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SCP-7890 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7890
Expected annual
$13.8M
One-time setup
$11.6M
Annual recurring
$13.1M
Personnel
81
One-time capital and containment upgrades are estimated at roughly $11.6M, driven by vault retrofits, contingency reserves, R&D and transport/containment equipment. Recurring annual operations are ~ $13.1M/year, dominated by security/MTF wages, intelligence/logistics, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.6M
Facilities $3.0M
[#1] Retrofit of secure containment vaults (biometric access, blast doors, EMP/EM shielding, HVAC isolation, backup generators) across field sites; aggregated estimate for multiple upgraded vaults.
Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#18] Capital contingency reserve for confinement failure / major public incident response (one-time reserve allocation).
Neutralization Rnd $1.5M
[#23] Initial tranche for R&D into neutralization/mitigation technologies (counter-oracles, probability dampeners) and prototype hardware.
Containment Crates $650K
[#2] Custom Faraday/dampening-lined transport crates and internal restraint/sensor ports; multiple crates to avoid cross-contamination.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#3] Specialized laboratory buildout: shielded testing chambers, isolated observation suites, stimulus-control gear, high-speed logging and redundancy in sensors.
Mtf Equipment $600K
[#6] Initial equipment for Rapid Response / Containment Breach Team: tactical gear, vehicles, comms, and specialized equipment (one-time kit-up).
Transport Vehicles $500K
[#4] Purchase of armored vans / initial transport assets and secure lift purchasing to enable rapid removal and interdiction.
Coverup One Time $500K
[#9] One-time legal/diplomatic/cover-up expenditure and high-profile concealment reserve (per major incident contingency).
International Operation Setup $500K
[#20] One-time setup costs for overseas campaign support: travel, safe houses, contractor mobilization, legal setup for extradition operations.
Forensic Analysis $200K
[#10] Initial forensic and provenance analyses: isotope analysis, external lab time, fMRI and specialized tests to establish origin/workings.
Public Relations Incident Fund $200K
[#21] One-time reserve for PR/misinformation staging for major incidents (staged narratives, initial paid media buys).
Data Infrastructure $150K
[#11] Tamper-evident, air-gapped secure archival logging hardware, redundant cold storage and cryptographic integrity setup (one-time).
Transfer Setup $100K
[#26] One-time setup for secured transfer logistics and interagency custody handoff processes.
It Integration $60K
[#8] One-time IT integration for liaison/secure comms, classified collaboration software licenses and secure meeting facility setup.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.1M/yr
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#5, #6, #12, #13, #25] Salaries for armed security guards, MTF/rapid response personnel, specialized scientific staff, medical staff and baseline administrative personnel (includes overtime, benefits, hazard pay).
Logistics And Transport $1.8M/yr
[#4, #7, #19, #20, #22, #26] On-call transport and airlift budgets, intelligence surveillance travel, secure chain-of-custody logistics, international campaign operational costs, seized-asset management and routine transfer expenses.
Research And Monitoring $1.8M/yr
[#3, #10, #14, #17, #23, #24] Consumables/calibration for probabilistic/oracular testing, ongoing forensic analyses, training & drills, red-team testing, R&D program recurring costs, and long-term monitoring activities.
Administrative Overhead $1.0M/yr
[#25] Program-level administrative overhead: finance, HR, compliance, security clearance processing (10–20% typical overhead converted to an operational recurring line).
Facilities Maintenance $550K/yr
[#15] Continuous power, UPS/generator maintenance, HVAC isolation upkeep and general facility maintenance for high-draw containment sites.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#9, #21, #8] Ongoing legal/diplomatic/cover-up budgets, PR/misinformation annual allocations, and recurring liaison coordination expenses tied to joint operations.
Contingency Replenishment $500K/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment allowance for the contingency reserve used to respond to containment failures or major incidents.
Supplies And Consumables $365K/yr
[#11, #16, #19] Replacement batteries, filters, sensor replacements, EM shielding maintenance, secure archival maintenance and routine evidence-handling consumables.
Insurance Reserve $300K/yr
[#27] Recurring liability reserve / internal insurance to cover civil suits, indemnities, or local authorizations affected by covert operations.
Liaison And Coordination $175K/yr
[#8] Recurring liaison, secure communications subscriptions, joint-ops coordination, interagency briefings and travel.
Medical Emergency Fund $125K/yr
[#13] Recurring budget for emergency medical/psychiatric interventions and acute exposure response beyond baseline medical staffing.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.1M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, interdiction and research activities proceed as planned.
no_major_breach routine_interdiction_operations steady_research_schedule
🚨 Minor Incident $14.1M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or minor public exposure requiring short-term surge response, targeted legal/PR action and additional investigations.
localized_breach minor_public_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $18.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or international interdiction requiring MTF deployment, overseas campaigns, large legal/cover-up spending and contingency drawdown.
site_breach international_operation major_public_incident
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $38.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Widespread public exposure or collapse of containment across multiple sites requiring massive emergency spending, international kinetic operations and sustained media suppression.
multi-site_breach major_public_disclosure overseas_kinetic_intervention
👥 Personnel 81 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 36 [#5] Armed site guards (12 per site × 3 sites assumed) providing 24/7 coverage; includes overtime and hazard pay assumptions.
MTF Agent / Rapid Response 18 [#6] Rapid Response team members (on-call containment/response specialists) sized to support multiple concurrent incidents.
Research Scientist 9 [#3, #12] Parapsychologists, probabilistic analysts, anthropologists and cryptographers conducting controlled testing and analysis.
Medical Officer 3 [#13] Medical and psychological support staff for acute exposure response and long-term monitoring.
Intelligence / Investigator 6 [#7] Agents and analysts conducting HUMINT, surveillance and undercover operations versus cartel networks.
Administrative Staff 6 [#25] Program managers, finance, HR and compliance personnel supporting the program.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#15, #16] Technical staff for facility systems, power/UPS maintenance, shielding upkeep and equipment repairs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided line-item ranges are detailed and numerous, allowing reasonable mid-point aggregation, but uncertainty remains in vault count, frequency of overseas campaigns, and the scale of cartel activity; Keter unpredictability increases variance.
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