SCP-8361 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8361
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
9
One-time setup costs (~$1.75M) are dominated by potential long-term facility upgrade and containment-related buildouts; recurring annual costs (~$1.17M/yr) are driven by security staffing, research/monitoring, and medical standby/oversight.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Facilities $1.1M
[#4, #13, #14, #23] Structural floor reinforcement (#4), on-site observation room outfitting (#13), secure holding/containment buildout (#14), and contingency long-term facility upgrade/retrofit if reclassification is required (#23).
Incident Reserve $200K
[#16] Contingency reserve fund for emergency incidents, overtime, emergency transport, temporary lockdowns and cleanup.
Artifact Acquisition Legal $100K
[#1] Legal work for acquisition/loan agreements, cover payments to museum/Mexican authorities, contracts, translation, and one-time diplomatic liaison expenses.
Equipment $95K
[#3, #5, #9, #10] Custom display case/plinth and anchoring (#3), environmental control install/conservation assessment (#5), video surveillance initial install (#9), and proximity enforcement hardware/stanchions (#10).
Repatriation Planning $80K
[#17] One-time budget for planning and logistics of eventual return to Mexico (crate, transport, diplomatic coordination, paperwork, restitution).
Legal Ethics Setup $75K
[#15] One-time setup costs for legal counsel, human-subject protocol setup, and ethics board coordination.
Initial Transport $35K
[#2] Custom crating, art-handling, secure insured transport (ground or air), customs paperwork and temporary storage fees for initial transfer.
Personnel Vetting $15K
[#19] Deep background checks and initial vetting for ~15-person core access staff.
Public Relations Setup $5K
[#20] One-time PR/cover story setup and exhibit-facing materials.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $550K/yr
[#7, #8, #11, #13] Museum security reimbursement/augmentation (3 guards) (#7), Foundation covert security detail and monitoring (#8), visitor management/crowd-control staffing (#11), and on-site medical staffing/imaging access standby (#13).
Research And Monitoring $510K/yr
[#12, #18, #22] Periodic research access campaigns and mobile lab mobilization (#12), data management/archival/forensic tools and storage (#18), and primary multi-year scientific program to study specificity (genetics/biomarkers/cohort studies) (#22).
Cover Story And Legal $43K/yr
[#15, #20, #24] Ongoing legal counsel and ethics board reviews (#15), public relations/cover story upkeep for hosting museum (#20), and insurance/indemnity/host institution risk mitigation (#24).
Facilities Maintenance $39K/yr
[#9, #10, #14] Video surveillance licenses/maintenance and analytics (#9), proximity zone upkeep and sensor maintenance (#10), and secure holding/containment upkeep/oversight (#14).
Supplies And Consumables $22K/yr
[#6, #21, #25] Ongoing environmental control energy & consumables (#6), conservator periodic visits and maintenance supplies (#21), and routine miscellaneous operating consumables/travel/PPE (#25).
Personnel Training $10K/yr
[#19] Annual recurrent training, emergency drills, and refresher vetting support for access staff.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations: security, scheduled research access, maintenance, and periodic conservator visits with no significant incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Minor public incident or attempted theft resulting in temporary lockdown, overtime, limited forensic work, and PR/legal response.
attempted_theft public_incident small_breach_response
🚨 Major Breach $1.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant breach, theft attempt or exposure event requiring extended emergency response, forensics, medical treatment, repatriation logistics and substantial legal action.
organized_theft large_scale_breach medical_emergency
🚨 Forced Repatriation Or Containment Upgrade $2.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Decision/event forces return to Mexico or removal to a fully secure Foundation facility, triggering major one-time repatriation and facility upgrade/retrofit costs.
reclassification geopolitical_change artifact_escalation
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#8] Foundation covert security detail and covert monitoring (salaries, travel, standby overtime).
Security Officer / Museum Guard 3 [#7] Museum security reimbursement/augmentation (discreet control, after-hours checks) — estimated 3 guards incl. benefits.
Medical Officer 2 [#13] On-site medical/observation capability and standby EMT/medical personnel during access; imaging access coordination.
Visitor Management / Floor Staff 1 [#11] Additional floor staff to enforce the exclusion zone and manage crowds during open hours.
📋 Confidence Notes
Core operational and one-time setup figures are reasonably well-specified by the analyst notes (security, transport, display). Confidence is reduced by wide uncertainty in research program scope/cost (item #22) and the conditional long-term facility upgrade (item #23), both of which could change costs by orders of magnitude.
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