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SCP-769 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-769
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$5.4M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
15
Initial capital/setup (vault, lab retrofit, specialist equipment and contingency reserves) is moderate-to-high (several million if high-end imaging and reserve funds are included); main recurring drivers are staff wages (security, research, medical) and program overhead, totaling a few million per year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.4M
Capital Imaging Hardware $3.0M
[#11] Optional capital purchase of MRI/fMRI system (not required if scans outsourced).
Catastrophic Reserve Fund $1.1M
[#21] One-time reserve fund for catastrophic containment/legal/mitigation scenarios (midpoint of suggested range).
Neutralization R&D Initial $600K
[#17] Initial funding for neutralization/mitigation research program (6–24 month seed).
Emergency Response Kit $300K
[#20] One-time emergency/relocation gear, secure packing containers and vehicle retrofit costs.
Facilities $225K
[#1, #5] Vault construction/retrofit and wet-lab suite modifications (waterproof vault, antechamber/airlock, impermeable surfaces).
Equipment $148K
[#2, #3, #4, #6, #7, #11, #15] Security door/hardware, moisture/flow sensors and CCTV, sealed vessels/interlock cabinet, mechanical manipulators/PPE hardware, secured transport containers, in-house EEG / monitoring hardware, secure evidence system.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10K
[#22] Special/object imaging and initial research documentation imaging (one-time high-resolution capture of object/residue).
Sop Development $10K
[#19] One-time SOP/write-up and initial procedural documentation development.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Security guards & supervisor (24/7 coverage), research team payroll (lead, researchers, lab techs), and medical/psych staff salaries.
Program Overhead $534K/yr
[#25] Institutional/program overhead (20% of direct recurring costs as accounting overhead).
Research And Monitoring $348K/yr
[#11, #15, #16, #22] Outsourced imaging/scans budget, archival storage/secure logging maintenance, data analysis & translation support, ongoing conservation/monitoring costs.
D Class Program $200K/yr
[#12] Costs to source/manage D-class-equivalent subjects: housing, medical checks, handlers, logistics and admin overhead for a small dedicated pool.
Neutralization R&D Ongoing $200K/yr
[#17] Continuing R&D budget if neutralization/mitigation work progresses beyond initial seed funding.
Long Term Subject Care $138K/yr
[#13] Ongoing higher-cost care for exempted/retained subject(s) (housing, medical/psych support, guarding).
Loss Of Knowledge Mitigation $125K/yr
[#23] Redundant staffing, knowledge-transfer sessions, off-site backups and cross-training to mitigate loss-of-knowledge risk.
Insurance Premiums $112K/yr
[#21] Annual insurance/liability premiums (mid-range estimate).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18, #21] Legal retainer, ethics oversight costs and routine PR/cover-story retainer (incident response budgets treated as contingency in scenarios).
Facilities Maintenance $90K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #20, #22, #24] Maintenance for security hardware, sensors, sealed storage inventory, emergency readiness upkeep, conservator/environmental monitoring and routine utilities/HVAC/sump pump power.
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#7, #20] Per-transfer security operations (escort, armored transfer) and routine transport logistics for occasional moves.
Training And Auditing $25K/yr
[#19] Recurring training, containment drills, SOP refreshes and independent audits.
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#6, #14] Replacement PPE consumables, distilled/sterile water, single-use sterile cups/vials, decontamination supplies and secure disposal materials.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, periodic experiments and no major incidents.
routine_testing scheduled_experiments no_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment/procedural incident (e.g., unauthorized liquid transfer, localized contamination, or single-subject adverse event) requiring investigation, medical response and limited legal/PR actions.
minor_contamination unauthorized_transfer single_subject_medical_event
🚨 Major Breach $4.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant breach or public exposure leading to emergency relocation, major legal/PR response, large contingency/reserve usage and accelerated mitigation R&D.
public_exposure mass_memory_loss_events strategic_information_release
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#8] Six guards (3 shifts) plus one supervisor to provide 24/7 vault coverage as specified.
Research Scientist 3 [#9] Lead researcher and two additional research scientists for translation/analysis tasks.
Lab Technician 2 [#9] Two lab technicians to run controlled trials and maintain lab procedures.
Medical Officer 3 [#10] Medical/psych staff (psychiatry/neurology/clinical psychology and nursing support) to screen and debrief subjects.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and include optional high-cost items (MRI purchase, large reserve fund). Recurring staffing costs are relatively well-specified; contingency/incident frequencies and scale (and optional capital purchases) introduce moderate uncertainty.
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