SCP-7449 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-7449
Expected annual
$451.5M
One-time setup
$20.7B
Annual recurring
$119.5M
Personnel
342
Initial one-time setup (infrastructure, stockpiles, databases and contingency seed funds) is dominated by a multi‑billion long-term contingency reserve; annual baseline operations require ~ $120M/yr driven by staffing, cyber/legal retainers, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $20.7B
Long Term Contingency Reserve $20.0B
[#24] Large emergency contingency reserve fund for national / multi-national outbreaks.
Initial Stockpile Amnestics $300.0M
[#3] One-time manufacture/stockpile of initial 1,000,000 Amnestic-7449 doses (capex/manufacture).
Facilities $130.0M
[#1, #3, #9, #19] Build-out of regional monitoring centers, mass-amnestic production facility build/validation, secure distribution nodes and secure archive/SCIF construction.
Contingency Seed Legal Fund $100.0M
[#21] One-time seed for contingency legal defense / litigation reserve trust.
Covert Containment Discretionary Fund $50.0M
[#7] Initial discretionary fund to enable local bribery/compensation/liaison operations and covert containment actions.
Equipment $47.0M
[#2, #17, #18, #22] Mobile task force vehicles/equipment and training, field broadcast-override kits, covert transport assets (vehicles/safehouses) and region non-lethal crowd-control kit purchases.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $35.0M
[#14] Secure memetics/pharmacology research lab facility and initial research instrumentation and setup.
Genealogical Database Build $15.0M
[#13] One-time build of integrated genealogical/DNA watchlist database and major-system integrations for family-tracking.
Training Curriculum Development $3.0M
[#25] Initial development of training, doctrine, translations and cultural localization for interaction with SCP-7449-B populations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $119.5M/yr
Staff Wages $48.0M/yr
[#1, #2, #10] Ongoing staffing for monitoring centers, mobile task forces and core project personnel (biannual rotations included in staff burdens).
Cover Story And Legal $20.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #20, #21] Standing cyber-ops/media-control teams, legal retainers and liaison/coordination budgets for covert information control.
Research And Monitoring $15.0M/yr
[#14, #23] Ongoing memetic/pharmacological research funding and standing ISR/satellite contracts for situational awareness.
Facilities Maintenance $8.0M/yr
[#1, #3, #9, #19] Maintenance, utilities, and secure facility upkeep for monitoring centers, production facilities, distribution nodes and archives.
Breach Mitigation Fund Annual $5.0M/yr
[#26] Standing rapid-response team and legal reserve for whistleblower/leak mitigation (operational spend, exclusive of per-campaign costs).
Logistics And Transport $3.0M/yr
[#18, #9] Ongoing leases, transport contracts, and logistics nodes operation (not including per-incident surge transport).
Psychological Services $3.0M/yr
[#11] Mandatory psychological monitoring, counseling staff and per-case intensive therapy/respite programs for exposed personnel.
Background Screening $3.0M/yr
[#12] Annual deep-dive personnel vetting and candidate screening for rotation hires.
Data Security Staffing $3.0M/yr
[#19] Ongoing secure-archive staff, redaction, forensics and secure data storage operations.
Covert Transport Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#18] Ongoing leases, maintenance and staffing for covert transport/safehouse networks.
Supplies And Consumables $2.0M/yr
[#27] Baseline consumables (PPE, medical disposables, fuel, cold-chain electricity) for regional operations.
Genealogical Watchlist Monitoring $2.0M/yr
[#13] Ongoing watchlist monitoring and low-intensity surveillance of priority family members.
Contracts With Civilian Services Retainer $2.0M/yr
[#20] Regional retainers/agreements with civilian hospitals, coroners and emergency services to ensure cooperation.
Training Refreshers $1.5M/yr
[#25] Ongoing training refreshers, exercises and localization updates for staff working with SCP-7449-B populations.
Field Comm Override Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#17] Maintenance and periodic testing of field broadcast override/jamming equipment and teams.
Mass Administration Per Incident $0/yr
[#4] Per-incident administration costs (tablets, IV/sedation, clinic ops) — variable; not included in baseline.
Amnestic Production Per Dose $0/yr
[#3] Per-dose production cost ($100–$500/dose) — per-incident variable; not included in baseline.
Surveillance Deployment Per Incident $0/yr
[#6] Deployable remote surveillance packages per incident — variable; not included in baseline.
Mass Medical Surge Per Incident $0/yr
[#5] Per-incident medical surge (field hospitals, staffing, blood supplies) — variable; not included in baseline.
Emergency Burials And Casualty Handling Per Incident $0/yr
[#15] Per-fatality handling and mass-casualty disposal costs — per-incident variable.
Memorial Compensation Per Incident $0/yr
[#16] Per-incident family compensation and settlement pools — variable.
Decommissioning Per Incident $0/yr
[#28] Post-incident records sanitization, reassignment and legal erasures — per-incident variable.
Miscellaneous Operational Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $119.5M/yr
61.0% probability / year
No major SCP-7449 incidents occur during the year; standing operational costs only.
no outbreak regular monitoring and research
🚨 Small Incident $179.5M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Localized county / small-city event (100k–500k affected).
county-scale outbreak localized mass administration and medical surge
🚨 Medium Incident $919.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$800.0M vs baseline
Large city / small-state event (1M–10M affected).
metro/regional outbreak mass amnestic production & nationwide PR/medical surge
🚨 Large National Event $25.1B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0B vs baseline
Nation-state or multi-national outbreak (tens to hundreds of millions affected).
national-scale outbreak mass manufacture & administration of amnestics, national PR and diplomatic costs
👥 Personnel 342 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 160 Active mobile teams and security detail for covert transport and in-field operations. [#2, #18]
Research Scientist 40 Memetics/pharmacology researchers and lab staff for Amnestic-7449 R&D. [#3, #14]
Monitoring Analyst 80 24/7 regional monitoring centers staff for media/memetic/behavioral anomaly detection. [#1]
Administrative Staff 30 Logistics, liaison, legal-admin and covert contract managers. [#7, #20]
Engineer / Maintenance 20 Facility and equipment maintenance, cold-chain and ISR support. [#1, #17, #19]
Medical Officer 10 Clinical staff to support mass-administration planning and emergency response. [#4, #5]
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 Project leadership and regional coordination. [#10]
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide variance in geographic scope, per-dose memetic production costs, and legally/ politically driven PR/compensation requirements produce large uncertainty; analyst ranges are broad and frequency of events is unknown, hence low confidence.
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