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SCP-829 Safe-Kerveni ~ medium confidence
SCP-829
Expected annual
$4.8M
One-time setup
$11.4M
Annual recurring
$4.7M
Personnel
22
Initial one-time containment and research setup is estimated at approximately $11.38M, driven by hangar construction, lab equipment, and amnesticization; recurring annual costs are about $4.665M, driven by staff wages, ongoing research, security payroll, and facility utilities.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.4M
Facilities $6.0M
[#1] Concrete-lined aircraft hangar construction/modification sized for a Concorde with heavy lining, foundation/site prep and specialized floors.
Amnesticization Program $2.0M
[#21] Amnesticization program for flight personnel and passengers (medical personnel, pharmaceuticals, false records, post-op monitoring) estimated for ~100–120 subjects.
Equipment $1.6M
[#2, #4, #5, #7, #14, #26] Hangar HVAC and environmental control installation (#2); custom containment vessel for SCP-829-B (#4); inert-atmosphere installation (#5); environmental monitoring/sensor network installation (#7); security infrastructure initial installation (#14); secure servers/offsite encrypted backups hardware portion (#26).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $950K
[#9] High-containment analytical lab equipment (rheometer, GC-MS, LC-MS, sequencer, sterile hood, biosafety cabinet) for characterization of SCP-829-B.
Legal Cover Initial Setup $350K
[#24] Legal/cover/front-company initial setup: establishing shell companies, forged/maintained records, PR narrative setup.
Initial Transport And Placement $288K
[#17] Initial transport, relocation and secure placement of the Concorde into containment (heavy-lift/tow, specialized supports/cradle, escorts).
Webcrawler Initial Development $150K
[#22] Webcrawler / internet cover-up development (initial): infrastructure & tooling for automated content replacement and sanitization.
Initial Training And Clearance $65K
[#27] Training, security clearances and drills for Level-3+ personnel (initial vetting, scenario drills, SOP development).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.7M/yr
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #23] Research staffing (polymer chemists, molecular biologists, materials scientists) (#11); technical & operations staff (technicians, containment engineers, avionics/mechanical technician) (#12); 24/7 physical security staffing (armed guards, shift coverage) (#13); web/OSINT team staff to run cover-up operations (#23).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#10, #30] Ongoing R&D / consumables for polymer/DNA analysis (#10); long-term research program / contingency R&D fund for multi-year studies and inhibitor development (#30).
Facilities Maintenance $508K/yr
[#3, #15, #16] Ongoing energy and HVAC operating costs for hangar (#3); security infrastructure maintenance & licensing (#15); aircraft conservation and periodic maintenance (#16).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#25] Ongoing legal/PR and contingency fund for leak remediation, legal fees, settlements, targeted publicity campaigns and emergency payouts (#25).
Supplies And Consumables $182K/yr
[#18, #19, #29] Biohazard waste disposal and decontamination services (#18); PPE, decon suites and consumables (#19); spare parts and preservation spares (#29).
Emergency Response Retainer $162K/yr
[#20] Emergency response / remediation retainer: contracted hazardous-materials response team and on-call neutralization capability; retainer costs (incident activation costs are additional, scenario-dependent).
Ongoing Training And Recetification $50K/yr
[#28] Ongoing training, recertification and psychological monitoring for staff.
Sensor Maintenance And Telemetry $32K/yr
[#8] Sensor/network maintenance, calibration and telemetry costs: routine calibration, sensor replacement, telemetry/data fees and storage for logs.
Secure Data Recurring $18K/yr
[#26] Ongoing secure data infrastructure and records storage recurring costs (encrypted backups, offsite storage, chain-of-custody logging).
Inert Atmosphere Operational Gas $12K/yr
[#6] Recurring consumable gases, replacement supply and atmosphere maintenance for containment (nitrogen/argon).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.7M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with standard containment, research, and maintenance operations.
no containment failure routine operations only
🚨 Minor Incident $4.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized polymerization event or small containment breach requiring retainer activation, overtime, and limited remediation.
small leak localized contamination retainer activation
🚨 Major Breach $9.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure with widespread polymerization, loss of personnel/samples, large-scale remediation and expanded amnesticization/legal response.
rapid polymerization containment system failure mass remediation
🚨 Political Exposure $7.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Public exposure or high-profile leak requiring widespread amnesticization, legal settlements, and an intensified cover-up campaign.
media leak FOIA/litigation pressure mass public attention
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#11] Polymer chemists, molecular biologists, materials scientists — staffing level estimated from recurring research staffing budget.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#12, #29] Technicians, containment engineers, avionics/mechanical technicians responsible for containment systems, avionics preservation and spare parts maintenance.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#13, #15] 24/7 on-site security staffing with shift coverage; number approximated from recurring security payroll.
Web/OSINT Analyst 3 [#22, #23] Web/OSINT team to run cover-up operations and ongoing monitoring; initial development is one-time and ongoing staffing is recurring.
Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison 2 [#24, #25] Staff handling front-company maintenance, FOI requests, liaison with legal/PR contractors; recurring legal/PR costs cover fees beyond staffing.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst-provided ranges and map each numbered line item; uncertainty remains due to site selection, unknown reactivity/volume of SCP-829-B, and potential scaling if polymerization proves more active, so confidence is medium.
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