SCP-7565 Uncontained ~ medium confidence
SCP-7565
Expected annual
$5.4M
One-time setup
$11.5M
Annual recurring
$5.3M
Personnel
25
One-time setup and containment construction dominate costs (~$11.5M), with recurring operations, security, and specialized staff driving annual expenses (~$5.34M/year). Key drivers are a purpose-built aquatic containment facility, contracted security/helicopter support, and ongoing field research/logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.5M
Facilities $7.4M
[#2, #13, #24, #25] Field base camp buildout, reinforced aquatic containment construction, environmental impact assessment/mitigation, and decommissioning/site remediation.
Equipment $2.3M
[#1, #3, #4, #9, #10, #11, #12, #16, #17, #21, #22] Advance reconnaissance (satellite/aerial purchases), purchase/long-term lease of boats/transport, helicopter campaign costs, specialized capture hardware, initial immobilization/veterinary equipment, underwater monitoring/ROV systems, drone fleet, emergency containment equipment purchase, per-specimen necropsy kit/equipment, initial decontamination setup, and secure comm/data hardware.
Contingency Reserve $1.5M
[#20] One-time contingency reserve for reparations/major unexpected political/security costs as recommended in analyst notes.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#18, #19] Initial genetic/lab research program setup (sequencing/imaging) and behavioral monitoring hardware/data-storage lab setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#5, #15, #23] Field personnel salaries & hazard pay, veterinary staffing and ongoing personnel rotation/training/medevac contracts.
Armed Security $1.0M/yr
[#6] Contracted armed security, escorts, guard shifts and coordination costs to protect teams and containment sites.
Facilities Maintenance $720K/yr
[#2, #11, #12, #16, #21, #22] Ongoing maintenance of field base and permanent containment (mechanical/filtration), sonar/ROV/drone maintenance, emergency equipment upkeep, decontamination consumables, and secure comm/server maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $650K/yr
[#8, #20, #27] Legal/diplomatic/cover-up costs, insurance premiums and public-relations/false-front operating costs.
Research And Monitoring $390K/yr
[#18, #19, #26] Ongoing genetic/lab research, behavioral monitoring programs, and long-term population/sightings monitoring if capture fails.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#3, #4] Annual fuel/maintenance for boats/vehicles and recurring helicopter contract/standby costs during operations.
Supplies And Consumables $280K/yr
[#2, #10, #14] Field camp consumables/logistics resupply, immobilization/veterinary resupply, and long-term feeding/husbandry consumables.
Community Engagement $150K/yr
[#7] Payments to local chiefs, compensation, recruitment of local trackers and community mitigation funds.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.3M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal year of operations with routine surveys, research, feeding and security; no major incidents or public exposure.
routine_field_ops ongoing_research standard_security_patrols
🚨 Minor Incident $5.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small-scale incident (injury, equipment loss, targeted poaching event) requiring rapid response and modest replacement/medical/legal costs.
field_injury equipment_damage localized_poaching_conflict
🚨 Major Breach $7.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Capture failure with specimen escape or destructive incident requiring large-scale response, expanded security, international legal/diplomatic action, and emergency containment construction.
specimen_escape major_infrastructure_damage large-scale_medical_response
🚨 Political Exposure $6.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
High-profile exposure or diplomatic incident raising legal defense, bribes, large contingency payouts and expanded cover operations.
media_exposure government_probe local_unrest
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Field Biologist 10 Field researchers, trackers and specialists conducting surveys and data collection. (Maps to #5)
Boat & Logistics Crew / Local Trackers 6 Boat operators, mechanics, local guides supporting field operations. (Maps to #5)
Veterinary Staff (vets & techs) 4 Large-animal veterinarians and vet techs for immobilization and long-term husbandry. (Maps to #15, #10)
Lab Technicians / Data Analysts 3 Genetics, imaging, and behavioral data processing staff. (Maps to #18, #19)
Administrative Staff / Project Managers 2 Logistics managers, admin, and liaison for legal/diplomatic coordination. (Maps to #8, #23)
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many items (security, containment size, political risk) have wide ranges and contingent outcomes, producing moderate confidence in aggregate estimates.
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