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SCP-8249 Uncontained ~ medium confidence
SCP-8249
Expected annual
$8.6M
One-time setup
$16.9M
Annual recurring
$8.4M
Personnel
45
Initial one-time setup/capital is approximately $16.9M driven by site hardening, R&D, emergency reserve and major equipment purchases; ongoing baseline operations run roughly $8.36M/year driven by specialist staffing, security, surveillance, and cover/liaison costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $16.9M
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#24] Containment failure emergency fund / rapid reaction reserve (cash reserve for evacuation, compensation, relocation, contingency).
Equipment $4.7M
[#4, #6, #8, #10, #13, #14, #15, #21, #29, #30, #32] Vaults and storage, specialized capture hardware, mobile corral/crates, sensor deployment hardware, purchase of helicopter, armored vehicles, transfer cage fabrication, medical kit, forensic imaging gear, inerting racks and secure IT/hardened communications equipment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#5, #20] Glyph-dampening/anti‑thaumaturgy R&D & prototype work plus initial laboratory assays/mass-spec/histology initial testing.
Post Capture Infrastructure $2.0M
[#33] One-time buildout contingency if SCP-8249-A requires transfer to permanent, higher-security site (separate from recurring ops).
Staging Site Purchase Option $1.5M
[#12] Optional one-time purchase of cross-border staging nodes (purchase option cited as ~$1.5M); included as a discrete one-time possibility.
Facilities $1.2M
[#3, #23] Site-87 containment chamber upgrade and decontamination facility buildout: structural/hardening work, Faraday cage, redundant HVAC and decon showers.
Cover Story Setup $250K
[#18] One-time setup for legal/cover story/disinformation campaign infrastructure and initial covert liaison expenses.
Amnestic One Time $200K
[#16] One-time witness amnestic supply and initial mass witness management costs (≈200 civilian-dose proxy).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.4M/yr
Staff Wages $4.1M/yr
[#2, #7, #19, #22, #21, #25] Dedicated thaumaturgy MTF payroll (~$1.8M/yr), continuous Site-87 security staffing (~$1.4M/yr), intelligence/SME hires (~$300k/yr), containment psychologist (~$140k/yr), medical staffing contingency (~$150k/yr), administrative/black-budget oversight (~$300k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $1.8M/yr
[#18, #28, #31] Ongoing cover story/disinformation operations (~$1.0M/yr), media/legal mitigation and diplomatic backstopping (~$500k/yr), and public safety/local emergency reimbursements contingency (~$250k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $665K/yr
[#5, #11, #10, #20, #29] Ongoing R&D/testing maintenance for anti‑thaumaturgy tech, recurring ISR/surveillance tasking, border sensor data/operations, follow-up laboratory assays, and archival/archiving costs.
Post Capture Operations $500K/yr
[#33] Recurring operations/maintenance if SCP-8249-A is captured and transferred (ongoing containment ops contingency).
Logistics And Transport $450K/yr
[#1, #12] Per-operation MTF deployment readiness / per-op strike costs (conservatively budgeted as one significant readiness/opportunity per year) and recurring leasing for covert staging nodes.
Facilities Maintenance $400K/yr
[#13] Recurring maintenance for tactical air assets (helicopter maintenance estimate) and other heavy-equipment upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#17, #27, #23, #30, #9] Amnestic stock replenishment, containment consumables (food, bedding, sedatives), decon consumables, scheduled inspections for anomalous items, and equine consumables/vet support.
Misc Hazard Buffer $200K/yr
[#34] Miscellaneous forensic/intangible/unknown-hazard buffer for rare reagents, specialist consults, and unpredictable anomalous needs.
Training Drills $100K/yr
[#26] Annual training cycles, live drills, travel and consumables for capture/containment protocol refresh.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.4M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year maintaining current containment posture and ongoing R&D/surveillance with no major capture or breach events.
no major capture attempts steady-state surveillance routine maintenance and staffing
🚨 Minor Incident $8.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$550K vs baseline
Single capture attempt or limited engagement requiring MTF mobilization, additional amnestic deployment, surge ISR and local emergency responses.
target sighting requiring rapid deployment localized public exposure surge surveillance and amnestic use
🚨 Major Breach $15.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Large-scale breach/cross-border incident requiring multiple capture attempts, emergency evacuations, extensive diplomatic/legal mitigation and fast-tracked R&D escalation.
hostile engagement or mass exposure cross-border diplomatic crisis full R&D scale-up & large evacuations
👥 Personnel 45 total
Role Count Notes
Thaumaturgy Specialist MTF 12 [#2] Dedicated 12-person specialist team (operators, field thaumaturgists, team leader, med tech) per analyst note.
Security Officer / Guard 18 [#7] 24/7 guard coverage estimated as 18 guards across shifts.
Security Supervisor 2 [#7] Two supervisors indicated for guard rotations and oversight.
Med Tech / Medical Officer 1 [#7, #21] On-call med tech as part of guard team and trauma staffing contingency.
Research Scientist 4 [#5, #20] R&D and laboratory research staff supporting anti‑thaumaturgy development and assays.
Intelligence Analyst / Linguist 3 [#19] Subject-matter experts for linguistics, mythography, xenology and analysis.
Administrative Staff 3 [#25] Administrative/black-budget accounting and compliance personnel estimated from overhead.
Containment Psychologist 1 [#22] 1 FTE psychologist for cognitive containment and sessions.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3, #13] Support for facility/hardware maintenance (HVAC, Faraday systems, aircraft/vehicle liaison).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are anchored to explicit figures in analyst notes (many line items provided), but subject to uncertainty from unknown operation frequency, cross-border diplomatic variability, and anomalous behaviour of SCP-8249-A; thus medium confidence.
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