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SCP-8110 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8110
Expected annual
$36.7M
One-time setup
$274.9M
Annual recurring
$30.9M
Personnel
12
One-time capital costs are large (primarily vault construction, power and robotic/observation hardware) totaling ~ $275M; recurring annual operations (staffing, rover ops, communications, cover-up, contingency and data-security overhead) are ~ $31M/yr, with cover-up and contingency as major drivers of variability.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $274.9M
Facilities $105.0M
[#6, #7, #20] Radiologically-controlled vault retrofits/new construction (note #6), power generation/infrastructure expansion (note #7), and long-term decommissioning/disposition reserve (note #20) aggregated as structural/facility capital.
Equipment $98.3M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #8, #9, #11, #12, #15] Peripheral and mission equipment: perimeter sensor suites (#1), north/south high-res observation suites (#2), comms installation/relays (#3), rover fleet procurement and integration (#4), initial data-storage hardware (#8), scientific/radiation instrumentation (#9), initial secure-system setup (#11), one-time cover-up/retainer/setup (#12), and emergency containment tooling/kits (#15).
Data Security Overhead $63.5M
[#18] One-time portion of classification/procurement premiums and secure-contracting overhead (applies as a multiplier to one-time capital items). Calculated as ~30% of one-time capital subtotal per analyst guidance.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $8.0M
[#17] Lunar Area-02 laboratory/analysis capability (non-interactive) buildout, specialized remote analysis interfaces and instrumentation.
Medical Surveillance Setup $200K
[#14] One-time PPE & dosimetry setup for personnel working on the project.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $30.9M/yr
Research And Monitoring $7.5M/yr
[#3, #5, #8, #9, #15, #17] Recurring costs for comms bandwidth/ground ops (#3), rover operations & remote daily inspections (#5), ongoing data storage/cloud ops (#8), instrument calibration (#9), emergency-readiness staffing (#15), and recurring lab calibration/consumables (#17).
Data Security Overhead $6.2M/yr
[#18] Recurring contracting/premium rates and administrative overhead for classified procurement and services (~30% of recurring operations subtotal).
Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr
[#12] Recurring cover-up, liaison, legal suppression and PR/liaison efforts with NASA/other agencies.
Contingency Fund $4.0M/yr
[#19] Program-level contingency reserved for unknown anomalous events and rapid-response needs (~15% of recurring budget per analyst guidance).
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#10] Salaries & benefits for remote operators, telemetry engineers, payload scientists, Level-4 reviewers, and administrative/security overhead (small dedicated Earth/Lunar team).
Facilities Maintenance $2.0M/yr
[#6, #7] Vault monitoring, environmental control upkeep and power system maintenance on lunar facilities.
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#16] Annualized launches, cargo transfers and mission integration costs for moving hardware, replacements and recovered items between lunar sites/Earth.
Security And Cyber $800K/yr
[#11] Recurring security operations, intrusion detection, cyber-secure links and classified communications upkeep.
E Class Personnel Costs $500K/yr
[#13] Recurring logistics, transport, surveillance and lifecycle costs for E-class personnel associated with the project.
Supplies And Consumables $400K/yr
[#9, #14] Calibration consumables and recurring medical surveillance/monitoring consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $30.9M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with monitoring-only operations, routine maintenance, and standard cover-up/legal activity.
no_manifestations standard_operations no major incidents
🚨 Manifestation Resurgence $55.9M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Manifestation events resume at historical frequency (every few weeks), causing frequent recoveries, additional launches/transfers, increased rover operations and amplified cover-up requirements.
frequent_manifestations increased_recovery_ops heightened_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $130.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Severe containment breach or public exposure requiring emergency lunar missions, large-scale recovery, replacement infrastructure and substantial cover-up/legal payouts.
vault_breach contamination_event public_exposure
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Remote Rover Operator 4 [#10] Operators for daily seismic inspections and rover control; salaried as part of staff_wages.
Research Scientist 3 [#10] Payload scientists and analysts reviewing telemetry and imagery; included in staff_wages.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#10] Telemetry/rover/power engineers responsible for ops and maintenance.
Level-4 Reviewer 2 [#10] Level-4 personnel mandated to review footage twice weekly; included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff / Security 1 [#10] Admin, program manager and security-clearance coordination support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide detailed line-item ranges and program assumptions; lunar mission cost uncertainty (launch mass, choice of supplier, and political/cover-up costs) and unknown manifestation frequency reduce precision to medium confidence.
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