SCP-833 — SCP-833 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-833 Euclid ~ medium confidence

SCP-833

Expected annual

$3.1M

One-time setup

$4.3M

Annual recurring

$3.1M

Personnel

Initial containment and research build-out is capital-intensive (~$4.3M one-time) driven by dedicated containment suites, research setup, and a possible eradication campaign; recurring annual costs (~$3.08M) are driven mainly by staff wages, secure food procurement/transport, and ongoing research/monitoring.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.3M

Eradication Campaign $2.0M

[#25] Optional one-time local eradication campaign (screening, mass treatment, public awareness) mid-range estimate.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $800K

[#12] Research program startup, lab buildout and consumables for year 1 (staffing, sequencing, consumables) to characterize secretions and transmission mechanics.

Diagnostic Dev $400K

[#13] Advanced diagnostic development and validation (assay development/regulatory overhead).

Facilities $300K

[#1] Dedicated 4-bed isolation/quarantine suite with HVAC modification, airtight doors, pass-throughs and signage; mid-range estimate used.

Equipment $250K

[#2] Biosafety laboratory equipment (BSC, autoclave, -80°C freezer, PCR thermocycler, microscopes) for diagnostics and necropsy; mid-range estimate used.

Rapid Response Fund $200K

[#26] Seed fund for immediate mobilization (air travel, emergency kits, rapid deploy supplies).

Biohazard Transport Vehicle $120K

[#20] Purchase/lease capex for a dedicated biohazard ambulance/secure transfer vehicle (one unit).

Training And Sop Development $80K

[#11] Initial SOP development and staff training for medium site containment and food-control protocols.

Waste Disposal Setup $60K

[#3] On-site autoclave setup and partnered incineration planning/setup for infected tissues and contaminated materials.

Surveillance Upgrade $50K

[#9] CCTV and monitoring upgrades to support increased surveillance and two-person checks; one-time equipment upgrade.

Records System Setup $50K

[#23] LIMS / secure medical records and chain-of-custody system setup.

Anthelmintic Initial Stockpile $20K

[#7] Initial stockpile purchase to cover site + contingency (approx. 200 courses at $100/course).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.1M/yr

Staff Wages $960K/yr

[#8, #9, #26] On-site medical payroll (ID specialist, physicians, nurses) plus additional security guard salaries and standby/rapid-response team staffing.

Research And Monitoring $600K/yr

[#12] Ongoing research program costs (staff, consumables, sequencing, advanced analyses) to characterize secretion and develop countermeasures.

Secure Food Procurement $500K/yr

[#4] Contracted procurement of pre-sterilized/irradiated meals or MRE supplier to eliminate tainted-meat transmission risk for site staff.

Logistics And Transport $220K/yr

[#5, #20] Recurring secure food transport (vehicle lease/driver/security) and contracted biohazard transfer operations.

Insurance And Indemnity Reserve $200K/yr

[#24] Annual set-aside toward indemnity/reserve for accidental civilian exposures and potential settlements.

Diagnostic Screening $160K/yr

[#6] Routine surveillance testing (e.g., monthly PCR for 100 staff + baseline serology).

Psychological Services $60K/yr

[#22] Counseling, EAP, and periodic psychiatric screening for staff welfare.

Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr

[#17] Annual legal/PR retainer and small recurring budget for media control / preparedness to manage exposure risk.

Restraint And Observation $50K/yr

[#10] Intermittent 1: 1sitter costs, high-observation rooms, and behavioral health staffing budget for acute cases.

Administrative Overhead $50K/yr

[#27] Procurement, compliance audits, permits, and administrative costs.

Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr

[#15] Routine PPE, gowns, disinfectants, consumables for a ~100-person site.

Decontamination Disposal $35K/yr

[#3] Contract incineration / medical waste disposal recurring costs for infected tissues and contaminated materials.

Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr

[#1, #16] Ongoing HVAC/HEPA/negative-pressure maintenance and increased utility costs (including freezer power).

Training Refresher $30K/yr

[#11] Annual refresher training and drills for staff (biohazard handling, food-control SOPs, breach exercises).

Records System Maintenance $30K/yr

[#23] Annual maintenance, security updates, and compliance for LIMS/medical records and chain-of-custody databases.

Diagnostic Tests Production $20K/yr

[#13] Per-test production / consumables once rapid tests have been developed (supplement to screening costs).

Cremation And Disposal $15K/yr

[#19] Routine expected cremation/body disposal costs for infected/terminated individuals (per-year baseline for small numbers of cases).

Anthelmintic Replenishment $10K/yr

[#7] Annual rotation/replenishment of drug stockpile and pharmacy management.

Sample Shipping $5K/yr

[#14] Cold-chain shipments of clinical/research samples to central labs (dry ice, courier, documentation).

Amnestic Readiness $5K/yr

[#18] Minimal ongoing readiness for amnestic procurement/oversight if occasionally used; per-incident costs handled separately.

Termination Logistics Reserve $5K/yr

[#21] Small annual reserve for termination logistics (sedatives, personnel time, disposal) when authorized.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.1M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with routine screening, secure food procurement, and no major incidents.

routine_operations no_breach scheduled_research_activity

🚨 Minor Incident $3.2M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Small on-site cluster detected requiring surge testing, overtime, temporary quarantine and extra disposal.

cluster_of_infections surge_testing temporary_quarantine

🚨 Major Breach $4.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Containment breach with civilian exposures, large-scale treatment, legal/PR response, amnestic use and indemnities.

civilian_exposure mass_treatment litigation_and_settlements

🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $4.1M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Discovery requiring rapid scale-up of R&D and production of diagnostics/therapeutics (clinical trials, manufacturing scale-up).

promising_antagonist need_for_large_scale_trials production_scale_up

👥 Personnel 14 total

Role	Count	Notes
Infectious Disease Specialist	1	[#8] Senior specialist for diagnosis and treatment oversight; salary included in staff_wages.
Physician / Medical Officer	2	[#8] General physicians for clinical care; salaries included in staff_wages.
Nurse	4	[#8] Nursing staff for monitoring and treatment administration; salaries included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	4	[#9] Additional guards for monitoring and food protocol enforcement; salaries included in staff_wages.
Rapid Response / Standby Team	3	[#26] Standby staff for breach response; portion of salaries included in staff_wages.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing a reasonable mid-range estimate, but many items (legal exposure, eradication scope, research ambition) have wide ranges and high uncertainty.

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