SCP-7599 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7599
Expected annual
$11.8B
One-time setup
$9.7B
Annual recurring
$11.7B
Personnel
1100
Large up-front capital expenditures (infrastructure, repair, evacuation/resettlement) dominate one-time costs (~$9.7B), while recurring annual costs are dominated by economic-impact mitigation and utilities (~$11.75B/year). Major drivers are economic compensation, utilities, logistics, and long-term R&D/security.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.7B
Evacuation Resettlement $5.5B
[#28] One-time contingency for mass evacuation/resettlement of 500k–700k people (midpoint of $1–10B+).
Property Repair $2.8B
[#20] Urban cleanup, demolition, and large-scale infrastructure rebuilding (midpoint of $0.5–5+B range).
Utilities Microgrid Install $500.0M
[#13] Option B one-time cost: Foundation installs microgrids/water treatment to replace local utilities (midpoint of $300–700M range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300.0M
[#6, #10, #25] BSL-4/BSL-4+/anomalous containment buildout and lab retrofits (#6); initial PPE/decontamination procurement and setup (#10); initial archival/infrastructure for secure sample/data storage (#25).
Contingency Reserve Initial $275.0M
[#23] Initial containment R&D contingency reserve (midpoint of $50–500M).
Compensation Payouts Initial $175.0M
[#15] Initial buyouts/compensation and clandestine payments to local/state actors (midpoint of $50–300M initial estimate).
Equipment $160.0M
[#3, #4, #5, #8] Rapid-reaction vehicles and aircraft (#3); long-term sensor network install (#4); drone fleet procurement (#5); specialized analytic hardware purchases (#8).
Facilities $67.5M
[#1, #11, #26] Perimeter barriers and structural work for sealing the metro (#1); morgue/forensic capacity upgrades (#11); procurement/installation of backup generators and fuel storage (#26).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.7B/yr
Economic Impact Compensation $10.0B/yr
[#19] Systemic economic-impact value/compensation to prevent cascading regional/national disruptions (conservative nominal chosen value; range in notes was $10B–100B+/year).
Utilities Payments $500.0M/yr
[#13] Option A recurring cost: pay local utilities/providers under Foundation control (midpoint of $200–800M/year).
Logistics And Transport $475.0M/yr
[#14, #24] Food/medical distribution and controlled convoys for the population (#14) plus regional transportation rerouting and logistics adjustments (#24).
Research And Monitoring $241.0M/yr
[#9, #12, #25] Experimental neutralization R&D program (amortized annual funding estimate); public-health surveillance/epidemiology programs; long-term monitoring/data archiving operational costs.
Utilities Microgrid Ops $100.0M/yr
[#13] Option B recurring ops: ongoing microgrid/water treatment operations if Foundation installs infrastructure ($50–150M/year midpoint).
Staff Wages $94.0M/yr
[#2, #7] 24/7 armed guard staffing (900 positions × $60k = $54M) and research operational salaries (estimated $40M/year for research teams).
Cover Story And Legal $60.5M/yr
[#16, #17, #21] Media blackout/takedowns and suppression ops (#16); cover-story creation and staging (#17); legal defense and settlement reserves (#21).
Compensation Ongoing $60.0M/yr
[#15] Ongoing hush/compensation funds to local/state actors and corporations (midpoint of $20–100M/year).
International Diplomacy And Covert Relations $55.0M/yr
[#18] Diplomatic briefings, covert payments, and foreign-relations costs to avoid intervention (midpoint of $10–100M/year).
Contingency Reserve Replenish $50.0M/yr
[#23] Annual replenishment budget for containment R&D/emergency experimental countermeasures (ongoing reserve replenishment).
Cyber And Internal Security $30.0M/yr
[#29] Ongoing counterintelligence, cybersecurity, and internal-security operations to prevent leaks and sabotage (midpoint of $10–50M/year).
Psychological Operations $25.0M/yr
[#22] Population-management, morale, informant networks, and limited psy-ops within the sealed zone (midpoint of $10–40M/year).
Personnel Rotation And Quarantine $12.5M/yr
[#27] Secure transport, quarantine facilities, and rotation logistics for Foundation staff entering/exiting the zone.
Stewardship And Training $12.5M/yr
[#30] Long-term stewardship, training, documentation, and institutional-memory programs.
Power Ops And Fuel $10.0M/yr
[#26] Maintenance, fuel replenishment, and testing for backup generators and UPS systems (midpoint of $5–15M/year).
Supplies And Consumables $6.0M/yr
[#10] PPE consumables, decontamination supplies, hazardous-waste handling and disposal operations (midpoint of $2–10M/year).
Facilities Maintenance $5.5M/yr
[#4] Ongoing maintenance, bandwidth, storage, and upkeep for long-term surveillance network (midpoint of $3–8M/year).
Morgue Operations $5.5M/yr
[#11] Operating costs for expanded morgue/forensic capacity, staff, transportation, and incineration (midpoint of $3–8M/year).
Analytic Service Contracts $5.0M/yr
[#8] Recurring service contracts and per-run costs for high-end analytic instruments and external beamtime access.
Drone Ops $2.0M/yr
[#5] Annual operations, maintenance, and replacement parts for drone fleet.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.7B/yr
96.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with ongoing containment, surveillance, utilities payments and routine R&D; no major incidents or evacuations.
stable_containment routine_research_and_ops ongoing_compensation_and_utilities
🚨 Minor Incident $12.2B/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Localized containment or infrastructure incident requiring emergency response, limited repairs, and surge operations (no full evacuation).
localized_infrastructure_damage sensor_or_power_failure minor_public_unrest
🚨 Major Breach $20.5B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$8.8B vs baseline
Severe containment failure or decision to evacuate/relocate large population and undertake large-scale reconstruction and settlements.
mass_evacuation_decision widespread_property_damage major_public_order_crisis
👥 Personnel 1100 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 900 24/7 armed guard staffing for perimeter and checkpoints (300 per shift × 3 shifts); fully burdened ~$60k/yr each. [#2]
Research Staff (Scientists & Technicians) 200 Combined research operational personnel at Sites 322 & 333 for neutralization and lab ops; count aligns with selected recurring research salary budget. [#7]
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid confidence: analyst notes provide ranges and line-item estimates but many items have wide ranges (utilities choice, economic-impact scale, multi-year R&D uncertainty). Large systemic risks (economic impact, evacuation) dominate uncertainty.
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