SCP-7921 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7921
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$8.7M
Annual recurring
$3.6M
Personnel
11.5
Initial capital expenditures are substantial (roughly $8.7M one-time in this estimate) driven by GMP compounding facility buildout, research setup, containment reserves and emergency/cover-up funds; recurring operating costs are ~ $3.56M/yr driven by specialized staff wages, retention/benefits, legal/cover, secure logistics and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.7M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#7, #18, #21] Initial assay/R&D and method validation, large-scale alternative-research project startup costs, and initial training/SOP development.
Containment Escalation Fund $2.0M
[#29] Emergency reserve capital for rapid lockdown, quarantine expansion and specialized response task forces.
Facilities $1.4M
[#1, #25] Construction/fit-out/validation for a GMP sterile compounding cleanroom and site-level long-term-storage/site-setup costs.
Background Checks Initial $500K
[#13] Enhanced background investigations for access staff (one-time tranche for ~50 staff).
Cover Up Fund $500K
[#23] Initial covert-contingency / black-ops reserve for rapid clandestine operations, relocation and misinformation.
Equipment $415K
[#2, #3, #12, #16, #20] Walk-in refrigeration, vault/CCTV/integration, initial IT/infosec hardware, security/CCTV equipment and initial record-keeping hardware/software setup.
Emergency Equipment $400K
[#14] One-time emergency medical equipment and on-site response gear purchase.
Legal Document Prep $30K
[#10] One-time document preparation for cover stories, procurement paperwork and legal/PR setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.6M/yr
Staff Wages $970K/yr
[#4, #5, #16] Salaries/benefits for licensed pharmacy staff (pharmacists), medical staff (nurses + fractional endocrinologist), and armed site security guards.
Personnel Retention $300K/yr
[#11] Retention bonuses, relocation incentives and benefits tied to employment-dependent access for critical staff.
Insurance Liability $300K/yr
[#26] External insurance allocations, liability provisioning and legal settlement reserves.
Replacement Hiring $300K/yr
[#27] Recruiting, rapid hiring, credentialing and relocation costs to replace departing staff (~10 turnovers/yr baseline).
Research And Monitoring $247K/yr
[#6, #7, #18] Routine medical monitoring and lab testing costs, ongoing assay consumables/maintenance and recurring expenditures tied to R&D/alternative-research program activity.
Logistics And Transport $240K/yr
[#9] Secure transport and escorted shipments (monthly shipments to multiple remote sites; GPS-tracked insulated containers and permits).
Ethics Governance $200K/yr
[#17] Internal ethics board administration, external advisors and legal compliance oversight.
International Compliance $175K/yr
[#24] Permits, customs facilitation, diplomatic/legal counsel and logistics support for cross-border operations.
Emergency Medical $150K/yr
[#14] Medevac contracts, hospital contingency lines and on-call emergency response services.
Information Security $125K/yr
[#12] IT systems, privileged-access logging, encrypted records and ongoing insider-threat monitoring operations.
Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr
[#10] Ongoing legal counsel, PR retainer and cover-story maintenance for procurement and regulatory interactions.
Hr Infrastructure $75K/yr
[#28] Administrative overhead, HR systems and audits to manage employment-tied access and benefit enrollment.
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#8] Manufacturing/production consumables (vials, syringes, solvents, single-use components) for a modest site-level population.
Background Checks Ongoing $60K/yr
[#13] Periodic rechecks, foreign-travel monitoring and annual enhanced vetting for access-holders.
Containment Auditing $60K/yr
[#19] Penetration tests, internal audits and tabletop exercises focused on containment/security for the medication program.
Psych Support $50K/yr
[#22] Counseling, wellness programs and compensations for unaware subjects to reduce inquiries/retention risks.
Waste Disposal $30K/yr
[#15] Biohazardous pharmaceutical waste disposal and decontamination services (incineration/transport, chain-of-custody).
Tracking Software $30K/yr
[#20] Licensing, support and backups for inventory/dispensing and chain-of-custody tracking software.
Long Term Storage $30K/yr
[#25] Ongoing climate-control, monitoring and redundancy costs for indefinite storage of anomalous batches.
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#2, #3] Refrigeration/cold-chain maintenance, temperature-monitoring, vault/physical security maintenance and related utilities.
Training And Sop $15K/yr
[#21] Refresher training, SOP updates and HR/legal training on administration and informed-unawareness protocols.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.6M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: steady-state operations, routine monitoring, secure shipments and ongoing research/oversight.
steady_operations routine_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $4.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$950K vs baseline
Small containment or medical incident requiring emergency response, extra testing, and limited cover-up/legal work.
localized_leak unexpected_adverse_event minor_information_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $7.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$4.2M vs baseline
Significant discovery or widespread exposure requiring large-scale covert operations, legal defense, evacuation/relocation and emergency containment.
public_discovery large_scale_leak multi-site_exposure
🚨 Research Scale Up $7.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Decision/year in which major alternative-research is funded or scaled (large upfront R&D to produce non-anomalous substitute), causing a spike in annual spend.
strategic_research_investment large_R&D_program_start
👥 Personnel 11.5 total
Role Count Notes
Pharmacist 3 [#4] Licensed pharmacy personnel to compound, verify and dispense; full-time hires included in staff wages.
Nurse 2 [#5] Onsite/rotating nurses for administration and blood draws; included in medical staff wages.
Endocrinologist / Medical Officer (FTE) 0.5 [#5] Fractional endocrinologist/medical oversight included as part-time medical officer FTE.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#16] Armed guards for 24/7 site security; wages included in staff_wages estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a reasoned mid-range estimate, but uncertainty remains about scale (site count vs. system-wide servicing of ~4,500 prescribed personnel), true anomalous production requirements, and how often adverse events occur, so confidence is medium.
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