SCP-7707 — SCP-7707 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7707 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-7707

Expected annual

$7.1M

One-time setup

$14.4M

Annual recurring

$7.0M

Personnel

First-year one-time capital and contingency costs are dominated by containment construction, high-end laboratory instrumentation, and a large contingency seed; ongoing annual costs are dominated by staff wages, long-term research and monitoring, and contingency/replacement funds.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.4M

Contingency Reserve $6.0M

[#20] Large seed contingency/reserve fund for catastrophic events, emergency relocations, medical catastrophes or simultaneous system failures.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.4M

[#4, #13] BSL-grade autopsy/biolab and high-speed/advanced imaging and assay equipment for initial experimental capability.

Facilities $2.7M

[#3, #5, #6] Containment suite construction, environmental control system setup, and removal/replacement of wood/organic materials within containment perimeter.

Equipment $1.5M

[#2, #7, #9, #15, #21, #28] Armored/modified transport, redundant surveillance/sensor arrays, backup power equipment, secure cryo/sample storage capital, air-gapped IT hardware, and mobile contingency/relocation units.

Decommissioning And Disposal $550K

[#31] Planned decommissioning/disposal and environmental remediation budget if containment ends.

Emergency Capture Mtf Deployment $275K

[#1] One-time emergency capture & initial MTF deployment costs (mobilization, vehicles, overtime, sedation/containment crates).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.0M/yr

Staff Wages $2.1M/yr

[#10, #11, #17] On-site security staff (rotations), scientific staff (researchers/technicians), and medical/emergency personnel (on-call physician/paramedic team).

Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr

[#14, #22, #23, #29] Lab equipment maintenance/calibration, continuous statistical anomaly detection & software integration, data archival/bandwidth/storage, and long-term research grant funding/program costs.

Cover Story And Legal $650K/yr

[#24] Legal retainer, liability and cover-up costs (claims, indemnity, legal defense and cover-story crafting).

Replacement Repair Fund $625K/yr

[#19] Contingency fund for unpredictable equipment replacement and repairs due to increased improbable failures.

Administrative Overhead $500K/yr

[#30] Program management, project accounting, HR, procurement and travel to coordinate containment and interagency contacts.

Consultants $350K/yr

[#12] External specialist consultants (quantum physicists, cryptographers, statisticians) under contract/retainer.

Compensation Fund $300K/yr

[#26] Compensation pool for third-party victims (property, livestock, medical bills).

Public Relations And Liaison $300K/yr

[#25] Public relations, disinformation budgeting and liaison with local authorities to manage incidents and prevent disclosure.

Surveillance And Data Operations $140K/yr

[#8] Ongoing surveillance & sensor maintenance, archival of high-volume feeds, and periodic hardware replacement/operational storage costs.

Personnel Health $85K/yr

[#18] Regular medical screening, mental-health/PTSD counseling, rotation/quarantine policies and related support.

Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr

[#5, #9] HVAC/filtration operations and backup power fuel/testing/maintenance.

It Audit And Maintenance $60K/yr

[#21] Annual audits, deterministic software maintenance and mitigation for RNG/crypto issues; maintenance of air-gapped systems.

Training And Drills $50K/yr

[#27] Specialized training programs and drills for improbable-event cascading failures.

Annual Audit $50K/yr

[#32] Independent annual audit and external oversight review of containment efficacy and budgeting.

Sample Storage Maintenance $38K/yr

[#15] Maintenance, power and operational costs for secure cryo/refrigeration sample storage and access controls.

Supplies And Consumables $30K/yr

[#16] Hazardous waste disposal and incineration of anomalous wood samples (annual vendor/disposal costs).

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.0M/yr

91.0% probability / year

Normal year with no major incidents; steady-state operations and routine research.

routine_operations scheduled_research no_major_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $8.0M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Localized containment incident or equipment failure requiring emergency response, repairs, compensation and elevated legal/PR activity.

localized_equipment_damage minor_local_breach third-party_claims

🚨 Major Breach $11.0M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline

Significant containment breach or cascading failures requiring large contingency drawdown, emergency relocation, major repairs and public mitigation.

site_wide_system_failures public_exposure mass_medical_events

👥 Personnel 17 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	7	[#10] 24/7 security rotation; estimate based on recommended 6–8 guards and included in staff wage totals.
Research Scientist	8	[#11] Biologists, quantum/statistics researchers and lab technicians (6–10 staff) covered by research staff wages.
Medical Officer	2	[#17] On-call physician and paramedic(s) for emergency response and staff medical care.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a structured estimate, but the object's ability to skew probabilities and the wide ranges for several items (contingency, repair funds, research scope) produce substantial uncertainty.

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