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SCP-7474 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7474
Expected annual
$5.1M
One-time setup
$2.7M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
21
Estimated one-time capital and reserve requirements are about $2.69M, driven by storage upgrades, vehicle/equipment procurement, and contingency/scale-up reserves; baseline annual operations are roughly $4.91M/yr driven by personnel, misinformation/legal programs, research, and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M
Contingency Reserve One Time $1.0M
[#16] One-time catastrophic leak reserve (maintainable reserve for large exposure).
Scale Up Reserve One Time $1.0M
[#25] One-time rapid procurement/scale-up reserve for accelerated manifestations.
Equipment $335K
[#6, #13, #7, #21] Vehicles and transport hardware initial purchase ($220k), secure database initial build/adaptation ($60k), evidence/containment kit initial ($15k), communications/evidence verification tools initial ($40k).
Facilities $290K
[#1, #15, #19] Site-76 storage wing hardening and shelving/cabinets/CCTV ($100k), destruction facility capital (incinerator/shredder) ($150k), initial environmental compliance/permitting costs ($40k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $69K
[#2, #18, #17] Climate control & environmental monitoring setup for stored items ($24k), archive accession & long-term sample storage supplies initial ($20k), initial training content creation ($25k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#9, #10, #14, #16, #24] Misinformation/influence operations budget ($350k) [#9], legal retainers and contingency payoff funds ($400k) [#10], subscriptions element of PR monitoring ($15k) [#14], recurring contingency/legal settlement fund contribution ($500k) [#16], crisis communications retainer ($300k) [#24].
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #14] Permanent research staff payroll and benefits (~$550k) [#3], security staffing wages (~$360k) [#4], incremental rapid-response personnel costs (~$350k) [#5], PR monitoring FTE (~$50k) [#14].
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#8, #22, #23] Analytical testing of confiscated items (50 items/yr estimate ~$300k) [#8], sustained long-term research program ($500k) [#22], intelligence/field surveillance and analytics ($200k) [#23].
Logistics And Transport $520K/yr
[#6, #12, #11] Vehicle fuel/maintenance and comms recurring ($20k) [#6], international cross-border recovery costs ($200k) [#12], incident-level crowd control & local suppression contractual costs (~$300k) [#11].
Scale Up Replenish $200K/yr
[#25] Annual replenishment / replenishment target for scale-up rapid procurement fund.
Facilities Maintenance $128K/yr
[#2, #4, #13, #15, #19] Climate/HVAC monitoring and small HVAC modifications ($7k) [#2], security system maintenance ($20k) [#4], secure DB hosting/maintenance ($36k) [#13], destruction facility operation ($60k) [#15], waste disposal monitoring/permits recurring ($5k) [#19].
Crisis Incident Ad Hoc $100K/yr
[#24] Ad-hoc per-incident crisis communications / PR cleanup (estimated annualized budget for occasional major incidents).
Administrative Overhead $60K/yr
[#20] Administrative overhead, office allocations, phone/data lines, bank/finance overhead and miscellaneous supplies.
Training And Briefings $12K/yr
[#17] Recurring delivery, testing and records for mandatory briefing modules and periodic refreshers.
Supplies And Consumables $11K/yr
[#7, #18, #21] Consumable evidence/containment replenishment ($3k) [#7], archive replenishment ($3k) [#18], recurring comms/burner phone/device pools ($5k) [#21].
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine recoveries, standard research, security, logistics, and ongoing misinformation/legal work; no major incidents requiring large settlements or emergency scale-up.
routine_recoveries no_major_public_exposure steady_manifestation_rate
🚨 Minor Incident $5.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized public incident requiring elevated on-site crowd control, additional rapid-response deployments, targeted legal/PR spending and modest settlements.
localized_exposure heightened_media_attention multiple simultaneous_recoveries
🚨 Major Breach $6.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment/cover failure across one or more regions requiring large-scale recovery, heavy legal settlements, large misinformation/ops surge and use of reserves.
regional_exposure mass_media_coverage multiple_large_settlements
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $14.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Wide-scale public exposure or cascade of manifestations requiring emergency global response, full mobilization of scale-up reserves, major settlements and multi-region operations.
global_media_exposure mass_casualties_or_harm legal_and_political_crisis
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (senior anomalous materials researcher) 2 [#3] Permanent senior researchers assigned to SCP-7474.
Research Technician / Lab Technician 3 [#3] Lab technicians for analysis and sample prep.
Cataloging / Data Specialist 1 [#3] Cataloging and inventory/data management specialist for SCP-7474 items.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] Site security staffing (3 shifts × 2 guards).
Rapid Response Operative 8 [#5] Two mobile teams (4 operatives each) for field recovery and triage.
PR / Communications Analyst 1 [#14] 0.5–1 FTE for PR monitoring and social listening (counted as 1 FTE here).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed cost ranges for nearly every line item, enabling mid-range estimates, but large uncertainties remain in manifestation frequency, geographic scope, and organizational posture (integrated vs separate rapid-response teams), so confidence is medium.
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