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SCP-8040 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8040
Expected annual
$31K
One-time setup
$31K
Annual recurring
$29K
Personnel
4
One-time setup is modest (~$30k) driven by contingency, potential formal study, and equipment; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, legal/OPSEC, and site overhead (~$29k/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $31K
Contingency Fund $12K
[#17] One-time incident/response reserve for emergency relocation, buy-back, or rapid mitigation (midpoint).
Formal Study Project $10K
[#11] Optional one-time pilot study validation budget (selected pilot-scale midpoint).
Equipment $4K
[#1, #3, #9, #13, #14] One-time purchases: foam-lined evidence box (#1), initial PPE purchase (#3), camera (#9 one-time portion), tagging/scanner hardware & initial labels (#13), padded transport case (#14).
Conservator Consult $1K
[#20] One-time conservator consultation for archiving/preservation (midpoint).
Sop And Training $1K
[#5] One-time cost for handling training and SOP creation (trainer time & documentation).
Background Checks $750
[#15] One-time background/clearance vetting for ~3 authorized handlers (midpoint estimate).
Replacement Reserve $525
[#18] One-time small replacement/repair reserve for mounts, cradles, backups (midpoint).
Market Acquisition Budget $250
[#12] One-time initial purchase budget for acquiring comparison copies from market (initial acquisition).
Facilities $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $29K/yr
Staff Wages $14K/yr
[#6, #7, #4] Fractional FTE allocation: level-2 researcher oversight (#6), lab technician/handler time (#7), fractional site security allocation (#4).
Cover Story And Legal $6K/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal/ethical oversight, OPSEC and takedown/response capability (midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#2, #20] Annualized site overhead for cabinet/shelf allocation and small environmental/reinspection materials (#2, #20).
Research And Monitoring $3K/yr
[#10, #12, #9] Data/storage/software licenses and backup (#10), market monitoring subscription/manpower (#12 recurring portion), camera storage/maintenance (#9 recurring portion).
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#14] Per-move courier/escorted transfer estimates for routine relocations to testing spaces (assumes occasional moves/year).
Administrative Overhead $1K/yr
[#19] Periodic audits, record reviews, and administrative compliance time (fractional admin staff time).
Supplies And Consumables $700/yr
[#3, #8, #13] Recurring PPE/fragility supplies replacement (#3), per-test consumables (#8), tagging maintenance (#13).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $29K/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine containment, occasional testing, and no major incidents or large-scale studies.
routine_testing_only no breaches no large research projects
🚨 Minor Incident $39K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10K vs baseline
Accidental breakage or damage to the mug requiring emergency response, temporary relocation, and attempted replacement/purchase efforts.
accidental_drop/damage immediate secure relocation emergency security overtime
🚨 Public Exposure $37K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$8K vs baseline
A copy or the original appears in civilian channels requiring active market takedown, covert purchases, legal actions, and increased OPSEC.
online listing detected civilian acquisition reported required legal takedown/buy-back
🚨 Research Scaleup $79K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Decision to run a large formal validation study (1,000+ trials) or scale up controlled experiments, requiring significant one-time project funding.
executive approval for large study human-subjects trials extended lab scheduling
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 0.05–0.1 FTE allocated to SCP-8040 for oversight and test approvals; cost included in staff_wages. [#6]
Lab Technician 1 0.05–0.1 FTE equivalent for handling, test prep, and cleanup; cost included in staff_wages. [#7]
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 Fractional site security allocation for badge/access logging and occasional escorts; cost included in staff_wages (#4).
Administrative Staff 1 Fractional admin time for audits, records, and logistics; cost captured in administrative_overhead. [#19]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling mid-range estimates, but uncertainty remains around testing cadence, frequency of moves/exposures, and whether large-scale studies will be pursued.
← SCP-8039 ↑ All SCPs SCP-8041 →