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SCP-8274 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-8274
Expected annual
$51.8M
One-time setup
$101.5M
Annual recurring
$50.0M
Personnel
254
Estimated one-time capital and R&D needs are approximately $72.3M, driven by civil works, deep-access installation and a large catastrophic reserve. Annual operating costs are dominated by security staffing and local mitigation/cover payments, totaling roughly $50.0M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $101.5M
Catastrophic Capital Reserve $30.0M
[#22] One-time catastrophic incident capital reserve (political/insurance/large-scale recovery pool as recommended).
Facilities $21.0M
[#5, #16] Civil works and deep-access installation: structural reinforcement, elevator/hoist and shaft reinforcement; includes engineering and certification for regular descent.
Deep Access Installation $12.0M
[#5] One-time installation of the elevator/hoist/rigging, structural reinforcement of shaft mouth and certification for personnel descent.
Equipment $10.8M
[#2, #6, #9, #12, #14, #19, #20] Perimeter hardware and vehicles, mapping hardware, compute cluster/storage, one-off secure transfer, helicopter capex, secure comms setup, archival hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10.5M
[#8, #25] Imaging/sensing hardening R&D program initial funding and initial tranche for the long-term interdisciplinary decoding program and related lab buildout.
Long Term Program Initial Commitment $7.5M
[#25] Initial multi-year program commitment tranche for the multi-year decoding/documentation campaign (first-year capital/program funding).
Perimeter Hardware And Vehicles $3.0M
[#2] Initial hardened fencing, sensors, thermal/IR cameras, patrol vehicle fleet and armory hardware (initial procurement).
Imaging Hardening Rnd $3.0M
[#8] Initial R&D program to harden imaging/sensing systems and create analogue/non-electronic recording solutions (prototype development cost).
Mapping And Remote Hardware $2.0M
[#6] LiDAR rigs, GPR, seismic arrays, tethered drones and fiber-optic mapping line procurement (initial).
Compute Cluster And Storage $1.0M
[#9] One-time secure GPU cluster, secure offline backup appliances and initial software licensing procurement.
Secure Comms Setup $350K
[#19] One-time secure communications and initial crypto/OPSEC equipment setup.
Archival Setup $325K
[#20] One-time analog/physical archive setup (film, microfiche, secure off-site bunkers).
Inter Site Transfer One Off $100K
[#12] Occasional one-off secure transfer costs (initial/contingent shipments).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $50.0M/yr
Staff Wages $16.5M/yr
[#1, #3, #10] Security payroll (multi-shift ~165 guards including benefits), research/technical/admin payroll (~40–60 professionals), and manual recreation/drafting team salaries.
Local Mitigation And Compensation $15.0M/yr
[#17] Payments, compensations, MOUs, environmental remediation and economic mitigation to shut down mining operations and prevent exposure; dominant and highly variable cost driver.
Research And Monitoring $5.2M/yr
[#4, #11, #25] Monthly sanctioned excursion operations (midpoint), linguistics/philological program annual budget, and annualized multi-year program running costs.
Operational Contingency Reserve $4.0M/yr
[#22] Annual contingency reserve (10–20% of operating budget) set aside for insurance, political risk and emergency response.
Facilities Maintenance $2.0M/yr
[#15, #16] Utilities, site-wide HVAC/power/waste and recurring civil maintenance and road/structure upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $1.8M/yr
[#18, #21] Public relations, misinformation/signage, FOIA/press management, and legal retainers / compliance liaison budgets.
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#12, #14] Helicopter/airlift annual ops/charter and recurring secure transfer/climate-controlled transport costs.
Sacrificial Equipment Replacement $600K/yr
[#7] Regular replacement budget for destroyed/damaged electronics, cameras and specialized sensors used at the basin.
Compute And Licenses $550K/yr
[#9] Ongoing power/cooling/maintenance, software licensing and support for warehouse.aic compute and secure storage.
Medical And Psych Support $550K/yr
[#13] On-site emergency medical team readiness, trauma care readiness, counseling and long-term psychological support.
Mapping Replacement And Consumables $500K/yr
[#6] Replacement of expendable sensors, sacrificial tethered sensors, GPR/LiDAR consumables and expendable drones.
Deep Access Maintenance $450K/yr
[#5] Recurring inspection, certification and maintenance of elevator/hoist/rigging systems and fall-arrest equipment.
Imaging Hardening Follow On $400K/yr
[#8] Follow-on R&D, prototype iterations and continued engineering countermeasures to harden capture systems.
Classified Comms And Opsec $400K/yr
[#19] Ongoing secure communications support, continuous vetting, background checks and counterintelligence posture.
Perimeter Maintenance And Fuel $300K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance, replacement parts, vehicle fuel and consumables for perimeter systems and fleet.
Supplies And Consumables $235K/yr
[#24, #10] Drafting materials, film, inks, batteries, gas, rope, spare parts and small consumables for mapping and recreations.
Training And Onboarding $125K/yr
[#23] Personnel training, Ecdysis Timeline briefings, simulations and specialized hazard/onboarding training.
Archival Preservation $100K/yr
[#20] Recurring preservation, climate control and off-site archival rotation for analog backups.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $50.0M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, monthly excursions and normal replacement/maintenance.
no major incidents scheduled excursions only steady-state staffing and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $51.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized equipment loss or medical/rescue incident requiring expedited replacement and emergency response.
equipment destruction during imaging single casualty or extraction expedited replacement and medevac charters
🚨 Major Breach $60.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or attack on Site-39 requiring large-scale recovery, replacement, and legal/medical response.
armed engagement at perimeter multiple casualties or major infrastructure damage extended recovery and rebuild operations
🚨 Political Exposure $80.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Political/legal exposure or forced large-scale economic mitigation causing multi-million annual payouts and reputational containment operations.
public disclosure or legal challenge forcing mining compensation regional political pressure major FOIA/legal escalation
👥 Personnel 254 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 165 [#1] Perimeter staffing to maintain a constant perimeter of no less than 50 personnel requires multi-shift coverage (165 = midpoint staffing estimate).
Research Scientist 50 [#3, #11] Linguists, archaeologists, geologists and specialist researchers (midpoint estimate of 40–60).
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#5, #16] Structural, elevator/hoist, and site maintenance engineering staff for deep-access and civil works upkeep.
Medical Officer 6 [#13] On-site emergency medical and psychological support staff (multidisciplinary medevac readiness).
Administrative Staff / Site Director / Executive Staff 8 [#3, #21] Site leadership, administration, legal liaison and compliance staff.
Artists / Draftspeople 9 [#10] Manual recreation and documentation team (midpoint 6–12).
Data / AI Specialists 6 [#9] warehouse.aic operators, data scientists and IT/sysadmin to run secure compute and analyses.
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide ranges in the analyst notes (especially item #17: local mitigation/cover costs) and the anomalous failure modes of equipment create high uncertainty; many line items are order-of-magnitude estimates rather than measured budgets.
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