SCP-7880 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7880
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$3.1M
Personnel
13
Initial containment requires modest capital outlay (~$1.6M) for archival infrastructure, audits and a contingency reserve; the dominant ongoing costs are personnel, codebase hardening, amnestic operations and contingency reserves (~$3.1M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Contingency Reserve One Time $1.0M
[#24]
Codebase Audit One Time $200K
[#14]
Endpoint Av Engineering $120K
[#5]
Initial Research And Lab Setup $105K
[#3, #4]
Equipment $50K
[#1]
Legal Retainer $50K
[#10]
Bounties $50K
[#15]
Content Moderation Infra $30K
[#13]
Training Setup $10K
[#20]
Facilities $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #12]
Amnestic Administration $300K/yr
[#11]
Codebase Hardening $300K/yr
[#14]
Contingency Reserve Per Year $200K/yr
[#24]
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#10, #21]
Opportunity Costs $150K/yr
[#25]
Incident Response $100K/yr
[#16]
Logging And Siem $80K/yr
[#18]
Training And Hiring $80K/yr
[#20]
Backup And Disaster Recovery $50K/yr
[#17]
Regulatory And Insurance $50K/yr
[#26]
Endpoint Av Support $30K/yr
[#5]
Network Isolation $30K/yr
[#19]
Endpoint Protection Licensing $25K/yr
[#6]
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#22]
Archival Storage $20K/yr
[#2]
Content Moderation Ops $15K/yr
[#13]
Forensic Software Maintenance $12K/yr
[#4]
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#23]
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.1M/yr
79.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, updates, and no major propagation events.
routine_detection_and_containment scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized infection of Foundation documents or a small public repository requiring targeted remediation and amnestic administrations.
single-site_infection small_scale_document_remediation
🚨 Major Breach $3.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Widespread propagation to multiple public repositories and significant Foundation documentation corruption requiring large-scale takedowns and restoration.
public_repo_spread enterprise_document_compromise
🚨 Catastrophic Outbreak $6.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Mass outbreak into public OSS ecosystems and Foundation infrastructure requiring emergency contingency fund drawdown, mass restorations, litigation and years of remediation.
widespread_open_source_infection multi-site_infrastructure_compromise
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Lead / Senior Researcher 1 [#7] Senior researcher designated containment lead; included in research staffing costs.
Research Scientist 3 [#7] Emacs/Lisp specialists and malware analysts; part of researcher salary pool.
Engineer / Maintenance (Sysadmin & Security Engineer) 3 [#8] Sysadmins and security engineers to maintain servers, SIEM and incident response.
Community Monitoring Analyst 4 [#9] Analysts/agents monitoring GitHub/GitLab/forums and processing takedowns.
HUMINT / Embedded Agent 2 [#12] Covert or embedded accounts/agents in OSS communities; staffing costs included in personnel.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates derive from analyst-provided ranges and the SCP description; many costs (amnestics, legal, contingency) are scenario-dependent and highly variable, so uncertainty is moderate.
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