SCP-7615 — SCP-7615 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7615 Neutralized ~ medium confidence

SCP-7615

Expected annual

$766K

One-time setup

$3.0M

Annual recurring

$726K

Personnel

One-time costs for purchase, demolition and remediation are the largest expenses (~$3.0M); recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages and ongoing monitoring (~$726k/yr). Main drivers: property acquisition, demolition/abatement, security/research payroll, and contingency.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.0M

Facilities $1.2M

[#1] Purchase of ZvezdoPark, transaction fees, immediate title/legal work.

Demolition $500K

[#17] Controlled demolition of structure, removal of slides, heavy equipment disposal.

Contingency Fund $250K

[#28] Reserve for unforeseen issues (local investigations, protests, emergent biohazards).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $210K

[#7, #10, #11, #13] Initial data/IT setup, field lab mobilization and PPE, chemical/toxicological analyses, forensic osteology/DNA testing.

Abatement $120K

[#18] Asbestos/lead/mold abatement and certified hazardous-material removal prior to demolition.

Bribes And Cover Payments $100K

[#4] Lump-sum discrete payments to suppress scrutiny and manipulate permits.

Property Write Down $100K

[#29] One-time write-down/resale loss if site cannot be marketed plausibly after demolition.

Equipment $80K

[#6, #12] CCTV/sensor systems installation and initial secure storage hardware (cryogenic freezers, cabinets).

Hazardous Waste Removal $80K

[#15] Specialized contractors to treat/remove contaminated water, sludge, neon-pink residues.

Legal Counsel $80K

[#26] International/local counsel for purchase closing, criminal exposure risk, and legal cover narratives.

Post Demolition Testing $60K

[#20] Soil/groundwater testing, remediation/capping and engineering to restore or sequester site.

Witness Management $50K

[#22] NDA/settlements, relocation, counseling, and monitoring for affected ex-employees/guests.

Pool Draining And Filtration Disposal $40K

[#16] Draining large pools, neutralizing water streams, pump/filter replacement or disposal.

Front Company Formation $30K

[#2] Front company registration, bank accounts, local counsel and notary fees.

Public Relations $30K

[#25] Local media payments, alternate narratives, press materials to contain public reaction.

Final Evidence Disposition $30K

[#30] Certified destruction (chemical disposal/incineration) of remaining anomalous material; alternative long-term containment option not selected here.

Remains Disposition $20K

[#14] Incineration/cremation or clandestine disposition under cover narratives.

Demolition Security $15K

[#19] Temporary fencing, guards, traffic control, permit fees or suppression activity during demolition.

Record Redaction $10K

[#27] Secure shredding, digital erasure, and creation of sanitized archives.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $726K/yr

Staff Wages $490K/yr

[#5, #24] On-site security rotations and research/analyst payroll for chemists, toxicologists, forensic specialists, and coordinating officers.

Travel And Accommodation $50K/yr

[#8] International deployments, flights, visas, hotels, and per diems for rotating investigation teams.

Medical Monitoring $50K/yr

[#23] Annual toxicology screens, psychiatric follow-ups and therapy for exposed cohort.

Local Contractors And Interpreters $40K/yr

[#9] Local hires, interpreters, liaison officers and short-term contractors to assist operations.

Facilities Maintenance $20K/yr

[#21] Utilities, heating, electricity, dehumidification, basic insurance and property taxes during holding/monitoring period.

Research And Monitoring $20K/yr

[#7] Ongoing analytical work and periodic follow-up assays beyond initial testing.

Front Company Maintenance $15K/yr

[#3] Annual accounting, filings, nominee director fees and bank account maintenance for the front company.

Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr

[#25, #26] Ongoing small-scale PR/legal maintenance to sustain cover narratives and local legal exposure management.

Land Carrying Costs $10K/yr

[#29] Annual taxes, insurance and minimal holding costs if land must be retained/sequestered.

Data Storage And It Maintenance $8K/yr

[#7] Encrypted server/cloud backups, secure communications maintenance and analyst workstation upkeep.

Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr

[#10] PPE resupply, per-shipment consumables and routine field-lab expendables.

Logistics And Transport $5K/yr

[#15, #16] Transport/shipping of hazardous materials, waste manifests, and specialized contractor logistics.

Secure Storage Maintenance $3K/yr

[#12] Electricity and routine monitoring for cryogenic freezers/secure cabinets storing retained samples.

Long Term Containment Maintenance $0/yr

[#30] Long-term containment maintenance not selected (evidence destruction chosen); set to zero for baseline.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $726K/yr

88.0% probability / year

Normal year of monitoring, maintenance, and routine operations with no major incidents.

no incidents standard monitoring routine legal/PR maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $926K/yr

10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

Local investigation or exposure requiring additional testing, PR/legal payouts and limited escalation.

local media attention limited police inquiry additional forensic/toxicology tests

🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Significant exposure: public discovery of remains/anomalous samples, major legal/political attention requiring large bribery, extended remediation and emergency operations.

public discovery of remains criminal investigation large-scale remediation required

👥 Personnel 11 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#5] On-site security rotations and guard force for 24/7 coverage.
Research Scientist	2	[#24] Chemists/toxicologists responsible for analyses and coordination.
Forensic Specialist / Anthropologist (contract)	1	[#13, #24] Expert consultant for osteology/DNA analysis (part of research payroll/contracting).
Site Director / Executive Staff	1	[#24] Project lead coordinating operations, legal and cover efforts.
Administrative Staff	1	[#3] Administrative and cover-company support (accounting/records).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide ranges for most line items but many items (bribes, abatement, write-downs) are highly uncertain and site-dependent; medium confidence reflects reasonable cost anchors but significant scenario variability.

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