SCP-7888 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-7888
Expected annual
$18.3M
One-time setup
$31.4M
Annual recurring
$17.8M
Personnel
49
Estimated one-time startup costs are approximately $31.4M driven primarily by facility construction, a dedicated insurance/reserve allocation, and system/software acquisition; ongoing annual operations are about $17.845M/yr driven by personnel salaries, a containment contingency reserve, monitoring/research, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $31.4M
Insurance Reserve $25.0M
[#24] Insurance/reserve against catastrophic failure (one-time reserve allocation as recommended).
Facilities $2.7M
[#4, #13] Secure memetic lab construction and vault construction/upgrades.
Equipment $1.2M
[#5, #13, #16, #20] Hardware: HSMs/PKI, archival hardware, secure printing terminals, and initial model/infrastructure acquisition.
Software Cms Upgrade $1.0M
[#6] Secure documentation & content management system development/upgrades (one-time development).
Documentation Bulk Editing $600K
[#25] Bulk editing of archives to integrate SCP-7888 templates (one-time).
Decommissioning Toolkit $500K
[#22] Decommissioning & rollback planning and toolkit (one-time).
Regulatory Compliance Setup $200K
[#18] Regulatory compliance & record-keeping system setup (one-time).
Training Program Development $150K
[#8] Curriculum and training program development (one-time).
Personnel Medical Program Development $50K
[#15] Initial development of medical/mental-health & counter-memetic counseling program (one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.8M/yr
Staff Wages $6.9M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #7] Memetics R&D team (20 FTEs), software engineering team (10 FTEs), Ethics Committee senior reviewers, and security personnel salaries/benefits.
Containment Contingency Reserve $3.0M/yr
[#12] Containment-tail contingency reserve for emergency mobilization and ad-hoc containment.
Research And Monitoring $2.0M/yr
[#10, #19] Monitoring, metrics & analytics program and long-term systemic effects research (data scientists, infra, and multi-year studies).
Cover Story And Legal $1.4M/yr
[#14] Legal teams, covert PR/liaison operations, and cover story management.
Logistics And Transport $1.1M/yr
[#9, #21] Controlled dissemination coordination and routine supply-chain/transport security plus special-ops transport reserve.
Incident Response Forensics $1.0M/yr
[#17] Forensic linguistics, digital forensics tooling, and rapid response team salaries.
Red Team Testing $600K/yr
[#11] Independent verification and adversarial testing programs (internal/external red teams).
Training Program $300K/yr
[#8] Trainer salaries, materials, and recertification costs for authors and field personnel.
Software Licensing And Compute $300K/yr
[#20] Ongoing licensing, model retraining, and GPU/compute costs.
Medical And Counseling $250K/yr
[#15] Ongoing psychological monitoring, counseling, and rehabilitation for exposed personnel.
Documentation Editing $250K/yr
[#25] Ongoing editorial work to maintain SCP-7888 compatibility across records.
Cms Maintenance $200K/yr
[#6] Ongoing maintenance and patching for secure CMS and template validation systems.
Personnel Clearance $200K/yr
[#23] Background checks, polygraphs, lifestyle monitoring, and vetting for cleared personnel.
Hsm Ops $100K/yr
[#5] Ongoing operations and maintenance for HSMs, PKI, and high-assurance signing infrastructure.
Regulatory Operations $100K/yr
[#18] Ongoing compliance operations, audit logs, and record-keeping costs.
Archival Storage $50K/yr
[#13] Annual refresh, storage, and maintenance costs for offline/air-gapped archives.
Printing Maintenance $25K/yr
[#16] Maintenance, consumables, and destruction costs for secure printing and shredding hardware.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.8M/yr
92.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with no major incidents; program operates at planned capacity.
routine_operations no_containment_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $20.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized misuse or minor containment failure requiring emergency response, forensic analysis, and temporary field labs.
localized_misuse small_breach
🚨 Major Breach $47.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Significant compromise or corruption of SCP-7888 outputs requiring large-scale rollback, legal exposure mitigation, and use of contingency/insurance funds.
systemic_corruption wide_leak_or_misuse
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $24.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
A successful research outcome necessitates rapid scale-up (new facilities/equipment and expanded staff) to deploy SCP-7888 more widely.
successful_research executive_scale_up_decision
👥 Personnel 49 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Memeticist 20 [#1] Core memetics R&D team (20 FTEs) accounted for in staff wages.
Software Engineer / DevOps 10 [#2] Secure tooling, template engines, and integration engineers (10 FTEs).
Ethics Committee / Senior Reviewer 5 [#3] Senior reviewers and Ethics oversight personnel (5 FTEs).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#7] 12 guards + 2 supervisors for lab/site security coverage.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and staffing counts, allowing a reasonable aggregate; residual uncertainty remains in scenario probabilities, the decision to hold a large one-time reserve, and potential scale/scope changes if deployment is widened, thus confidence is medium.
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