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SCP-8098 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8098
Expected annual
$104K
One-time setup
$754K
Annual recurring
$100K
Personnel
3
Initial one-time setup and archival/protection equipment are modest (~$0.75M driven largely by optional R&D contingency), with baseline recurring operating costs of roughly $100k/yr driven by staff wages, testing consumables, and ongoing analyses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $754K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $644K
[#11, #16, #22] Initial/major forensic analysis project (#11), initial archival cataloging of inventory (#16), and OPTIONAL dedicated R&D program startup (lab setup / manufacturing investigation) (#22) — large optional program dominates this category.
Contingency Reserve $62K
[#21] Recommended small contingency / risk reserve for expedited research, emergency acquisition or unexpected containment needs.
Equipment $30K
[#2, #3, #7, #8, #17, #19, #20, #23] Dehumidifier/HVAC tuning (#2), electronic surveillance & tamper alarms (#3), firearms purchase & gun safe (#7), ballistics kit (#8), initial PPE (#17), emergency kit initial purchase (#19), IT/security hardware one-time setup (#20), initial training costs (#23). Sum of midpoints.
Legal And Permitting $15K
[#14] One-time legal consultation / permitting and initial cover strategy review (midpoint estimate).
Facilities $3K
[#1] Containment locker physical upgrades (acid-free inner box, silica gel, pest traps, tamper seals, reinforced lock) estimated midpoint of analyst range.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $100K/yr
Staff Wages $40K/yr
[#5, #6, #23] Periodic physical audits, guard/escort & inventory checks (~0.05–0.1 FTE eq.) (#5) and researcher + technician oversight (0.1–0.2 FTE researcher + 0.1 FTE technician) (#6), plus refresher training (~#23). Sum of midpoint salary+benefits estimates.
Supplies And Consumables $21K/yr
[#9, #10, #17, #18, #24] Per-experiment consumables budget (#9) plus occasional high-speed camera rental averaged across year (#10), PPE consumables (#17), hazardous waste disposal (#18), and routine office/containment supplies (#24).
Research And Monitoring $17K/yr
[#4, #12, #20] Monitoring/logging and CCTV/digital storage & petty sysadmin costs (#4), ongoing analytical follow-ups / re-analyses (#12), and IT security / encrypted backups ongoing costs (#20).
Cover Story And Legal $12K/yr
[#15] Ongoing cover/containment budget including media control, amnestic supplies, and small legal/cover actions.
Logistics And Transport $9K/yr
[#13, #19] Secure transport/transfers between sites/labs (#13) plus medevac / standing emergency transport arrangements averaged per year (#19 recurring portion).
Facilities Maintenance $200/yr
[#2] HVAC/dehumidifier electricity and occasional maintenance (midpoint of $100–$300/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $100K/yr
91.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine testing, monitoring, and occasional small experiments; no major incidents.
routine_testing quarterly_audits regular_analysis
🚨 Minor Incident $125K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small accidental event (e.g., disposal-related explosion, testing injury, localized equipment damage) requiring emergency response, cleanup, and follow-up analyses.
disposal_accident testing_injury small_internal_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $500K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant containment incident or anomalous event (e.g., 'Black Hole' flavor consequences, widespread conversion events, or external exposure) requiring major remediation, legal cover, and possible containment relocation.
black_hole_flavor_test mass_conversion_event public_exposure
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#6] Part-time researcher oversight (recommended 0.1–0.2 FTE equivalent represented by a single assigned researcher).
Laboratory Technician 1 [#6] Part-time technician (recommended ~0.1 FTE equivalent represented by a single assigned technician for handling and testing).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 1 [#5] Guard/escort and periodic physical audits (~0.05–0.1 FTE equivalent, represented by one assigned security contact).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for nearly all costs, so category estimates and recurring baselines are reasonably well-bounded; larger uncertainty exists around optional R&D (large, discretionary) and low-probability high-impact incidents, lowering overall confidence to medium.
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