $180K
[#14, #15] Initial scientific research campaign setup and small secure/sample storage / secure lab buildout (climate control, vaulting, access controls).
Community Compensation $150K
[#17] One-time compensation/resettlement payments to local claimants and stakeholders to secure cooperation and silence.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#3, #20] Continuous security personnel payroll (primary driver) plus site director, scientists, logistics and administrative salaries (personnel overhead).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#16, #24] Ongoing legal counsel, diplomatic/cover-story maintenance, publication suppression and OPSEC activities.
Tactical Response $150K/yr
[#4] Ammunition, refresher training, weapons maintenance and legal overhead for on-call tactical/lethal-response team.
Aerial Surveillance $150K/yr
[#6] Regular UAV sorties and contracted manned flight-hours for routine aerial monitoring.
Research And Monitoring $140K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #19] Environmental/hydrology monitoring data analysis, periodic geophysical/resurvey campaigns, ongoing scientific follow-up research, and modest operations center analytics.
Facilities Maintenance $105K/yr
[#10, #15, #25] Ongoing wetland access repairs and renewals, secure storage/lab utilities and maintenance, and environmental mitigation/permit compliance costs.
Vehicle Operations $100K/yr
[#11] Fuel, maintenance, transport and crew costs for amphibious craft, ATVs and support vehicles.
Training And Exercises $80K/yr
[#22] Regular security, science and emergency drills and exercises.
Replacement Reserve $80K/yr
[#26] Annual equipment and vehicle replacement reserve due to high wear in marsh conditions.
Logistics And Transport $70K/yr
[#2] Checkpoint operations, fuel and routine transport logistics for access control and resupply.
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#23] PPE, replacement batteries, spare sensors, small tools and consumable materials for field operations.
Medical And Casualty $50K/yr
[#21] Field medical supplies, medevac arrangements and covert casualty handling/disposal readiness.
Public Relations $40K/yr
[#28] Local media management, press materials and outreach to manage accidental exposures.
Surveillance Maintenance $30K/yr
[#5] Maintenance, data-links and replacement parts for camera, motion, IR and seismic sensor network.
Satellite Imagery $30K/yr
[#27] Commercial satellite imagery subscriptions and tasking for monitoring.
Community Payments $30K/yr
[#17] Ongoing goodwill payments and minor compensation to local stakeholders to reduce leakage risk.
Communications Services $25K/yr
[#7] Satellite uplinks, encrypted radio service subscriptions and data-link service fees.
Data Services $25K/yr
[#19] Hosting, backups, cybersecurity and operations center administration.
Power Maintenance $12K/yr
[#8] Solar array and battery bank maintenance, replacements and theft-hardening repairs.
Containment Hardware Maintenance $12K/yr
[#29] Restocking and minor refurbishment of rapid-deploy sealing kits and grout materials.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, scheduled maintenance, and no major incidents.
no breaches routine maintenance standard research cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $4.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Small breach or vandalism requiring targeted repairs, increased patrols, legal action and PR work.
localized breach unauthorized excavation minor environmental damage
🚨 Major Breach $5.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach requiring large emergency mobilization, reconstruction, intensified research and cover operations.
major breach structural failure large-scale third-party excavation
🚨 International Response $6.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Escalation requiring international assets, mass evacuation/quarantine or prolonged covert interventions beyond local capacity.
escalation beyond local capacity multi-national involvement environmental catastrophe
👥 Personnel 56 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#3] Rotating security workforce for 24/7 patrols and static guards; count derived from analyst staffing estimate (30–50), midpoint used.
Research Scientist 4 [#14, #20] Scientists/analysts assigned to study, monitoring and liaison; included in personnel overhead.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#20] Senior scientist / site director responsible for overall project management.
Administrative Staff 2 [#20] Logistics, HR and administrative support included in overhead.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#8, #10, #11] Structural/technical staff for power, wetland access and vehicle maintenance.
Data/IT Specialist 1 [#19] Operations center operator, data ingestion and cybersecurity.
Medical Officer 1 [#21] On-call medic for field operations and casualty handling.
Logistics / Field Crew 4 [#11, #10] Drivers, boat operators, and field technicians for wetland access and resupply.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are derived from the analyst ranges; many items have wide ranges (marsh engineering, contingency needs, and frequency of aerial/manned operations). Midpoint selections used where ambiguous; anomaly-specific risks introduce uncertainty.
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