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SCP-7892 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7892
Expected annual
$6.8M
One-time setup
$8.3M
Annual recurring
$6.6M
Personnel
39
Initial one-time setup and contingency funding are large ( ~$8.16M) driven by contingency reserves, covert-operation one-time costs, and specialized lab/setup. Recurring annual costs are ~ $6.645M/yr, driven mainly by research/monitoring budgets, experiment cadence, field operations, and ongoing legal/PR/containment operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.3M
Contingency Emergency Response Fund $5.0M
[#26] Large one-time reserve for major incident response, diplomatic buy-offs, or large-scale black ops.
Forensic Duplication Covert Swap $1.0M
[#15] Covert replacement/removal option for Book of Souls (lower-bound estimate from provided covert range).
Equipment $655K
[#9, #22, #25, #31] Covert sensor node purchases & installation (#9), secure communications hardware (#22), data-censorship asset setup (#25 one-time), and initial miscellaneous equipment kit (#31 initial kit).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $550K
[#11, #13, #19] Akiva/anomalous-signal monitoring lab setup (#11), amnestic production lab setup (#13), and point-of-care DNA lab setup (#19).
Forensic Duplication Negotiation $500K
[#15] Negotiation/cooperative option for Book of Souls exchange (lower-bound estimate from provided range).
Legal Diplomatic Pr Retainer $200K
[#16] One-time retainer for Japanese legal counsel / diplomatic/PR retainer fees (initial).
Ptf Training Program Setup $150K
[#5] Initial training program, SOP write-ups, memetic-resistance courses, translators, and training materials for first cohort.
Data Censorship Asset Setup $100K
[#25] One-time asset/setup costs to enable ongoing data censorship, archival edits, and memetic sanitization operations.
Facilities $50K
[#15] Secure vault storage for originals and other minor physical works (secure storage installation).
Prepared Legal Cover Docs $50K
[#29] Pre-drafted cover stories, legal templates, indemnity documents, and pre-approved amnestic orders (one-time preparation).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.6M/yr
Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr
[#24, #27, #18] Per-authorized-experiment research budget (approx. $200k per experiment × ~10/yr => $2,000,000) (#24), global Akiva correlation monitoring (#27), and genealogical research/DNA testing (#18).
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#2, #3, #6, #8, #12, #23] Salaries, benefits and travel for East Asian liaison (#2), Site-50 research staffing (#3), medical/hospice clinicians (#6), covert field operatives/case officers (#8), Akiva/telemetry analysts & lab technicians (#12), and cybersecurity/IT operator staffing (#23).
Logistics And Transport $950K/yr
[#4, #7, #20, #21] PTF replacement recruitment/processing and transport (#4), secure housing & local logistics in Tokyo (#7), amnesticizing/relocation/integration for witnesses (#20), and baseline compensation/hush payments for participants' families (#21).
Cover Story And Legal $760K/yr
[#16, #25, #17, #32] Ongoing legal/diplomatic/PR operations (#16 operations portion), continuous data censorship and memetic sanitization (#25 recurring), recurring cultural liaison/donations to shrine custodians (#17), and long-term ethical/legal reserve for compliance risk buffer (#32).
Supplies And Consumables $255K/yr
[#14, #28, #31] Ongoing purchase/manufacture and replenishment of amnestics and memetic patches (#14), regulated waste disposal and medical consumables (#28), and recurring replacements for field experiment consumables (#31 recurring).
Training And Audits $80K/yr
[#30] Periodic retraining, memetic resistance drills and Site-50 audits; cultural refreshers for liaison staff.
Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr
[#10] Ongoing maintenance, replacement, and secure data transport for covert sensor deployments near the shrine.
Administrative Overhead $40K/yr
[#1] Administrative approvals & review overhead (convening Site-50 Director, Head of Research, RAISA liaison, council reviews; travel, meeting facilities, documentation).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.6M/yr
88.5% probability / year
Normal year with standard operations, scheduled experiments, and routine maintenance with no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_experiments no_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $6.9M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized operational incident (sensor tampering, participant complication, small discovery) requiring short-term response costs.
localized_discovery sensor_tampering participant_complication
🚨 Covert Swap Operation $9.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Foundation executes a covert replacement/removal of the Book of Souls (covert swap option) requiring black ops, forgers, secure removal and storage.
decision_to_replace_list_covertly complex_black_ops forensic_handling
🚨 Major Breach $21.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or exposure that triggers large-scale rescue, diplomatic response, legal settlements and international ops.
major_breach large_scale_public_exposure diplomatic_crisis
🚨 Political Exposure $11.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Leak or political fallout short of full breach leading to heavy legal/PR mitigation, larger-than-normal payments and accelerated ops.
media_leak local_government_involvement public_backlash
👥 Personnel 39 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#3, #18] Historians, cultural specialists (Japanese history/Shinto), lead researcher, and genealogical researchers.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#8, #4] Field security and MTF personnel supporting covert field ops and PTF handling.
Field Operative / Case Officer 8 [#8, #10] On-the-ground operatives in Japan handling surveillance, safehouse maintenance and in-person tasks.
Analyst / Lab Technician 4 [#11, #12, #27] Akiva/anomalous-signal analysts, lab technicians, and data-correlation staff.
Medical Officer 2 [#6, #28] On-call medical, hospice and psychiatric clinicians; medical consumables management.
Engineer / IT & Cybersecurity 2 [#22, #23] Secure communications, IT infrastructure, monitoring and cybersecurity operations.
Administrative Staff 2 [#1, #16] Administrative support for approvals, documentation, and coordination with legal/PR.
East Asian Regional Liaison 1 [#2] Full-time regional liaison and translator to shepherd proposals and maintain compliance with regional governance.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1] Oversight and approval-level engagement (Site-50 Director / Head-level involvement).
Security Coordinator / PTF Coordinator 1 [#3, #4] Coordinator responsible for PTF Kappa-70 recruitment, vetting and performance scheduling.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are detailed in analyst notes with many explicit figures, so totals are order-of-magnitude reliable; uncertainty remains on the chosen strategy for the Book of Souls (negotiation vs covert swap), political risk, and true frequency of high-cost incidents, leading to medium confidence.
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