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SCP-7336 Thaumiel ? low confidence
SCP-7336
Expected annual
$120.6M
One-time setup
$243.5M
Annual recurring
$98.1M
Personnel
115
Initial capital build (secure vault, lunar surveillance satellite, transport inventory, and contingency fund) drives a large one-time cost of ~$243M; ongoing recurring costs (~$98M/yr) are dominated by staff wages, covert influence/surveillance, and space operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $243.5M
Lunar Surveillance Capital $150.0M
[#15] Orbital surveillance satellite(s) dedicated to SCP monitoring ($50M–$250M); mid/high choice to ensure continuous coverage.
Facilities $30.0M
[#1] Secure central storage vault for Site-11 including construction, EM/RF shielding, climate control, racks, access control, certification and commissioning. Estimate chosen near midpoint of $15M–$45M.
Opportunity Buffer Capital $30.0M
[#28] Strategic contingency / opportunity fund for unforeseen anomalous effects ($10M–$100M); seed capital chosen conservatively large.
Transport Containers $7.0M
[#3] Reusable transport containers and handling kits sized for 22–25 cm instances. For a 2,000 active-container pool estimated at $2M–$12M; midpoint used.
Implant Proc Devices $6.0M
[#8] Procurement and surgical implantation devices for MX-Qualified personnel (device+surgery portion). Based on $2k–$10k per person for ~1,000 people as noted.
Vetting Initial $5.0M
[#21] Initial vetting for MX candidate pool (for 500 candidates, $2.5M–$7.5M).
Relocation Incentives $5.0M
[#22] One-time relocation/inducement payments for MX-Qualified personnel (for ~200 relocations $2M–$20M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.0M
[#10, #19] Physical analysis lab equipment (EM analyzers, anechoic chamber, EM fixtures) and initial theorem/formalization compute cluster buildout; mid-range combined estimate.
Equipment $2.5M
[#2] Secure display installations / hardened display cases for ~30 facilities (~$600k–$4.5M total). Estimate chosen mid-range.
Implant Infrastructure $1.2M
[#8] Monitoring backend/secure servers for implants and perioperative infrastructure ($500k–$2M).
Secure Info Systems $1.2M
[#12] Classified research database and high-assurance server build ($500k–$2M).
Mx Training Program Setup $600K
[#7] MX-Qualification training program infrastructure setup ($200k–$1M).
Theorem Computing Cluster $600K
[#19] One-time purchase and installation of formal proof-checking compute cluster and licenses ($250k–$1M).
Records Archival Setup $275K
[#20] Secure scanners, tamper-proof archive boxes, and destruction facility setup ($50k–$500k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $98.1M/yr
Covert Government Influence $20.0M/yr
[#14] Covert liaison cells and influence operations to restrict lunar exploration ($5M–$100M+/yr); conservative mid/high selection due to mission-critical nature.
Staff Wages $15.2M/yr
[#5, #6] Security personnel (24/7 coverage ~30–50 guards) and research staff salaries (example team 75 FTE × fully burdened $150k/yr ≈ $11.25M). Combined estimate using mid-range security salaries plus research payroll.
Lunar Surveillance Ops $15.0M/yr
[#15] Orbital sensor operations and routine lunar monitoring ops ($5M–$25M/yr).
Capital Replacement Reserve $12.2M/yr
[#26] Long-term capital replacement / infrastructure refresh reserve (~5% of initial capital per year).
Logistics And Transport $5.0M/yr
[#4] Secure couriers, armored transport, charter flights and escorts for intra-Foundation shipments; assumed 200 shipments/yr ($200k–$10M/yr).
Insurance And Incident Response $5.0M/yr
[#16] Internal risk pool, emergency retrieval teams, and incident response reserves ($1M–$20M/yr).
Ip And Commercialization $5.0M/yr
[#24] Legal and covert commercialization containment (patents, covert fronts, licensing) ($1M–$20M/yr depending on activity).
