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SCP-8091 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-8091
Expected annual
$15.5M
One-time setup
$109.5M
Annual recurring
$13.9M
Personnel
34
One-time setup and contingency establishment are dominated by a large disaster-contingency reserve; recurring costs are driven by research staff, regional field-response teams, Agnes.aic operations, monitoring, and ongoing covert/cover-story operations (~$13.86M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $109.5M
Disaster Contingency Fund Establishment $100.0M
[#18] Establishment of a pooled catastrophic-event reserve (mid-range selection: $100M one-time seed).
Remote Monitoring Deployment $3.2M
[#7] Forest sensor grid deployment (1,000-node mid-estimate ~$3.0M) plus drone procurement/launch ops (~$200k one-time).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.6M
[#3, #17] High-speed/thermal instrumentation and analysis equipment (mid-estimate ~$650k) plus an initial R&D grant/allocation for suppression research (~$2.0M one-time initial tranche).
Facilities $2.1M
[#2, #16, #28] High-temperature lab fit-out (~$1.25M), secure vault fit-out for samples/archives (~$350k), and containment/evacuation planning & modeling one-time planning (~$500k).
Field Vehicles And Equipment $800K
[#4] Capital purchase of trucks, trailers, pumps, ATVs and other field-response hardware (~$800k one-time).
Equipment $750K
[#12] Proximity / high-temperature suit inventory (30 suits estimated at median ~$750k one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.9M/yr
Disaster Contingency Replenishment $5.0M/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment allocation for catastrophic-event reserve (policy choice; mid-range replenishment ~$5.0M/yr assumed).
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#1] Site-270 research team salaries and allocated overhead (~10 FTEs × $120k all-in = $1.2M + $300k site overhead = $1.5M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#7, #17, #27] Ongoing remote monitoring staff (~$200k/yr), satellite data/subscriptions (~$125k/yr), multi-year R&D program baseline funding (~$1.0M/yr), and long-term environmental monitoring contracts (~$100k/yr) combined.
Field Response Teams Salaries $1.2M/yr
[#4] Recurring salaries for 3 regional rapid-response teams (analyst note: ~ $1.2M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#8, #10] Legal & PR team retainer and takedown-legal support (combined mid-estimate: legal/PR ~$500k/yr + additional takedown/legal support ~$100k/yr).
Partnership Reimbursements $500K/yr
[#6] Annual allocation for reimbursements to local fire/park services and partner agencies (~$500k/yr budgeted).
Covert Content Removal $500K/yr
[#9] Covert content-removal, counter-messaging and paid narratives budget (~$500k/yr baseline for ongoing small operations).
Insurance And Legal Reserves $500K/yr
[#23] Annual premiums/reserves and retainer for crisis law firms (~$500k/yr baseline).
Agnes Aic Ops $450K/yr
[#8] Agnes.aic development & maintenance team (~3 FTEs ~$300k) + hosting/compute and takedown tooling (~$150k mid). Total ~$450k/yr.
Tech Covert Ops $300K/yr
[#24] Secure comms, red-team ops, and offensive takedown/cyber work (~$300k/yr baseline; highly variable).
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#4] Routine travel stipends, ground transport logistics and light activation travel estimated at ~$250k/yr baseline (separate from helicopter contracting).
Environmental Remediation Reserve $250K/yr
[#14] Annual reserve for small-to-midsize remediation/reforestation contracts (per-event remediation can be much larger; baseline reserve ~$250k/yr).
Helicopter And Air Support $200K/yr
[#5] Baseline contracting budget for occasional aerial support and reconnaissance (typical medium-event budgeting; highly variable per-event).
Field Forensic Per Event Reserve $200K/yr
[#11] Annual reserve to cover per-event forensic/hazard-scene ops averaged over year (per-event $30k–$200k; baseline reserve ~$200k/yr).
Field Vehicle Maintenance $150K/yr
[#4] Annual vehicle & equipment maintenance, fuel and repairs (~$150k/yr).
