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SCP-7952 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7952
Expected annual
$106K
One-time setup
$520K
Annual recurring
$100K
Personnel
5
One-time containment and contingency costs dominate (site fortification, permitting, contingency for exhumation/relocation), while recurring costs are driven by periodic field inspections, travel/logistics, sensor upkeep, and local security/liaison. Baseline annual operations are modest but conservative containment with monthly inspections and retainer budgets places recurring costs in the low five figures (~$100k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $520K
Contingency Exhumation $250K
[#16] Contingency reserve for emergent containment upgrade or full exhumation/relocation (excavation contractors, hazmat, heavy-lift helicopter, temporary containment, lab quarantine).
Litigation Reserve $100K
[#17] One-time larger legal contingency / litigation reserve for potential public exposure, third-party claims, or lawsuits.
Public Relations Emergency Fund $50K
[#18] One-time emergency payments for leak remediation, PR actions, misinformation campaign expenses for a significant leak or photographic exposure event.
Facilities $30K
[#2, #4] Fabrication and installation of corrosion-resistant padlocked grate and anchors plus initial environmental stabilization (sandbags/engineered drainage, silt/debris remediation) and installation labor/rigging in tidal/stream mouth environment.
Equipment $25K
[#7, #8] Purchase & installation of non-visual remote sensors and off-grid power plus optional specialized non-visual diagnostic equipment (GPR, magnetometer, thermal/acoustic) and initial mobilization.
Permitting And Liaison $20K
[#3] Permitting, negotiation with National Park Service/local agencies, contractor/legal fees, and reimbursements/compensation to park for restricted access; cover-story documentation creation.
Initial Reconnaissance $12K
[#1] Field team travel (flights to Juneau), local transit (boat/helicopter), lodging, food, and 2–3 person-day on-site survey to confirm grate security, erosion/flood risk, and document access logistics.
Cultural Consultation $12K
[#12] Tribal and archaeological consultation, travel, mitigation and compliance work to reduce legal/ethical exposure.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10K
[#11] Cataloging, secure packaging, packing and secure transport from Juneau to containment lab and short-term conservation/analysis.
Memetics Sop Development $8K
[#13] Expert antimemetic/memetic advisory time, SOP development, and initial memetics training materials creation.
Initial Personnel Screening $2K
[#9] Initial medical screening and briefing for personnel (estimated $500/person for 5 personnel).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $100K/yr
Logistics And Transport $24K/yr
[#5, #10] Recurring travel costs for periodic inspections (boat/helicopter charters or extended boat transfers), field deployment mobilization and transport fuel.
Staff Wages $18K/yr
[#5] Field personnel/contractor wages for inspections, minimal research oversight and local liaison labor (contractor-based rather than full FTEs).
Local Security Patrols $12K/yr
[#6] Augmentation of park patrols or payment to covert local contractors/park rangers to deter visitors and enforce restricted access.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#17, #18] Ongoing insurance/liability retainer and legal cover-story costs; small annual liaison/legal budget to reduce exposure risk.
Medevac Insurance $8K/yr
[#9] Medevac contingency/remote rescue insurance and standing evacuation coverage for remote Alaskan operations.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#10] Fuel for boats/charters, replacement padlocks/bolts, ropes, chains, field consumables and small repairs.
Research And Monitoring $6K/yr
[#7, #8] Sensor maintenance and battery replacement, occasional deployments of specialized non-visual diagnostic teams/campaigns and associated analysis time.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#4, #2] Ongoing erosion/flood mitigation maintenance, periodic clearing of silt/debris at cave mouth, and minor grate/anchor repairs.
Training And Admin Overhead $4K/yr
[#15, #13] Annual refresher training, memetics refresher/briefings, drills, and administrative overhead (scheduling, permits, containment logbooks).
Public Relations Retainer $3K/yr
[#18] Small annual retainer for PR/leak monitoring and rapid-response social media/image removal services.
Special Equipment Campaigns $3K/yr
[#8] Occasional deployment/campaign costs for specialized non-visual diagnostics (analyst time, temporary mobilization).
Recordkeeping $2K/yr
[#14] Secure data storage, air-gapped archival storage, redaction workflows, and log archival costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $100K/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with scheduled inspections, sensor maintenance, liaison, and routine consumables spending.
monthly inspections routine sensor maintenance ongoing liaison
🚨 Minor Incident $154K/yr
6.0% probability / year +$55K vs baseline
Vandalism or localized breach/damage requiring emergency repairs, PR response, and legal/contractor fees.
visitor tampering/vandalism localized grate/sensor damage public photos/leaks
🚨 Exhumation Recovery $400K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Site deterioration or forced salvage requiring full exhumation, heavy-lift operations, hazmat, temporary containment, and relocation to a containment lab.
cave instability/flood exposure severe public interest/forced access preservation failure of remains
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 Oversight of monitoring, analysis, and containment SOPs; part-time oversight rather than full laboratory staff.
Field Technician 2 Two-person minimum for on-site inspections, sensor maintenance, and field tasks; contractor-style engagements.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 On-call/local security liaison or occasional site guard; often supplemented by park rangers/contractors.
Administrative Staff 1 Permit renewals, scheduling, recordkeeping, and liaison with local authorities.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst line-item ranges and a conservative operational posture; many items (permits, helicopter costs, contingency events) have wide ranges, and local contracting variability and park/regulatory requirements reduce precision.
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