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SCP-7938 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-7938
Expected annual
$43K
One-time setup
$9.9M
Annual recurring
$42K
Personnel
1
Historical expenditures dominate the budget (decades of monitoring and periodic legal/cover operations), while future recurring costs are minimal due to neutralization; main drivers were long-term monitoring, R&D/containment work, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.9M
Historical Monitoring Total $6.0M
[#5] Totalized long-term monitoring/handlers/living stipends/travel/case-officer costs from discovery (1978) through 2016 (order-of-magnitude estimate from analyst notes).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $900K
[#6, #7] Initial research startup costs including initial research-team hiring/retainers and laboratory/apparatus/computing/instrumentation buildout.
Contingency Reserve $899K
[#16] One-time contingency reserve (~10% of projected historical one-time costs) to cover unanticipated expenditures during active years.
Containment R And D $800K
[#8] Prototype R&D for temporal-dampening sensors/dampers and small-scale containment prototypes.
Cover Story Initial $250K
[#10] Up-front legal/diplomatic/cover-up operations and coordination costs (initial concentrated expenditures to manage publicity and stakeholders).
Insurance And Compensation Potential $250K
[#18] Potential one-time insurance liabilities or compensation payouts in the event of visible incidents/claims.
Facilities $200K
[#4, #13] Retrofit/rental of secure holding/observation suites and later decommissioning/retrofit costs.
Archive Setup $150K
[#11] Secure archive setup, classification infrastructure, redaction/indexing and initial digital/paper archival buildout.
Equipment $120K
[#3] Purchase/upfit of 1–2 armored/secure transport vehicles and field containment/extraction kits.
Initial Incident Response $120K
[#1] Initial field investigation and incident response (agent salaries, travel, per-diem, short-term equipment rental, reporting).
Event Site Security $100K
[#2] Covert plainclothes security and perimeter control costs for the championship period (contracted guards, liaison, overtime).
Closure And Audit $100K
[#12] Declassification/neutralization confirmation testing, audits, administrative closure and archiving work circa 2016.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $42K/yr
Staff Wages $30K/yr
[#6] Minimal ongoing staff (part-time archivist/researcher) post-neutralization; note6 also referenced larger recurring research costs if research continued (set to 0 here because case closed).
Archives Maintenance $5K/yr
[#11] Annual costs to maintain secure records, digital storage, and guarded access for classified files.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#11, #14] Utilities and basic maintenance for any retained secure spaces and climate control for archives.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#15] Periodic transport, shipping, and occasional travel for audits or archive access.
Insurance Premiums $1K/yr
[#18] Ongoing insurance/policy premiums to cover archival liabilities; larger payouts are one-time contingencies above.
Supplies And Consumables $500/yr
[#9] Ongoing minimal medical/psychological follow-up supplies and consumables while active; post-neutralization reduced to nominal archival/medical supplies.
Cover Story And Legal $500/yr
[#10] Ongoing minimal legal/FOIA/cover maintenance post-closure; historically this was much larger but now scaled down.
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[#5, #6] Recurring research/monitoring costs if research continued were estimated in notes, but SCP-7938 is Neutralized after 2016 so ongoing research/monitoring is assumed 0.
Contingency Reserve $0/yr
[#16] Recurring contingency/reserve budget while active was recommended (10–25%); post-neutralization this is not maintained annually.
Opportunity Costs $0/yr
[#17] Opportunity/diversion costs applied while active; post-neutralization assumed 0 for ongoing budget (qualitative in notes).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $42K/yr
98.4% probability / year
Post-neutralization normal year with only archival maintenance and minimal admin/occasional audits.
routine archival maintenance occasional internal audit
🚨 Minor Audit $62K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
Occasional external or internal audit requiring travel, short-term contracted legal review and limited testing.
scheduled audit small-scale public inquiry
🚨 Declassification Followup $142K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Larger administrative/audit effort to confirm neutralization, additional testing, or internal reinvestigation requiring legal and technical contractors.
unexpected declassification request technical re-evaluation
🚨 Compensation Payout $542K/yr
0.1% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Unexpected liability event resulting in large insurance payout or settlement tied to historical actions.
major legal claim public exposure requiring settlements
👥 Personnel 1 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Archivist 1 Part-time archivist/researcher maintaining SCP file and responding to occasional audits; maps to recurring staff wages [#6].
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide broad ranges and historical totals but many items are contingent (historical monitoring intensity, R&D effort, and legal outcomes). The Neutralized status reduces future uncertainty, but historical totals are order-of-magnitude estimates, hence medium confidence.
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