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SCP-7515 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7515
Expected annual
$85.8M
One-time setup
$484.4M
Annual recurring
$83.2M
Personnel
12
Initial capital and reserve one-time costs are large (~$484M) driven by satellite assets, global sensor network, MTF establishment, and long‑term contingency funds; annual operating costs are substantial (~$83M/year) driven by intelligence/counter-intelligence, covert influence/cover operations, satellite/observatory operations, and core research staffing.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $484.4M
Long Term Contingency Reserve One Time $275.0M
[#30] Large escalation reserve to scale national/global responses to sustained anomalous clustering.
Equipment $147.0M
[#3, #5, #11, #27, #29, #16] Global all-sky sensor stations, satellite fleet hardware (excl. ground station), MTF vehicles/equipment/aircraft (equipment portion), secure transport vehicles, portable photometry/spectrometers, COMSEC hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $11.5M
[#7, #19] HPC/cluster procurement and laboratory buildout / apparatus for mitigation R&D and tabletop experiments.
Public Safety Reserve One Time $11.0M
[#14] Capital reserve for emergency medical/shelter/logistics stockpile to be held and deployed as needed.
Forensic Legal Reserve One Time $10.5M
[#21] Contingency reserve for litigation, settlements, paid witnesses and large one-time legal actions.
Legal Big Actions $10.0M
[#13] Reserve for intermittent large buyouts, observatory acquisition/co-option, or one-off black-ops payments referenced in note #13.
Stockpile Front Company One Time $8.5M
[#28] One-time capitalization for creation of shell NGOs / front companies / grant funds network.
Facilities $7.5M
[#5, #11, #22] Allocation for satellite ground-station buildout, MTF training facility construction and climate-controlled artifact storage.
Historical Artifact Procurement $2.8M
[#22] Purchases/suppressions of artifacts and secure conservation initial costs.
Historical Archives Procurement $600K
[#8] One-time acquisition, authentication and digitization purchases for major archives and artifacts.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $83.2M/yr
Cover Story And Legal $20.2M/yr
[#12, #20, #25] Covert influence / information-suppression operations, public-cover story campaigns and media monitoring / rapid-response platforms.
Intelligence Ops $17.5M/yr
[#15] HUMINT/SIGINT/cyber-ops and surveillance budgets directed at rival groups, GOC cells and potential disclosure attempts.
Research And Monitoring $13.6M/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #18, #19, #23, #24] Satellite mission operations and data processing, HPC/cloud ops, archival maintenance, epidemiology/statistics population studies, red-team/safety research, ongoing mitigation R&D operations, public-health liaison monitoring, and observer training recurring costs.
Legal And Black Ops $8.5M/yr
[#13] Ongoing legal, diplomatic and covert liaison costs to influence observatories/agencies and maintain controlled data feeds.
Mtf Ops $8.0M/yr
[#11] Recurring salaries, training, maintenance, readiness and operational costs for MTF "Sun Dogs".
Stockpile Maintenance $5.5M/yr
[#28] Recurring budget to maintain front-company networks, grant channels and anonymized incentive funds.
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#1] Salaries, benefits and premiums for Lambda-22 core research team (~12 researchers).
Admin Overhead $1.8M/yr
[#31] General administrative overhead: procurement, HR, travel, clearances and accounting for programs.
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#2] Proportional Site-██ operational overhead attributable to SCP-7515 (utilities, specialized climate control, insurance, secure storage).
Public Safety Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#14] Annual replenishment and readiness costs to maintain the public-safety / disaster relief reserve.
Logistics And Transport $650K/yr
[#27] Recurring transport costs: fuel, maintenance, drivers for secure transportation and personnel extraction capability.
Personnel Vetting $650K/yr
[#17] Background checks, psychological counseling, rotation allowances and clearance maintenance for exposed staff.
Ground Network Maintenance $600K/yr
[#4] Maintenance, replacement, comms/ uplink fees and travel for ~300 all-sky stations.
Secure Comms Ops $600K/yr
[#16] Recurring maintenance/lease and replacement cycles for hardened COMSEC and redundant channels.
Forensic Retainer $500K/yr
[#21] Ongoing legal retainer and forensic/legal defense preparations for exposed incidents.
Ethical Oversight $500K/yr
[#26] Internal compliance, IRB-like boards and audit costs for experiments and human subject oversight.
Historical Artifact Conservation $200K/yr
[#22] Climate control, conservation staff and ongoing secure storage costs for acquired artifacts.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $83.2M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major disclosure or large incidents; routine monitoring, research, covert influence and operations continue at budgeted levels.
no_major_leak routine_operations steady_event_rate
🚨 Minor Incident $93.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized public exposure or small media leak requiring targeted MTF deployment, intensified legal/media suppression and replenishment of short-term reserves.
localized_public_exposure small_media_leak limited_MTF_response
🚨 Major Breach $233.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Large-scale disclosure, governmental inquiry or mass hysteria requiring nationwide MTF mobilization, major legal settlements, deployment of contingency reserves and large-scale cover operations/rebuilding.
national_media_break government_inquiry widespread_hysteria
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Senior Research Scientist / Astrophysicist 2 [#1] Senior staff included in Lambda-22 core team salary estimate.
Research Scientist / Physicist 4 [#1] Mid-level researchers included in Lambda-22 core team salary estimate.
Technician / Engineer 4 [#1] Technical staff for instrument maintenance, sensor ops and field support included in Lambda-22 core team.
Data Scientist / Analyst 2 [#1] Data scientists for correlation, ML and historical analysis included in Lambda-22 core team.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates follow analyst-provided ranges and midpoints; many line items have wide ranges (satellite programs, black-ops, contingency reserves) and geopolitical/operational uncertainty, so totals carry moderate uncertainty.
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