SCP-8087 Uncontained ? low confidence
SCP-8087
Expected annual
$2.5M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
18
Estimated one-time setup and capture costs are roughly $2.33M driven by site modifications, equipment, initial research, and a scaling contingency; annual recurring operations are roughly $2.45M/yr driven by staffing, security, field ops, research, and large contingency/reserve allocations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Scaling Reserve One Time $500K
[#25] Scaling allowance / one-time reserve for additional chambers, rapid construction and initial multi-instance buildout contingency (#25).
Facilities $462K
[#6, #19] Site-48 animal chamber construction/modification (#6) and transportation/decontamination bay/loading-dock upgrades at Site-48 (#19) included as physical construction/structural work.
Equipment $415K
[#3, #7, #8, #14, #15, #22, #12] Specialized capture gear (#3), environmental control systems hardware (#7), morgue/freezer and preservation hardware (#8), Site-48 internal sensors/CCTV (#14), remote-surveillance hardware initial tranche (#15), archive/storage & secure comms initial hardware (#22), initial PPE/decon equipment (#12).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#11] Initial scientific research tranche: pathology, full genome sequencing, imaging (CT/MRI), necropsy/biopsy instrumentation and initial research lab setup (#11).
Legal Cover One Time $150K
[#16] Legal/cover-up one-time setup: initial payments, narrative setup, expenditures to local officials and front payments (#16).
Mtf Initial Capture $112K
[#1] Mobile Task Force initial capture deployment (mobilization, vehicles, fuel, lodging, per-diem, munitions/nonlethal supplies) — one-time initial op (#1).
Decommissioning One Time $110K
[#24] Decommissioning and long-term disposal planning one-time reserve (disposal/vaulting/cremation options) (#24).
Containment Sensors Park One Time $100K
[#14] Park-deployed containment/Hume/sensor installation initial cost (park deployment portion) (#14).
Media Conditioning One Time $88K
[#17] Initial media-conditioning / PR campaign startup, content creation and initial ad spend (#17).
Remote Surveillance Initial $75K
[#15] Remote surveillance initial deployment (camera traps, acoustic sensors, solar units, drone hardware portion) (#15).
Training Initial $30K
[#23] Specialist training and SOP/protocol development initial tranche for handlers, MTF, vets and researchers (#23).
Local Compensation One Time $28K
[#18] Local compensation, signage replacement, visitor refunds and one-time reimbursements to mitigate park closure impact (#18).
Secure Transport Initial $20K
[#5] Secure transport to Site-48 (ground or charter options) for initial capture/transfer — one-time per transport (#5).
Veterinary Initial $18K
[#4] Veterinary sedation, anesthesia and emergency vet team costs for initial capture (pharmaceuticals, on-call vet, emergency supplies) — initial one-time tranche (#4).
Specialized Capture Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $550K/yr
[#13] Salaries for research staff, pathologists, vets, animal care techs and support researchers (annual payroll) (#13).
Logistics And Transport $440K/yr
[#2, #15] Ongoing field search operations / repeated deployments (vehicles, fuel, per-diem, overtime) (#2) and recurring remote-surveillance operations including drone flights and sensor upkeep (#15).
On Site Security $400K/yr
[#10] Dedicated on-site armed security staff, biometric access/alarms, CCTV archiving and security operations (annual payroll and operating costs) (#10).
Contingency Reserve $300K/yr
[#20] Containment contingency and emergency response fund maintained as liquid reserve for escapes, medical emergencies and rapid repairs (#20).
Cover Story And Legal $286K/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #21] Annual legal/cover-up sustainment and leak response (#16), ongoing media conditioning and social-media operations (#17), local reimbursements/contingency (#18), and insurance/indemnity/legal-defense reserve spending (#21).
Scaling Contingency Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Annual reserve for scaling operations if multiple instances are discovered (staffing, chambers, expanded research) (#25).
Research And Monitoring $165K/yr
[#11, #22] Ongoing scientific research projects and monitoring (genetics, toxicology, behavioral studies) (#11) and data/archive operations and secure communications annual costs (#22).
Supplies And Consumables $58K/yr
[#9, #12, #8] Long-term husbandry and feeding supplies (#9), PPE and decon consumables/disposal (#12), morgue consumables and upkeep (#8).
Facilities Maintenance $28K/yr
[#7, #14] HVAC/environmental system energy & maintenance (#7) and containment/sensor maintenance (#14).
Training And Protocols $12K/yr
[#23] Annual refresher training and protocol updates for handlers, MTF and research staff (#23).
Veterinary Sedation $10K/yr
[#4] Recurring sedation/pharmaceuticals and on-call veterinary support for follow-up captures or medical events (#4).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with containment/monitoring operations continuing without major incidents.
no_major_incidents routine_research_and_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $2.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Temporary escape or extended field operation requiring extra deployments, short-term PR/legal response and overtime.
temporary_escape extended_search_ops local_media_leak
🚨 Major Breach $3.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant breach/escape with civilian injuries, structural damage, large-scale emergency response and litigation.
escape_with_injuries civilian_exposure structural_damage
🚨 Multiple Instances $4.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Discovery of additional instances requiring immediate scale-up (additional chambers, staff, expanded research programs).
second_instance_discovered rapid_scale_up contagion_risk
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#1, #10] Shifted armed guards and MTF personnel to provide 24/7 security and tactical response; count covers shift rotations and dedicated chamber guards (#1, #10).
Research Scientist 3 [#11, #13] Lead pathologist, geneticist/toxicologist and behavioral researcher supporting studies and analyses (#11, #13).
Veterinarian / Vet Tech 2 [#4, #13] On-call veterinarian and vet techs for sedation, surgeries, and medical care of specimen (#4, #13).
Animal Care Technician 2 [#9, #13] Daily husbandry, feeding, enrichment and waste handling staff (#9, #13).
Medical Officer 1 [#13] Medical oversight for staff and potential exposed civilians; on-call physician/medical officer (#13).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#7, #14] HVAC/environmental control, HVAC redundancy, sensor and facility maintenance staff (#7, #14).
Administrative Staff 1 [#16, #17] Administrative/PR/legal coordinator for cover-story maintenance and liaison with legal fronts (#16, #17).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [general] Site-level oversight and executive decision-making for containment strategy and budget.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on broad ranges in analyst notes and many contingent/uncertain factors (uncontained status, potential multiple instances, variable transport/capture methods). Anomalous behavior and capture difficulty introduce high uncertainty, so confidence is low.
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