SCP-7421 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7421
Expected annual
$1.0M
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$998K
Personnel
5
Initial capital (property purchase + renovations and containment build) dominates one-time costs (~$1.32M). Annual operations (~$998k/yr) are driven by research staff wages, SOC/monitoring, cover operations and contingency/emergency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Facilities $1.1M
[#1, #2] Property purchase (~$1,000,000 midpoint of $500k–$2M) plus renovation/secure containment room (~$85,000 midpoint of $20k–$150k).
Equipment $90K
[#3, #4, #23] Museum-grade environmental/display case and controls (~$30,000), physical security installation (~$30,000), small capital equipment (microscopes/imaging/evidence kits ~$30,000).
Decommissioning $50K
[#26] End-of-life secure decommissioning/transfer/disposal reserve (~$50,000 midpoint of $10k–$100k).
Forensic Analysis $40K
[#10] Budgeted one-time/per-project forensic analyses (DNA, radiocarbon, pathology) for initial sample sets (~$40,000).
Site Vehicle Purchase $40K
[#22] Purchase of a site vehicle for isolated site visits (~$40,000 midpoint of $30k–$50k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10K
[#9] Archive/conservation/scanning and initial cataloging one-time setup (~$10,000).
Legal Setup $10K
[#8] One-time setup of front company and legal/administrative formation (~$10,000).
Transport Per Move $10K
[#18] Per-move secure transport / specialized packing estimate (~$10,000 per move, low-end of $2k–$15k).
Background Checks Initial $6K
[#16] Initial background checks / clearance vetting for staff (estimated ~$6,000 total based on per-person fees).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $998K/yr
Staff Wages $380K/yr
[#5, #12] Research team (conservator, forensic scientist, researchers) + on-site security staffing (1–2 FTE). Total ~$380,000/yr assumed.
Research And Monitoring $160K/yr
[#6, #11, #20] Remote SOC capacity/share (~$130,000/yr prorated), simulated experiments/compute/licenses (~$25,000/yr), secure data storage/backups (~$5,000/yr).
Emergency Response Fund $100K/yr
[#17] Rapid-response reserve for incidents, evacuations, legal incident handling (~$100,000/yr reserve).
Contingency Buffer $100K/yr
[#27] Contingency/inflation buffer (10–25% rule-of-thumb; estimated ~$100,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $86K/yr
[#7, #8] Front company operational costs (payroll for cover staff, utilities, filings ~$80,000/yr) and ongoing legal/accounting (~$6,000/yr).
Property Lease $60K/yr
[#1] Alternate recurring cost if leasing instead of purchase: ~$3k–$15k/month; midpoint ~$60,000/yr (included as option).
Logistics And Transport $35K/yr
[#18, #22] Secure courier/move frequency and specialty packing (~$30,000/yr) plus vehicle maintenance/fuel (~$5,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $17K/yr
[#3, #4, #19] Environmental control maintenance/filters (~$1,250), security monitoring/maintenance (~$3,000), utilities and routine facility upkeep (~$12,750) totaling ~$17,000/yr.
Medical And Psych Support $12K/yr
[#14] Counseling, EAP, trauma support contracts (~$12,000/yr).
Ethics Oversight $12K/yr
[#15] IRB/ethics board reviews, external consulting (~$12,000/yr).
Forensic Analysis Ongoing $10K/yr
[#10] Budget for occasional follow-up analyses/sample work (~$10,000/yr if projects continue).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#9, #13] Archival supplies, PPE, disposable labware and basic consumables (~$6,000/yr).
Documentation And Records $6K/yr
[#25] Ongoing cataloging, redaction, chain-of-custody record maintenance (~$6,000/yr).
Training And Drills $6K/yr
[#21] Annual training, containment drills, and researcher safety training (~$6,000/yr).
Insurance And Indemnity $5K/yr
[#24] Property and liability insurance for front operations (~$5,000/yr).
Background Checks $3K/yr
[#16] Ongoing periodic reinvestigations and per-person rechecks (~$3,000/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $998K/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with scheduled research, maintenance, and no major incidents.
stable containment routine research and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$95K vs baseline
Small containment incident or localized emergency requiring response, limited repairs, and short-term legal/PR support.
localized structural damage limited breach or alarm activation requiring remediation
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring large-scale emergency response, relocation/rebuild, extended legal action and PR, and extensive forensic work.
major physical breach legal/political exposure requiring containment relocation
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Conservator / Forensic Scientist 3 [#12] Three research-grade staff (conservator, forensic scientist, one additional researcher) comprising the core analytical team; salaries included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#5] Two on-site security FTEs (overnight/part-time coverage combined to ~2 FTE); salaries included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges and multiple operational options (purchase vs lease, size of research team, SOC share) create uncertainty; containment description is straightforward but local real-estate and staffing choices materially affect totals.
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