SCP-7509
Fungal/Pathogen
?
low confidence
SCP-7509
Expected annual
$42.6M
One-time setup
$60.6M
Annual recurring
$38.4M
Personnel
88
Initial one-time setup for a modest single-site containment program is roughly $61M, driven by BSL-4 facility construction, emergency reserve seed, and lab setup; recurring annual costs are ~ $38.4M, driven by staff wages, R&D and monitoring, prophylaxis and training, and legal/cover-story operations.
One-Time Capital Costs
Total: $60.6M
Annual Recurring Costs
Total: $38.4M/yr
Cost Scenarios
📊
Baseline
(baseline)
$38.4M/yr
Normal year with ongoing containment, monitoring, R&D, and cover operations but no major incidents.
no breach
routine surveillance
regular R&D activity
🚨
Minor Incident
$43.4M/yr
Localized containment breach or cluster of cases requiring surge quarantine beds, extra diagnostics, targeted amnestic/cover actions and short-term staffing surge.
small containment breach
localized public exposure
temporary surge in hospitalizations
🚨
Major Breach
$88.4M/yr
Significant regional release requiring mass prophylaxis, large-scale quarantines, expanded ICU/surgical interventions and major PR/legal interventions.
regional spread
multiple-site outbreaks
large hospitalization surge
🚨
Catastrophic Breach
$2.0B/yr
Wide-release or failure requiring national/international emergency response, mass incineration/remediation, ecological mitigation and prolonged recovery.
widespread uncontrolled release
failure of multiple containment sites
rapid global transmission
Personnel
88 total
| Role | Count | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Research Scientist | 10 | [#18, #23] PIs, postdocs and lead lab staff performing R&D, sequencing and method development. |
| Medical Officer | 12 | [#10, #11] Thoracic surgeons, anesthesiologists and ICU physicians required for contained surgical interventions and high-acuity care. |
| Security Officer / MTF Agent | 20 | [#12] Site security and patient transport protection for quarantine and containment operations. |
| Administrative Staff | 8 | [#12, #20] Administration, finance, legal liaison and front-corporation operational staff. |
| Engineer / Maintenance | 4 | [#4, #15, #25] HVAC, BSL-4 systems, autoclave and incinerator maintenance and facility engineering. |
| Epidemiologist / Data Analyst | 8 | [#5, #7, #8] Continuous epidemiological monitoring, data-platform analysts, and outbreak detection staff. |
| Site Director / Executive Staff | 1 | [#1] Program/site leadership and executive oversight. |
| Medical Technician / Lab Tech | 15 | [#5, #15, #23] Clinical lab technicians, PCR/sequencing techs, and sample handling staff. |
| Nurse / ICU staff | 10 | [#10, #11] Nursing staff and ICU support to maintain continuous high-acuity patient care under containment. |
Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on wide ranges provided in analyst notes and depend heavily on program scale (number of sites, staff and incident rate). The anomalous biology and secrecy requirements create substantial uncertainty in frequency of incidents and required surge resources.