SCP-8238 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8238
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$1.5M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
17
One-time capital/setup costs are approximately $1.53M driven by instrumentation, initial insurance reserve and equipment transfer; baseline recurring costs are about $1.94M/yr driven primarily by security staffing, research, lease/cover and insurance replenishment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5M
Insurance Reserve Seed $500K
[#27] Initial contingency/emergency reserve seed fund for large containment incidents and public exposure remediation.
Equipment $404K
[#3, #5, #6, #9, #14, #15, #18, #21, #22, #23] Non-lethal response hardware, CCTV/NVR and installation, secure comms hardware, pumps/dehumidifiers, ROV systems, exploration-craft transfer cost (preferred option), transport vehicles, backup generator/ATS, on-site server/storage, and initial PPE purchase.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#10, #11, #12, #13] Small on-site BSL-capable handling workspace and cold storage, forensic autopsy/advanced analysis costs, residue testing, and tachyon/Hume detection instrumentation (research-grade).
Facilities $110K
[#7, #8] Initial construction hoarding, signage and civil engineering/survey & limited reinforcement work to stabilize underground spaces.
Amnestic Stockpile $100K
[#4] Initial Class B amnestic stockpile procurement, secure storage and dosing equipment (conservative stockpile for dozens of incidents).
Salvage And Mechanical Work $50K
[#26] One-time specialist mechanical/robotic work to remove or stabilize corroded rail and damaged submersible.
Contaminated Waste Disposal $11K
[#24] One-time secure disposal cost for existing 18 corpses and any immediate hazardous material incineration.
Property Purchase $0
[#19] Purchase option not selected in baseline (recurring lease/cover used instead).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $908K/yr
[#1, #2, #28] On-site security (9 guards rostered), external/cover guards (4), and personnel overhead (site manager, admin, maintenance) including benefits and training.
Research And Monitoring $330K/yr
[#10, #11, #13, #14, #25] Ongoing research program funding (scientific staff time, experiments), instrument calibration/maintenance (tachyon/Hume detectors), ROV maintenance, BSL consumables and follow-up forensic/analytic studies.
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#19, #20] Lease/cover costs for warehouse control, local liaison/permits, routine legal/cover-up expenses and modest contingency for council/inspections.
Mtf Readiness $125K/yr
[#17] Annual MTF readiness, periodic exercises, and standby deployment/training budget.
Emergency Medical And Medevacs $100K/yr
[#16] On-call paramedic contracts, medevac retainers and emergency extraction capability.
Insurance Reserve Replenish $100K/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment contribution to maintain contingency/reserve levels for breaches or disclosure events.
Supplies And Consumables $45K/yr
[#3, #4, #23, #24] Consumable sedatives/amnestics training replenishment, amnestic per-duty replenishment, PPE replenishment and ongoing contaminated waste disposal contracts.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#5, #7, #8, #9, #21, #22] Hoarding replacement/repair, structural monitoring visits, pumps/dehumidifier servicing, CCTV/IT maintenance, generator fuel/testing, and minor site maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#18] Fuel, maintenance and minor operating costs for secure transport vehicles and trailers.
Public Incident Reserve $20K/yr
[#29] Reserve for ad-hoc public incidents, media control, temporary barriers and additional covert security.
Administrative Compliance $10K/yr
[#30] Periodic debriefs, audits, documentation updates and archival compliance.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with standard operations: staffing, monitoring, research and routine maintenance only.
normal operations no breaches routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring MTF response, amnestic application, targeted remediation and limited media control.
trespasser intrusion small containment breach localized contamination
🚨 Major Breach $3.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring extended MTF operations, major remediation, emergency research and legal mitigation.
containment failure public exposure extended remediation
🚨 Research Scaleup Requiring Purchase $21.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Strategic decision year to acquire the warehouse or manufacture a specialized exploration craft (major one-time capital outlay).
decision to purchase property decision to build specialized craft
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#1] On-site guards (2 per shift, 3 shifts, float/backups = ~9 total)
Cover/External Security Guard 4 [#2] Visible warehouse/security cover guards (peak hours/plainclothes rotation)
Site Director / Site Manager 1 [#28] On-site senior officer / site manager
Administrative Staff 1 [#28] Administrative support for logs, permits and cover
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#28] Facility maintenance and janitorial staff (non-sensitive areas)
📋 Confidence Notes
Many analyst line items are presented as wide ranges and several high-cost options (property purchase, craft manufacture, insurance appetite) are binary choices; staff counts are inferred from Security notes. Midpoint selections used where ranges existed, so totals have moderate uncertainty.
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