SCP-7642 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7642
Expected annual
$5.2M
One-time setup
$6.3M
Annual recurring
$5.0M
Personnel
9
Initial, one-time setup is approximately $6.3M driven by road/access work, Site-20 vault upgrades, lab and field-capex, and a large initial contingency; ongoing annual operations are roughly $5.0M/yr driven by research staff and services, helicopter logistics, and covert cover/legal and contingency costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.3M
Facilities $2.2M
[#1, #2, #6, #7, #16, #26, #30] Road/access construction, field basecamp buildout, chamber stabilization, perimeter installation, Site-20 vault build/upgrade, spoil handling, and final decommissioning/backfill.
Contingency Reserve Initial $1.5M
[#28] Initial contingency/emergency reserve (25–40% recommendation applied to aggregated startup budget as a lump reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#12, #13, #17, #18, #23] Initial wet-lab (BSL-2) buildout and cold-chain freezers, initial laboratory analysis program funding, PPE and field consumables initial buy, and initial long-term sample storage (LN2 tanks/cryostorage).
Cover Arrangements Initial $500K
[#10] Upfront local-government cover arrangements, permits, legal fees, and initial discreet payments to establish plausible archaeological cover.
Equipment $395K
[#3, #5, #8, #27] Power genset & fuel-storage equipment purchase, heavy-excavation equipment purchase option (mini-excavators/rock drills), CCTV/sensor installation, and initial IT/security hardware.
Intel Operations Setup $200K
[#11] Initial satellite imagery alteration/GEO-intel setup and purchase/creation of baseline imagery suppression assets.
Conservator Initial Treatment $200K
[#19] Initial specialist conservator teams and long-duration stabilization/treatment costs carried out during first exposure.
Artifact Transport $100K
[#14] Custom climate-controlled crates, packing/crating and initial artifact shipment(s) to Site-20 (per-shipment estimates aggregated for initial operations).
Clandestine Transfer $100K
[#15] Covert export/import logistics, clandestine customs handling, and associated upfront broker/bribe costs for initial transfer operations.
Data Management Setup $70K
[#21] Secure database and archival setup, restricted-access systems, and initial secure backups for chain-of-custody.
Environmental Monitoring Setup $65K
[#22] Initial deployment and installation of environmental sensors (air, humidity, CO2, ground motion) at site/near-site.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.0M/yr
Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr
[#17, #18, #19, #20, #21, #22, #23, #29] Ongoing laboratory analyses (radiocarbon, aDNA, proteomics), lab maintenance and LN2/fuel, conservator monitoring, academic consulting, secure data management operations, environmental monitoring ops, sample storage contracts, and dedicated multi-year research program salaries/field seasons.
Logistics And Transport $940K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #14, #15] Helicopter/airlift charter hours and heavy-lift ops, diesel fuel/resupply for generators, recurring heavy-equipment rental (if not purchased), and recurring artifact transfer/transport logistics.
Contingency Reserve Per Year $500K/yr
[#28] Annual reserve for emergency containment, surge response, legal crisis management, or payments to limit exposure (ongoing reserve to replenish/use as needed).
Cover Story And Legal $425K/yr
[#10, #11, #24] Ongoing payments/liaison to local authorities, satellite imagery refresh/alteration operations, and PR/cover funding to sustain the false archaeological project.
Staff Wages $420K/yr
[#9, #2] Security personnel wages/rotations and minimal on-site managerial/camp staff (coverage for remote postings, hazard pay, and rotation costs).
Facilities Maintenance $182K/yr
[#1, #7, #16, #8] Road/access seasonal maintenance, perimeter upkeep, Site-20 vault utilities/maintenance, and basic CCTV connectivity upkeep.
Medical And Evacuation $100K/yr
[#25] Medevac contracts, field medic support, evacuation insurance and trauma/altitude supplies.
It Security And Comms $60K/yr
[#8, #27] Recurring secure-communications, encrypted device management, VPN and connectivity fees, and IT security operations training.
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#12, #13] PPE resupply, decontamination consumables, sterile sampling kits, and small field conservation consumables.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.0M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; standard research tempo, routine flights, and maintenance.
routine research seasons scheduled helicopter support no public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $5.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$850K vs baseline
Localized containment incident (e.g., small collapse, artifact destabilization, or limited unauthorized approach) requiring emergency stabilization, extra lifts, and legal/cover surge.
localized structural failure unexpected artifact destabilization small unauthorized approach/near-miss
🚨 Political Exposure $7.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant political or public exposure requiring large-scale legal/PR response, expedited removal or extended containment measures, and major hush-payments or emergency decommissioning actions.
leak to press or academic community local-government investigation failed cover-story or high-profile breach
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#9] Armed guards for rotations, remote posting, and perimeter security (covert, hazard pay included in staff_wages).
Site Manager / Executive Staff 1 [#2] On-site manager/lead to coordinate field camp, logistics and liaison to higher command; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges were given in analyst notes and the SCP article describes realistic drivers; however political/bribery costs, helicopter tempo, and multi-year research scale are uncertain, so totals are best-estimate rather than high-confidence.
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