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SCP-7386 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7386
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$1.6M
Personnel
13
Initial one-time setup including equipment, property acquisition and contingency reserves is approximately $2.20M; ongoing annual operations are roughly $1.56M/yr, driven primarily by on-site security, local outpost staffing, detection analysts, cover-story/legal expenditures and regional response logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Catastrophic Response Reserve $1.0M
[#23] Contingency / catastrophic response reserve (lower-bound allocation $1,000,000 one-time).
Facilities $502K
[#4, #24] Boarding/physical concealment one-time costs and potential purchase/expropriation of property (boarding ~$2k + purchase ~$500k).
Missing Persons Contingency Fund $500K
[#11] Maintain contingency fund for missing-persons payouts and long-term hush money (baseline fund allocation $500,000).
Equipment $172K
[#3, #6, #7, #14, #15] Vehicles purchase/outfitting ($90,000), surveillance hardware ($7,500), communications equipment ($5,000), secure sample storage equipment ($60,000), PPE initial kit ($10,000).
Initial Training $24K
[#16] Initial training costs (3,000 per staff × estimated staffed team ~8 = ~$24,000 one-time).
Cover Materials One Time $200
[#5] One-time professionally produced 'Permanently Closed' signage and props (~$200).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[#13] Research lab setup (not funded in baseline / deferred).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.6M/yr
Staff Wages $878K/yr
[#1, #2, #9] On-site security staffing (~6 guards incl. benefits $338,000/yr), local outpost staff salaries (~4 staff incl. benefits $300,000/yr), detection analyst salaries (3 analysts $240,000/yr).
Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#25] Allocated Site-95 administrative overhead / accounting / executive support (~$200,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $185K/yr
[#10, #12, #21] Cover-up/reimbursement funds (~$100,000/yr), local legal counsel/permits (~$75,000/yr), public relations/media management (baseline ~$10,000/yr).
Insurance And Liability $75K/yr
[#22] Internal insurance/liability reserves and worker compensation (~$75,000/yr allocated).
Supplies And Consumables $54K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #14, #15, #18, #20] Signage replacements (~$200/yr), surveillance storage/maintenance (~$2,000/yr), comms service (~$1,200/yr), secure storage maintenance/consumables (~$30,000/yr), PPE replacement (~$2,000/yr), routine consumables (~$9,000/yr), evidence handling (~$10,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $50K/yr
[#9, #13] Global anomaly detection software/data feeds (~$50,000/yr). (Analyst salaries accounted in staff_wages; active research program funding deferred in baseline.)
Logistics And Transport $48K/yr
[#3, #20] Vehicle fuel/maintenance/insurance for two unmarked SUVs (~$48,000/yr); routine transport/evidence logistics included elsewhere as needed.
Facilities Maintenance $36K/yr
[#2, #4, #19] Outpost rent/utilities (~$30,000/yr), periodic boarding replacements/repairs ($500/yr), energy/utilities for outpost and equipment (~$5,000/yr).
Training And Sops $25K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher training and SOP development (~$25,000/yr).
Psychological Services $10K/yr
[#17] Regular counseling and wellness services for staff (~$10,000/yr).
Regional Rapid Response Teams $0/yr
[#8] Regional rapid-response teams option (A) would be ~$5,000,000/yr; baseline uses pay-per-incident or minimal allocation, so annualized team cost set to $0 in baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.6M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; minimal global deployments; ongoing staffing, local outpost operations, detection monitoring and routine cover-up/legal activity.
no_major_demanifestations routine_monitoring local_coverups_only
🚨 Minor Incident $1.8M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized demanifestation or discovery requiring limited emergency response, targeted payouts, temporary PR/legal activity, and short deployments using charters.
single_store_demanifestation small_number_missing local_media_attention
🚨 Major Demanifestation Event $3.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
High-profile demanifestation with multiple casualties/missing persons requiring large-scale suppression operations, large payouts, replenishment/use of contingency funds and extensive legal/PR responses.
mass_casualties high_profile_media_exposure widespread_public_investigation
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#1] Two guards on-site at all times; staffing to cover shifts/vacations yields ~6 guards (used in salary calc).
Local Outpost Staff 4 [#2] Dispatcher, supervisor, medic/tech and backup watch staff for the Telluride outpost (4 staff used in salary calc).
Detection Analyst 3 [#9] Dedicated analysts monitoring feeds/social scraping (3 analysts used in salary calc).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and ranges, enabling a moderate-confidence aggregation; however, SCP-7386's global and unpredictable manifestations, per-incident variability, and discretionary decisions (regional teams vs. pay-per-incident) introduce substantial uncertainty.
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