International Operations $150K/yr
[#20] Baseline foreign liaison, travel and local contracting (~$50k–$500k/yr; mid-estimate ~$150k/yr).
Medical And Psych Support $100K/yr
[#13] Routine post-deployment counseling program and occupational medical support (~$100k/yr baseline); per-casualty care is event-driven.
Archive And Storage Ops $100K/yr
[#16] Annual data storage, secure backups, digitization and vault ops (~$100k/yr).
Witness Management Budget $100K/yr
[#19] Annual baseline for witness relocation, NDAs and management averaged across events (~$100k/yr).
Training And Certification $100K/yr
[#22] Annual training exercises, certifications and joint drills (~$100k/yr baseline).
Ethical Oversight And Community Liaison $100K/yr
[#25] Internal review boards, community outreach actors, and goodwill spending (~$100k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#21] Field consumables, fuels, small expendables and PPE replacement estimated at ~$60k/yr baseline.
Ppe Maintenance And Replacement $50K/yr
[#12] Annual replacement, testing and consumables for proximity suits and respiratory gear (~$50k/yr).
Per Event Misc Contingency $50K/yr
[#26] Small per-event reserve for permits, last-minute hires and ad-hoc costs (~$50k/yr baseline).
Hazardous Waste Handling Reserve $25K/yr
[#15] Annual reserve for disposal and hazardous-waste handling averaged over year (~$25k/yr baseline).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.9M/yr
74.5% probability / year
Normal year with regular monitoring, research, routine small incidents and no major SCP-8091 events.
no major events routine monitoring and small responses
🚨 Minor Incident $14.6M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
One or two modest SCP-8091 events requiring regional response, limited aerial support, modest remediation and covert narrative work.
single medium event (~tens to low hundreds of acres) local media attention requiring takedown & reimbursements
🚨 Major Event $23.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Large regional SCP-8091 event (hundreds to ~1,000 acres) requiring sustained aerial suppression, extended remediation, heavy forensic operations and significant cover-story expenditure.
1,000-acre scale event sustained media coverage and international liaison
🚨 Catastrophic Event $213.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Megafire cascading scenario requiring mass evacuation, national/international suppression assets, full activation of contingency reserve and long-term remediation and legal settlements.
cascading megafire widespread destruction, mass casualties, prolonged media exposure
👥 Personnel 34 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 3 [#1] Principal investigators/research scientists drawn from Site-270 research team (part of the 10 FTE research complement).
Postdoc / Researcher 3 [#1] Postdoctoral researchers and junior research staff included in Site-270 research team.
Lab Technician 2 [#1] Lab techs for experiments, sample prep and instrumentation operation.
Data Analyst 1 [#1] Data analysis and event correlation for Agnes.aic and monitoring streams.
Administrative Staff 1 [#1] Administrative support for Site-270 research team and ops coordination.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#4] Regional field-response teams (estimated ~15 total field staff across teams; 12 assigned as front-line responders here).
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#4] Vehicle and equipment maintenance lead for regional teams.
Medical Officer 1 [#4, #13] Embedded medic/occupational health liaison for field teams and post-deployment care coordination.
Software Engineer / Data Scientist 2 [#8] Agnes.aic development and monitoring staff (part of the 3 FTE team).
Moderation / Takedown Specialist 1 [#8] Human moderation and takedown verification for Agnes.aic ops.
Legal Counsel 2 [#10] Legal team members supporting cover-story, takedowns and FOIA/press responses.
PR / Communications 2 [#10] Public affairs staff maintaining the Mundane Forest Fire cover and media coordination.
Remote Monitoring Operator 2 [#7] Operators for sensor grid, drones and thermal alert monitoring (monitoring staff ~2 FTEs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but many items are highly event-driven with wide ranges (per-event costs span orders of magnitude) and policy choices (size of contingency fund, R&D pacing) materially affect totals; hence medium confidence.
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