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SCP-8389 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8389
Expected annual
$39.1M
One-time setup
$128.2M
Annual recurring
$38.4M
Personnel
315
Estimated one-time capital requirements are approximately $128.2M, driven primarily by land control, facility construction, and remediation/contingency reserves. Annual operating costs are roughly $38.35M/yr, dominated by personnel (security + specialists), ongoing surveillance/transport ops, legal/PR/insurance, and recurring remediation/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $128.2M
Facilities $87.0M
[#2, #4, #8, #16, #20] Land acquisition (~$58M), perimeter fencing (~$5M), on-site containment compound (~$12M), contingency for eradication/engineering (~$10M), manor stabilization & secure storage (~$2M).
Equipment $19.5M
[#5, #6, #7, #9, #12, #18, #19, #25] Remote surveillance towers (~$5M), long-range drone fleet (~$5M), UGV/robotics (~$3M), power infrastructure hardware (~$750k), PPE pool (~$1.5M), transport fleet (~$2.5M), communications/IT hardware (~$1M), miscellaneous small capital (~$750k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $7.5M
[#11, #13, #24] Initial research equipment and lab setup (~$1M), mass amnestic production & storage setup (~$500k), and initial long-term R&D program funding (~$6M).
Long Range Exclusion And Government Liaison $5.0M
[#3] Initial legal/sovereignty/exclusion-zone negotiations, restricted airspace arrangements and political/PR startup costs (~$5M initial).
Insurance And Legal Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#23] Reserve for liability, diplomatic incidents, litigation risk (~$5M).
Emergency Reserve Equipment $2.0M
[#17] Ready-to-deploy reserve equipment cache for rapid MTF mobilization (~$2M).
Public Relations And Compensation Fund $2.0M
[#21] Initial compensation and PR coffers to mitigate tourism/economic impact (~$2M).
Training Program Setup $200K
[#22] Initial setup for training, rotation scheduling, medical/psychological screening programs (~$200k).
Assumptions And Scope $0
[#1] Assumptions and scope notes; no direct cost assigned.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $38.4M/yr
Staff Wages $29.1M/yr
[#10, #11] Security/patrol force loaded cost (300 personnel × ~$90k ≈ $27M/yr) plus specialist research salaries (~15 staff × ~$140k ≈ $2.1M/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $2.0M/yr
[#3, #14, #21, #23] Government liaison renewals (~$500k/yr), public containment/legal costs (~$500k/yr), PR/tourism mitigation ongoing (~$500k/yr), insurance/premiums (~$500k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $1.9M/yr
[#12, #13, #15, #25] PPE servicing & consumables (~$100k/yr), amnestic stockpile replacement (~$250k/yr), decontamination/botanical mitigation campaign baseline (~$1,000,000/yr), miscellaneous consumables/spare parts (~$500k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#11, #24] Ongoing research consumables and monitoring (~$200k/yr) and long-term R&D program (~$1.2M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $1.4M/yr
[#6, #18] Drone flight operations/ops & maintenance (~$800k/yr) and transport fleet fuel/maintenance (~$600k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $1.2M/yr
[#5, #7, #9, #20] Tower & sensor maintenance/comm links (~$500k/yr), UGV/robotics maintenance (~$300k/yr), power fuel/maintenance (~$300k/yr), manor building maintenance (~$100k/yr).
Emergency Reserve Replenishment $500K/yr
[#17] Annual replenishment/readiness of emergency reserve and expendables (~$500k/yr).
Communications And It Ops $500K/yr
[#19] Ongoing satellite links, data storage, secure comms and cybersecurity operations (~$500k/yr).
Training And Medical Monitoring $400K/yr
[#22] Recurring training, rotations, medical monitoring and psychological support (~$400k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $38.4M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major breaches or escalatory remediation; routine operations only.
no breaches routine maintenance and monitoring normal staffing rotations
🚨 Minor Incident $40.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Localized breach/trespass or small-scale exposure requiring MTF response, extra amnestics, decontamination campaign and legal processing.
trespasser incidents localized contamination amnestics & legal actions
🚨 Major Breach $61.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$23.0M vs baseline
Large-scale breach or decision to aggressively eradicate/engineer the site, triggering heavy remediation, legal payouts and broad emergency mobilization.
widespread public exposure decision to perform aggressive eradication international/legal incident
👥 Personnel 315 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 260 [#10] Core MTF/security roster assigned to perimeter patrols and rapid response (subset of the 300 security estimate).
Local Guard / Security Contractor 30 [#10] Local liaison guards and gate personnel (part of the 300 security estimate).
Dispatchers / Administrative Staff 10 [#10] Dispatch, scheduling, admin supporting security operations (count included in the security/300 pool).
Research Scientist 10 [#11] Research scientists (part of the 15 specialist staff accounted for in recurring research salaries).
Lab Technician 3 [#11] Technical support for lab work and sample processing (part of the 15 specialist staff).
Medical Officer 2 [#11] Medical staff for treatment and amnestic administration (part of the 15 specialist staff).
Engineer / Maintenance 5 [#7, #9, #18] Technical maintenance staff for power systems, UGVs/robots, vehicles and facility upkeep (included in operating budgets).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided conservative midpoints and typical unit costs, but key uncertainties remain (actual land prices, political costs of large exclusion zones, efficacy and scale of eradication programs, and anomalous behavior of SCP-8389). These produce moderate uncertainty in both one-time and recurring lines.
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