SCP-7825 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7825
Expected annual
$1.3M
One-time setup
$375K
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
4
First-year program cost (one-time setup + first-year operations) is approximately $1,637,100, driven primarily by personnel costs (designated researcher + backups), a research program budget, and contingency/resilience measures; ongoing annual costs are dominated by salaries, research overhead, and contingency.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $375K
Facilities $100K
[#5] Secure office / containment suite build-out (construction, soundproofing, environmental controls, antechamber).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#20] Initial lab bench / modest instrument provisioning required for neuroscientific/behavioral work.
Automation Development $50K
[#7] One-time development/licensing for redundant task automation systems (RPA, scripts, AI assistants).
Equipment $25K
[#6, #11] Monitoring cameras/biometric sensors, CCTV/access-control hardware and other physical devices initial provisioning.
Initial Neurological Diagnostics $25K
[#3, #4] Initial MRI/fMRI/EEG and neuropsych battery / specialist analysis (initial testing year 1).
Backup Personnel Training $20K
[#2] One-time training and overlap costs for 1–3 backup researchers (analyst estimate $20k one-time).
Cybersecurity Setup $20K
[#9] Air-gap/jump-server setup, initial intrusion detection configuration and isolation hardware/software setup.
Recruiting Fees $20K
[#23] Search firm / recruiting fees for succession planning/hiring initial replacements.
Decommissioning And Archive $15K
[#25] Long-tail archive and decommissioning provisions (data handoff, facility decommissioning reserve).
Data Provisioning $10K
[#8] Encrypted on-site/off-site backup provisioning and hardened server setup (initial provisioning).
Legal Setup $10K
[#12] One-time drafting of specialized contracts, NDAs, liability waivers and setup costs.
Relocation Setup $10K
[#16] Move/setup costs if relocation/quarantine required for backups or subject.
Training Rollout $10K
[#19] Initial SOP rollout, workshops and memetic-safety training for staff and backups.
Cover Story Materials $5K
[#13] One-time fabricated materials, initial PR/disguise assets and training for cover story.
Ergonomic And Env Setup $5K
[#17] Adaptive furniture, specialized lighting, noise-cancelling equipment initial purchases.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Backup Personnel Salaries $200K/yr
[#2] Salaries for 2 backup researchers/technicians (~$100k/yr each).
Research Program $200K/yr
[#14] Ongoing research/experiment budget (participant recruitment, consumables, pilot studies).
Staff Wages $180K/yr
[#1] Designated personnel salary (Alex Thorley) including hazard pay/benefits/nondisclosure premiums; analyst mid-range estimate.
Contingency And Crisis Fund $116K/yr
[#22] Emergency contingency reserve (~10% of recurring operational budget) for medical evacuation, litigation, or urgent pivots.
Research Infrastructure Overhead $100K/yr
[#20] Institutional overhead, bench consumables, lab access fees for ongoing lab work.
Opportunity Costs $100K/yr
[#21] Estimated lost productivity / deliverable shortfalls when Alex operates below capacity.
Administrative Overhead $80K/yr
[#18] Program manager, HR/admin/bookkeeping fractional FTE or dedicated manager.
Cover Story And Legal $45K/yr
[#12, #13] Ongoing legal counsel, litigation reserve, PR/cover operations and retainer costs.
Cybersecurity Staffing $40K/yr
[#9] Portion of IT admin/infosec engineer or contractor time to enforce isolation and intrusion monitoring.
Security Contracts $40K/yr
[#11] Guard contracts / part-time security coverage to prevent unauthorized access (contracted services).
Outsourcing And Contractors $40K/yr
[#15] Contractors or temporary staff/equipment hire to complete delegated tasks when Alex fails to finish them.
Therapy And Followup $35K/yr
[#3, #4] Ongoing occupational/psychological care for Alex and periodic follow-up diagnostics (therapy, medication management).
Relocation Lodging Stipend $30K/yr
[#16] Secure lodging, living stipends and quarantine costs for relocated personnel when used.
Research And Monitoring $15K/yr
[#6, #4] Ongoing monitoring equipment maintenance, follow-up diagnostic testing and specialist analysis.
Automation Maintenance $10K/yr
[#7] Maintenance, licensing and updates for task automation systems and AI assistants.
Incident Response Retainer $10K/yr
[#10] EMS/rapid-response/security on-call retainer and small per-incident contingency.
Succession Pipeline Recurring $10K/yr
[#23] Ongoing recruiting pipeline maintenance / occasional hiring/onboarding budget.
Monitoring And Storage $8K/yr
[#6, #8] Cloud/on-site storage, telemetry retention, forensics logging and related recurring costs.
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#5] Ongoing maintenance of secure suite, environmental controls, and minor structural upkeep.
Training Recurring $5K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training, drills, SOP updates and memetic-safety refreshers.
Ethical Compliance $5K/yr
[#24] IRB-equivalent review, monitoring boards and compliance reporting costs.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#17] Consumables, disposable PPE, office replacements, small ergonomic consumables.
Ergonomic Consumables $1K/yr
[#17] Replacement consumables for environmental/ergonomic aids.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; regular monitoring, therapy, staffing and research operate as budgeted.
No acute incidents Standard operations Backups functioning
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Acute episode requiring emergency response and short-term increased outsourcing and clinical care.
Panic/self-harm episode Acute clinical intervention Short-term coverage by contractors
🚨 Major Breach $1.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Extended loss of Alex (removal/quarantine) or systemic failure requiring large-scale recruitment, emergency research pivot, litigation and decommissioning actions.
Prolonged incapacity of designated person Significant data loss or contamination Litigation or medical evacuation
🚨 Political Exposure $1.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Public exposure or legal action requiring extensive PR, legal defense, and higher contingency drawdowns.
Media leak or whistleblower External legal claim Regulatory scrutiny
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Designated Personnel) 1 [#1] Alex Thorley; primary assigned researcher/containment lead reflected in staff_wages.
Research Technician / Backup Researcher 2 [#2] Two trained backups budgeted and included in backup_personnel_salaries.
Program Manager / Administrative Staff 1 [#18] Administrative/program management FTE covered by administrative_overhead.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs for personnel, clinical care, and modest research infrastructure are relatively well-bounded; uncertainty remains in incident frequency/severity and in exact staffing/benefit packages, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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