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#13, #22, #27] Controlled documentation & redaction office, legal indemnity and classification counsel, and baseline space-legal coordination budgets ($300k–$1.5M + other legal costs).
Travel And Collaboration $2.5M/yr
[#18] Travel, accommodation, and per-diems for in-person collaboration events (200 events/yr estimate → $1M–$4M/yr).
Public Relations $2.5M/yr
[#25] PR and misinformation budgets to control narratives and suppress publication leaks ($500k–$10M/yr).
Housing Subsidies $2.0M/yr
[#22] Ongoing housing/subsidy costs and retention allowances for relocated MX-Qualified staff.
Opportunity Buffer Annual $2.0M/yr
[#28] Annual allocation to replenish contingency/opportunity funds for unforeseen anomalous effects.
Space Legal Compliance $1.5M/yr
[#27] Ongoing specialized legal counsel for space activities and liability contingencies ($500k–$5M/yr).
Implant Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#8] Ongoing telemetry/monitoring for implanted MX-Qualified personnel ($500k–$2M/yr for ~1,000 implanted persons).
Vetting Recurring $1.2M/yr
[#21] Periodic reinvestigations, polygraphs, and insider monitoring ($1k–$4k/yr per person; scaled for candidate pool).
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#3, #23] Consumables for transport/handling (seals, batteries, PPE), routine inspection consumables and small repairs for 40k instances ($100k–$1M plus container consumable replacements).
Incident Drills And Audits $1.0M/yr
[#17] Regular drills, third-party audits, and redundancy planning ($200k–$2M/yr).
Secure Info Systems Operations $625K/yr
[#12] Ongoing ops, cybersecurity, air-gapped backups, SIEM, and audited access controls ($250k–$1M/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#1, #11] Ongoing maintenance and certification of vaults and RF/EM shielding; includes periodic calibration/certification of Faraday cages and anechoic chambers ($50k–$300k plus general site maintenance).
Mx Training Program $500K/yr
[#7] Recurring training, tests, and instructor time for MX-Qualification ($5k–$50k/trainee frequency dependent); annualized program costs.
Theorem Compute Ops $500K/yr
[#19] Annual compute, licenses, and engineering support for formalization and proof checking ($200k–$800k/yr).
Instance Maintenance $500K/yr
[#23] Routine inspection, seal replacement, tamper tapes, batteries for trackers for 40k instances ($100k–$1M/yr).
Medical And Mental Health $250K/yr
[#9] Regular physicals, implant follow-ups, and counseling for researchers (estimated $500–$2k per researcher/yr).
Records Processing $100K/yr
[#20] Ongoing secure handling, destruction, and processing of handwritten proofs ($20k–$200k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $98.1M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents or space retrieval missions.
routine ops scheduled training and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $103.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized theft, container damage, small containment lapse or staff disappearance requiring investigation and localized response.
container breach small-scale theft investigation & emergency repairs
🚨 Lunar Retrieval Mission $1.1B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0B vs baseline
Execution of an orbital/lander retrieval mission to recover escaped or newly discovered lunar instances.
identification of surface instance decision to mount retrieval mission
🚨 Political Exposure $173.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
Significant political or public exposure requiring large-scale covert operations, legal defense, and international diplomacy costs.
major leak international scrutiny political pressure on lunar policy
👥 Personnel 115 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 40 [#5] 24/7 armed security coverage; mid-range of 30–50 guards.
Research Scientist 50 [#6] MX-qualified mathematicians/paramathematicians/physicists (part of 75 FTE research team example).
Research Support (Lab Tech / Data Curator) 25 [#6] Lab techs and data curators supporting research (example 25 support staff).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to wide ranges on high-cost items (space missions, covert influence), uncertain headcounts and implant adoption, and many analyst-supplied ranges; anomalous behaviors and future retrieval needs add substantial uncertainty.
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