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SCP-7419 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7419
Expected annual
$250K
One-time setup
$164K
Annual recurring
$241K
Personnel
2.0
Initial one-time setup is estimated at approximately $164,300, driven mainly by building an air-gapped test enclosure, Faraday/EM hardening, and development of an offline keyword-spotter and kill-relay. Annual recurring costs are estimated at ~$241,450/year, driven by personnel wages, anomalous-repair/replacement budget, long-term research allocation, and security/administration.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $164K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $88K
[#14] Software development and validation for the offline STT/keyword spotter (primary one-time R&D cost for safe operation).
Facilities $35K
[#1, #2, #5, #6, #21] Containment locker, sound‑isolated test enclosure, installed redundant kill switches/master cutoff, fire detection/suppression, and EM/Faraday shielding (sum of mid-range estimates).
Keyword Spotter Hardware And Engineering $18K
[#4] Development, hardening, and certification of the offline keyword detector and mechanical kill relay (hardware + engineering).
Procedures Development $12K
[#15] Initial SOP development, forms (7419-ST-1) creation, and initial compliance documentation/training materials (one-time development costs).
Equipment $12K
[#3, #7, #8, #12, #13] Initial hardwired analog audio interfaces and cabling, UPS/battery for safe shutdown (initial), spare connectors/test dummies, secure transport cases, and initial offline storage devices.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $241K/yr
Staff Wages $75K/yr
[#10] One full-time trained technician (or equivalent hourly testing labor).
Research And Monitoring $66K/yr
[#9, #13, #19, #23] Annual budget for anomalous repair/replacement (per-destroyed-instance reserve), archival/media rotation, drills/monitoring exercises, and ongoing research allocation.
Security Staffing $25K/yr
[#11] Low-level security staffing / access control (approx. 0.5 FTE equivalent).
Cover Story And Legal $20K/yr
[#17] Annual retainer / small reserve for legal, PR, and cover-story needs.
Contingency Reserve $20K/yr
[#22] Small recurring reserve for unexpected anomalous effects and unplanned responses.
Opportunity Cost $16K/yr
[#25] Estimated productivity drag / lost research opportunity equivalent (0.1–0.25 FTE).
Training And Audits $6K/yr
[#15] Recurring refresher training, periodic audits, and compliance courses for authorized personnel.
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#12, #24] Recurring escorted-movement costs and per-event disposal/retention events (secure transport and disposal logistics).
Administrative Overhead And Paperwork $4K/yr
[#16] Labor costs for filing 7419-ST-1, incident reports, approvals, and routine paperwork.
Background Vetting $3K/yr
[#18] Ongoing background checks and re-vetting of authorized personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#20] Batteries, printed forms, seals, replacement cables, labels, and other consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $650/yr
[#7] Ongoing calibration and maintenance for UPS/power/environmental monitoring equipment (recurring portion).
Audio Interface Replacements $200/yr
[#3] Annual replacements/consumables for hardwired analog recording devices and cabling.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $241K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine testing and expected maintenance/replacements only.
scheduled tests performed under SOP no major incidents or public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $251K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
One-off elevated destructive event (extra testing or accidental simultaneous run) requiring extra replacement/repair and limited investigation.
unexpected extra destructive test single serious equipment failure beyond routine repair
🚨 Major Breach $341K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Multiple-device destruction, extended investigation, significant replacements, and elevated security upgrades.
mass testing or cascade failures significant loss of research hardware
🚨 Political Exposure $491K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
External leak/public exposure requiring heavy PR/legal action, accelerated replacements, and containment hardening.
public leak of outputs legal/PR incident requiring external work
👥 Personnel 2.0 total
Role Count Notes
Research Technician / Lab Technician 1 [#10] One full-time technician to perform tests, supervise kill-switches, and maintain logs (covered by staff_wages).
Security Officer 0.5 [#11] Part-time / 0.5 FTE equivalent for storage/test-area access control and escorted transport (covered by security_staffing).
Research Scientist (part-time) 0.5 [#23] Part-time research oversight funded by the long-term research allocation (covers project work, analysis, and protocol design).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and provide ranges for each line item, but many costs depend heavily on testing frequency, repair/replacement rates for anomalous units, and policy choices (e.g., security staffing model, retainer levels). Midpoint estimates were used where ranges existed; this yields moderate confidence.
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