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SCP-7380 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7380
Expected annual
$8.0M
One-time setup
$24.5M
Annual recurring
$7.7M
Personnel
32
Initial capital and R&D to reach a defensible containment posture are estimated at tens of millions; recurring annual operations are driven primarily by specialized staffing, replacement of scavenged equipment, and ongoing R&D/monitoring. Major one-time drivers are facility upgrades, hardware fleets/net systems, and multi-year R&D programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $24.5M
Equipment $6.8M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #9, #10, #2] Deployable subsea capture cage, hardened ROV fleet initial purchase, armored tether kits, sensor network deployment (hardware), interceptor boats purchase, hyperbaric chamber installation, interdiction tooling, and emergency power equipment.
Long Term Containment R And D $6.0M
[#24] Multi-year program reserve to design/build permanent neutralization or land-based containment solutions.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.2M
[#11, #12, #21] Initial multi-year behavioral/forensics R&D program, laboratory upgrades for robotics/embedded-systems forensics, and initial communications/anti-jamming R&D capital.
Facilities $3.8M
[#1, #17] Heavy-duty underwater containment cell upgrade and onshore secure containment staging / quarantine area build-out.
Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#20] Contingency reserve for catastrophic failure / escalation (site replacement, large-scale salvage, liabilities).
Legal Reserve Initial $300K
[#14] Initial legal/cover-story contingency reserve for maritime claims and initial public-affairs contingencies.
Ptf Initial Training And Equipment $275K
[#8] Initial task force training and specialist equipment (rebreathers, drysuits, cutting tools, mock-capture drills).
Environmental Initial $175K
[#15] Initial environmental impact assessments, permitting, and mitigation planning.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.7M/yr
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#8, #18] Provisional Task Force aquatic CQC personnel payroll (PTF Digamma-58) and continuous monitoring/sonar/signal analyst staffing (24/7 rotations).
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#6, #11, #12, #21, #25] Ongoing R&D program costs, sensor network data operations and maintenance, lab operating costs, communications anti-jamming maintenance, and intelligence/forensics operations.
Lost Equipment Replacement Fund $1.0M/yr
[#13] Annual baseline replacement budget for regular loss of ROVs, tethers, sensors due to scavenging and attacks.
Logistics And Transport $750K/yr
[#7, #16] Annual operational costs for interceptor boats/helicopter standby hours, launch/maintenance and baseline heavy-lift / towing contingency budgeting.
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#4, #10, #23] Annual replacement parts for hardened ROV fleet, interdiction nets/tooling replacements, and specialized consumables (non-cuttable mesh, sacrificial bait components).
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#14, #22] Annual legal/cover-story provisioning, public affairs contingencies, liaison and covert procurement/engagement with local contractors.
Heavy Lift Operations Reserve $250K/yr
[#16] Annual contingency reserve to support long-baseline towing, crane/barge rental and specialized transport for occasional capture operations.
Facilities Maintenance $190K/yr
[#1, #9, #17] Ongoing maintenance for containment cell pumps/drainage/seals, hyperbaric chamber service contracts, and onshore staging operations.
Environmental Compliance $62K/yr
[#15] Ongoing permitting compliance, EIA follow-ups and remediation budgets.
Emergency Power $60K/yr
[#2] Yearly fuel supply, UPS and generator maintenance and fuel delivery planning.
Psychological Support $50K/yr
[#19] Counseling, trauma care, and resilience programs for injured/affected staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.7M/yr
68.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with scheduled operations, replacements, R&D, and monitoring but no major incidents.
regular monitoring and replacements planned R&D and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $8.2M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized engagement results in loss of multiple expendable assets and short emergency response operations.
ROV losses and equipment scavenging short repair/tow operations minor legal/liaison expenditures
🚨 Major Breach $12.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$4.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or attack causing infrastructure damage, casualties, and large salvage/heavy-lift operations.
infrastructure damage large-scale salvage and heavy-lift operations medical/legal liabilities
🚨 Political Exposure $8.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Civilian or inter-agency exposure requiring major legal, PR, and compensation actions alongside operational surge.
media exposure local government intervention large cover-story/compensation payouts
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 PTF Digamma-58 aquatic CQC personnel (20–30 recommended); counts reflect full operating rotations and are included in staff_wages [#8].
Analyst / Sonar Analyst 8 Sonar/signal analysts and remote-ops operators for 24/7 monitoring; included in staff_wages [#18].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges, but many estimates cover wide ranges (equipment attrition, R&D scope, incident severity) and SCP unpredictability increases uncertainty.
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