SCP-7659 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-7659
Expected annual
$13.5M
One-time setup
$35.6M
Annual recurring
$10.8M
Personnel
62
Baseline containment via a long-term lease, sensor array, light MTF staging fit-out and modest security is estimated at ~USD 35.6M one-time and ~USD 10.79M/year recurring; main drivers are property acquisition/lease, contingency/decommissioning reserves and personnel costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $35.6M
Property Acquisition Lease Upfront $12.5M
[#1] Lease/upfront compensation chosen as baseline (purchase option noted but excluded from baseline one-time sum).
Decommissioning Future $12.5M
[#30] Budget for possible future demolition/remediation of multi-storey structure (held as one-time future liability).
Sinkhole Remediation $1.2M
[#3] Reinforced paving/slab cover with piling/backfill as needed for vehicle and MTF staging loads.
Compensation And Rehousing $1.2M
[#19] Lump-sum compensation, rehousing and settlements for displaced employees/tenants (scenario-dependent).
Insurance Reserve Initial $1.2M
[#21] Initial indemnity/contingency reserve if not using commercial insurance (one-time reserve allocation).
Contingency Reserve Initial $1.2M
[#28] Initial contingency reserve for unexpected anomalous reactivation or urgent repairs.
Internal Fit Out Staging $1.0M
[#13] Barracks, armory vaults, kitchens, sanitation, vehicle bays and workshop fit-out.
Emergency Stabilization $625K
[#2] Multidisciplinary surveys, boreholes and temporary shoring for sinkhole and surrounding ground.
Vehicles Fleet Procurement $625K
[#15] Initial light utility/armored vehicle procurement, forklifts and necessary vehicle outfitting.
Secure Ops Centre Fit Out $500K
[#7] C2/operations room, secure server racks, hardened communications and shielding fit-out.
Heavy Plant Contractors $500K
[#16] Crane/plant hire, excavation/piling contractors, road-closure logistics for central London works.
Power Upgrades One Time $375K
[#9] Generators, UPS, ATS and switchgear upgrades (capital purchase and installation).
Hazardous Material Remediation $375K
[#20] Asbestos/lead paint removal and other abatement prior to reoccupation.
Monitoring Hardware $250K
[#4] Permanent geotechnical/environmental sensor hardware (inclinometers, piezometers, DAS-capable options).
Cover Story Pr One Time $250K
[#18] Initial PR campaign, staged redevelopment announcements and compensation to displaced parties (upfront).
Sensor Installation And Cabling $188K
[#5] Trenching/coring, dataloggers, enclosures and physical installation works (secure backhaul handled separately).
Armory Vault Construction $188K
[#14] Armored vault/magazine construction and integration with alarms/CCTV (one-time construction costs).
It Hardware One Time $188K
[#22] Hardened/air-gapped servers, secure cabinets and classified storage hardware (one-time purchase).
Vetting Initial $188K
[#23] Initial security vetting and background checks for ~100 staff (baseline estimate).
Communications Infrastructure One Time $125K
[#8] Hardened fibre, satellite terminals and encrypted radio hardware (one-time equipment/install portion).
Permits And Planning One Time $125K
[#17] Planning applications, building control fees, initial legal/consultant costs for permits and approvals.
Medical Facility Fit Out $62K
[#24] Small on-site clinic/first-aid fit-out and basic medical equipment.
Waste Disposal One Time $62K
[#27] One-off hazardous disposals and specialist waste removal for initial remediation tasks.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.8M/yr
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing salaries for security guards (24/7 coverage) and MTF personnel rotations, inclusive of site security manager costs.
Opportunity Cost Lost Revenue $2.5M/yr
[#29] Imputed lost commercial rental revenue (opportunity cost) if building is kept out of commercial market.
Contingency Reserve Allocation $625K/yr
[#28] Annual allocation to contingency/reserve fund for emergency anomalous response and unexpected repairs.
Training And Readiness $375K/yr
[#25] Regular MTF training, simulations, instructor fees and range / live-fire costs.
Facilities Maintenance $288K/yr
[#9, #10] Power fuel/resupply/maintenance, utility bills and general facilities upkeep.
Insurance Premiums $250K/yr
[#21] Commercial insurance premiums for site liability and political/business risks (if used).
Logistics And Transport $212K/yr
[#15, #27] Vehicle running costs (fuel, maintenance, insurance) and routine waste removal contracts.
Supplies And Consumables $162K/yr
[#26, #24] Office consumables, PPE, cleaning, catering, medical supplies and sensor consumables (batteries).
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#6, #4] Ongoing sensor maintenance, calibration, data hosting and partial analyst staffing (0.5–1 FTE).
Cover Story And Legal $88K/yr
[#17, #18] Ongoing liaison with local authorities, PR upkeep and legal/consultant retainer fees.
Vetting Renewals $62K/yr
[#23] Annual renewal costs for security clearances and background checks for staff and contractors.
It Maintenance $50K/yr
[#22] IT/secure server maintenance, patches and classified storage lifecycle costs.
Communications And Connectivity $38K/yr
[#8] Leased circuits, satellite airtime and comms maintenance (recurring connectivity costs).
Armory Maintenance $38K/yr
[#14] Ongoing custody, inspection and compliance costs for armory/magazine storage.
Waste Removal And Hazardous Disposal $25K/yr
[#27] Regular removal of general waste and periodic hazardous waste disposal contracts.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.8M/yr
97.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year operating under a long-term lease with monitoring, light MTF staging and routine maintenance.
no_incident routine_operations
🚨 Major Purchase And Full Remediation $142.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$131.2M vs baseline
Decision to purchase the central-London property and perform major underpinning/structural remedial works and full conversion to an MTF headquarters.
decision_to_purchase major_underpinning full_MTF_base_conversion
🚨 Anomalous Reactivation Incident $15.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Unexpected anomalous activity or structural failure requiring emergency response, mass-casualty handling and urgent repairs.
reactivation structural_failure mass_casualties
👥 Personnel 62 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 Armed guards providing 24/7 perimeter and access control (three-shift coverage).
MTF Agent (deployable) 40 Rostered deployable MTF personnel with rotation, housing and allowances included in staff wage estimate.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Site lead/manager responsible for operations and liaison with Foundation command.
Administrative Staff 3 Clerical, logistics and small support cadre (included in overall staff wage pool).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling a reasoned baseline, but wide GBP cost ranges (and the lease-vs-purchase decision) introduce material uncertainty.
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