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SCP-7487 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7487
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$3.5M
Annual recurring
$2.6M
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time containment and remediation costs are approximately $3.49M, with recurring annual operations roughly $2.59M; main drivers are facility retrofit/contingency, specialist research/lab costs, staff wages, and medical monitoring/legal preparedness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.5M
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#20] Contingency reserve for unexpected escalation, emergency expansion, or settlements.
Facilities $835K
[#3, #9, #25] Retrofit/demolition and structural remediation (shop retrofit to containment standards, initial interior biohazard clean, and remediation of contaminated environmental systems).
Insurance Reserve $500K
[#24] One-time insurance/indemnity reserve for potential high-value civil suits and settlements.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#6] Initial BSL-3/BSL-4 lab usage and intensive specialized assays (first 3-6 months of analysis).
Equipment $215K
[#5, #7] Evidence refrigeration/locker hardware and purchase of specialized prion-capable autoclave.
Cover Buyout $150K
[#14] Cover/operational deception costs including site buyout or closure compensation.
Monitoring It Setup $150K
[#15] One-time secure database and IT setup for customer monitoring and analytics.
Tactical Raid $100K
[#1] Immediate raid / secure lockdown (MTF overtime, vehicles, non-lethal gear, tactical planning).
Legal Setup $100K
[#13] One-time legal coordination, counsel setup, and immediate interagency liaison costs.
Initial Psych Care $75K
[#17] Immediate psychological/behavioral care for staff, witnesses, and exposed civilians (initial cohort care).
Public Health Notification $50K
[#23] One-time public health notification and community outreach costs if required.
Training One Time $30K
[#18] Initial specialized prion-safe training sessions and PPE fit-testing for staff.
Initial Disposal Incineration $20K
[#4] Initial disposal/incineration batches for contaminated biological waste.
Initial Secure Transport Budget $15K
[#8] Initial budget for multiple secure transfers (biohazard containers, armored/secured transport for evidence/detainees).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#2, #11, #15] Salaries for 24/7 security guards (initial stabilization) and a core research team plus monitoring analysts (security and research staffing).
Research And Monitoring $610K/yr
[#6, #15, #21] Ongoing BSL-3/4 assays and specialist lab time, monitoring-system maintenance/analytics, and forensic anthropology/DNA match investigations.
Medical Monitoring $300K/yr
[#12] Ongoing medical monitoring, follow-ups, and care for exposed agents/customers.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#13] Ongoing legal retainer, coordination with civil authorities, and PR/cover-story maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $120K/yr
[#16] Undercover operations, periodic undercover buys, and cybermonitoring to detect black-market resale; logistics for evidence movement beyond per-transfer consumables.
Legal Settlement Reserve Annual $100K/yr
[#24] Annual allocation toward legal defense and settlement reserve (ongoing funding).
Supplies And Consumables $65K/yr
[#4, #8, #18] PPE consumables, per-transfer transport consumables, and recurring waste disposal/incineration costs.
Psychological Care $50K/yr
[#17] Ongoing counseling and behavioral care for staff and exposed civilians.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#10, #5] Ongoing HVAC/utilities/negative-pressure maintenance and climate control for evidence storage.
Ethical Oversight $25K/yr
[#19] Annual costs for ethical review board, external oversight, and compliance documentation.
Incinerator Rental $10K/yr
[#7] Recurring per-use incinerator rental / specialized decon access costs.
Long Term Translational Research $0/yr
[#22] Optional long-term translational research program left at $0 in baseline; large-scale research is modeled in scenarios.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.6M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment maintained, routine research and monitoring only.
no major incidents steady monitoring routine lab work
🚨 Minor Incident $2.8M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized escalation: additional contamination event or small cluster of exposed customers requiring surge response.
localized contamination extra medical follow-ups short-term increased security
🚨 Major Breach $8.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$6.0M vs baseline
Public exposure or large legal/settlement event requiring emergency expansion of containment, mass outreach, and major settlements.
public disclosure large class-action suits municipal involvement
🚨 Research Scaleup $4.1M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Organization pursues an active translational research and preclinical development program.
decision to fund translational research long-term animal studies
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#2] 24/7 guards for initial stabilization and perimeter control (4-8 recommended; mid-case assumed).
Research Scientist 4 [#11] Molecular biologists/pathologists/epidemiologists to run assays and studies (3-6 range; mid-case assumed).
Monitoring Analyst 2 [#15] Analysts to maintain customer surveillance database and review anomalies (1-4 range; mid-case assumed).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most categories, enabling reasonable mid-range estimates, but major uncertainties remain (decision to retain vs demolish site, number of customers needing monitoring, prion-risk severity, and possible legal exposure), so overall confidence is medium.
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