SCP-7885 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-7885
Expected annual
$93.5M
One-time setup
$972.5M
Annual recurring
$89.0M
Personnel
180
Initial capital investment is large (≈$1.0B) driven by building Seafloor Site 3, vessels and subsea vehicle fleets, and coastal monitoring hardware; recurring annual operations are ~ $89M/year driven by personnel, vessel/submersible ops, routine submarine sweeps and replacement reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $972.5M
Facilities $529.0M
[#1, #3, #20] Capital for Seafloor Site 3 construction/installation (site hull/airlocks), installation of the 5 km holding-area perimeter, and initial setup of local staging/port facilities.
Equipment $336.5M
[#2, #5, #6, #9, #11, #23] Specialized containment & cremation equipment, purchase of DSV/ROV/AUV fleet, purchase of surface support vessels (capital option), initial coastal sensor node deployment, submerged sealed transport containers, and initial secure IT hardware.
Emergency Seed Reserve $50.0M
[#27] One-time seed for insurance/liability reserve and an operational contingency fund (seeded reserve).
Contingency Fund $50.0M
[#28] One-time contingency set-aside for rapid expansion, emergency vessels, salvage and escalation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.0M
[#15] Secure forensic/research lab build-out and specialized lab equipment for interviews, histology, radiology and chemical analyses.
Initial Training $2.0M
[#14] Initial program training, simulators and travel for ROV/submersible operations and hazardous remains handling.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $89.0M/yr
Staff Wages $30.0M/yr
[#13] Salaries, benefits, hazard pay and offshore premiums for core site crew and global support teams (scientists, pilots, technicians, security, medical staff, logistics and administrators).
Logistics And Transport $20.0M/yr
[#7, #12] Vessel operations (crew, fuel, port fees, maintenance) and per-recovery mission operational costs (deployment, sub/ROV tasking, crew overtime).
Research And Monitoring $12.6M/yr
[#8, #16, #25, #23] Recurring costs for ocean-floor submarine sweeps, funded research operations/experiments, environmental monitoring/compliance, and recurring secure data/evidence handling.
Replacement And Depreciation $10.0M/yr
[#29] Annual replacement reserve and depreciation budget for submersibles, ships, AUVs and other capital equipment.
Insurance And Contingency Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#27] Ongoing reserve contributions for asset loss, emergency salvage and unpredictable disasters (recommended recurring contribution).
Cover Story And Legal $4.5M/yr
[#17, #18, #19, #26] Amnestic procurement/administration, disinformation/media management, legal/diplomatic retainers and outreach/burial-practice change program costs.
Facilities Maintenance $3.1M/yr
[#4, #21] Ongoing replacement of anchors/nets/sensors, corrosion control, ROV inspections and chilled/short-term storage & biohazard waste processing operations.
Energy And Power $1.5M/yr
[#24] Annual power costs for site life support, cremation, charging AUVs and support systems (fuel/electricity).
Coastal Monitoring Maintenance And Comms $1.0M/yr
[#10] Telemetry costs, satellite bandwidth, sensor replacement and local leases/comm infrastructure for coastal sensor network.
Small Incident Allowances $500K/yr
[#30] Day-to-day petty field expenses: travel, local hires, ad-hoc purchases and minor bribes.
Training And Certification $500K/yr
[#14] Ongoing training, recertification and simulator time for deep-sub operations and handling protocols.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#22] Decontamination supplies, PPE, disinfectants, batteries and routine field consumables.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $89.0M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine sweeps, recoveries and no major incidents.
routine sweeps and recoveries regular maintenance and replacements
🚨 Minor Incident $94.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized surge in recoveries or a severe weather event requiring extra vessel time, overtime, and settlements.
localized mass washout (storm/hurricane) temporary spike in recoveries
🚨 Major Breach $289.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Site compromise, mass congregation near focal region or catastrophic asset losses requiring mobilization of contingency funds and rapid expansion.
site compromise or large-scale congregation loss of multiple vessels/submersibles
👥 Personnel 180 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#13] Frontline containment, perimeter patrols and on-site security.
Research Scientist 20 [#13, #16] Forensic pathologists, marine biologists and researchers conducting experiments and interviews.
Technician / ROV & AUV Pilot 30 [#13, #5] Operate and maintain ROV/AUV fleet and support recovery missions.
Submersible Pilot 6 [#13, #5] Manned DSV pilots for complex interventions and deep operations.
Medical Officer 6 [#13] On-site medical oversight, mortuary procedures and amnestic medical administration support.
Engineer / Maintenance 20 [#13, #29] Maintain site systems, ships, power and oversee capital replacement schedules.
Administrative Staff 18 [#13, #23] Logistics, scheduling, procurement and evidence chain-of-custody administration.
Data Analyst / Forensics Technician 18 [#13, #15, #23] Data management, transcription/translation, lab support and secure archiving.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#13] Program leadership, legal/diplomatic liaison and executive oversight.
📋 Confidence Notes
Large uncertainties in capital scope (site depth and number), geographic scope of monitoring (regional vs global), incidence rate of recoveries, and choices between purchase vs charter drive wide cost ranges; figures are mid-range estimates based on analyst notes.
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