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SCP-8074 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8074
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$4.0M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
23.4
Initial capital/refit and equipment are the main one-time costs (~$3.96M) for wing conversion, HVAC/filtration, waste-handling and emergency reserves; recurring operations (staffing, consumables, utilities, research, insurance and contingencies) are the primary ongoing cost drivers (~$2.85M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.0M
Major Incident Reserve $1.2M
[#22] Optional larger one-off reserve for major incident (midpoint of $500k–$2M as noted).
Facilities $1.1M
[#1] Converted/segregated wing refit for 73 units: structural finishes, sealed flooring, stainless fixtures, vandal-resistant doors/windows; estimate is mid-range of provided $600k–$1.5M.
Equipment $965K
[#2, #3, #11, #13, #15, #16, #17, #23] Industrial HVAC/odor/negative-pressure installation (#2), on-site incinerator/autoclave capital (#3), composting/enrichment infrastructure (#11), CCTV/sensor installation (#13), secure vehicle and decon-bay equipment (#15), rapid response equipment (#16), privacy/partition fixtures (#17), initial easy-clean furniture/tamper-proof enrichment devices (#23). Values are midpoints of provided ranges.
Containment Upgrade Contingency $625K
[#25] One-time reserve for urgent capital works / unplanned upgrades (midpoint of $250k–$1M).
Initial Crisis Plan $50K
[#19] One-time crisis plan / legal PR setup (midpoint of $25k–$75k).
Training Setup $18K
[#9] Initial staff training/program setup (setup ~$10k–$25k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#4, #6, #7, #8, #14] Staff wages include janitorial FTEs (#4), medical nurse and consultant portions (#6), mental-health clinicians/caseworkers (#7), security guards & supervisor (#8), and data/behavior analyst FTE(s) (#14). Values based on mid-range salaries and chosen staffing counts.
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#18, #13, #14] Ongoing behavioral/research budget (#18) plus video/storage retention and review staffing related to monitoring (#13) and overlap with analyst time (#14).
Insurance And Contingency $300K/yr
[#22] Annual insurance/contingency reserve for outbreaks, litigation, remediation (midpoint of $100k–$500k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $232K/yr
[#5, #10, #23, #11] PPE & disposable consumables (#5), bedding/laundry and textile replacement (#10), ongoing misc easy-clean replacement (#23), and recurring food/enrichment supplies (#11).
Reintegration Program $175K/yr
[#24] Annual reintegration/post-release monitoring and support (midpoint of estimated $70k–$280k depending on reintegration rate).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#19] Recurring legal/cover-story/PR contingency (midpoint of $50k–$250k/yr).
Staff Hazard And Turnover $140K/yr
[#21] Hazard pay (~10% of involved staff payroll) plus turnover/recruitment costs (midpoint of provided ranges).
Energy Surcharge $80K/yr
[#20] Additional electrical usage for heavy HVAC/filtration/decon systems (midpoint of $40k–$120k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $58K/yr
[#2, #12] Recurring HVAC filter/service replacements and contracted building pest-control (midpoints of provided ranges).
Waste Disposal Contract $36K/yr
[#3] Annual cost if contract disposal used instead of on-site incinerator (midpoint of $1k–$5k/mo = $12k–$60k/yr); included as an operational alternative.
Rapid Response Maintenance $22K/yr
[#16] Annual refresher training & replacement supplies for rapid response kits (midpoint of $15k–$30k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#15] Vehicle/decon maintenance & operation for secure transfers (midpoint of $5k–$20k/yr).
Staff Training $10K/yr
[#9] Annual training refresh (midpoint of $5k–$15k/yr).
Privacy Maintenance $10K/yr
[#17] Annual program/maintenance for partitions, signage and enforcement infrastructure (midpoint of $5k–$15k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with steady operations, no major incidents.
stable population behavior no major containment incidents regular maintenance and staffing
🚨 Minor Incident $3.0M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized incident(s): mass soiling event, limited escape attempt contained quickly, short-term increased overtime and disposal/cleanup.
mass soiling / hygiene outbreak small-scale containment breach increased overtime and cleanup contracts
🚨 Major Breach $4.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or multi-instance incident requiring emergency response, facility repairs, litigation and major reserve drawdown.
major multi-instance breach public exposure / litigation facility damage and large-scale remediation
👥 Personnel 23.4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#8] 24/7 guard coverage for the wing (chosen mid-range staffing).
Security Supervisor 1 [#8] Supervisory role included in security staffing estimates.
Janitorial Personnel 5 [#4] Increased janitorial FTEs trained for biohazard cleanup (midpoint of 3–6 FTE).
Mental Health Clinician / Case Worker 3 [#7] Clinicians for mandatory counseling and reintegration assessments (midpoint of 2–4 FTE).
Medical Officer / Nurse 1 [#6] Full-time nurse for routine screening and treatment.
Physician Consultant 0.4 [#6] Part-time physician consultant (0.25–0.5 FTE as noted).
Data Analyst / Behavioral Reviewer 1 [#14] Analyst(s) to code behaviors, review video and support research (0.5–1 FTE; mid/operational need set to 1).
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are based on midpoints of analyst-provided ranges and a detailed line-item breakdown; uncertainty remains due to optional alternatives (on-site incinerator vs. contract disposal), behavior-driven incident frequency, and the unknown object class/behavioral escalation risk.
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