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SCP-8448 Dream ~ medium confidence
SCP-8448
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$5.3M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
12
Initial one-time setup costs are dominated by potential advanced neuroimaging purchase and contingency reserves (~$5.35M one-time). Annual operating costs are roughly $1.36M/yr driven primarily by research/staff salaries, security, and ongoing monitoring/data infrastructure.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.3M
Advanced Neuroimaging Inhouse Purchase $3.5M
[#3] Option: in-house fMRI/MEG purchase and install (midpoint of $2M–$5M range). Included as a selectable one-time capital expense.
Program Contingency Reserve $625K
[#24] One-time reserve fund for unexpected anomalous behavior and rapid extraordinary procurement (midpoint $250k–$1,000k).
Facilities $300K
[#1, #14, #15] Secure sleep/isolation room build-out plus facility security upgrades (installation) and backup power installation; sums midpoint estimates for build-out, security upgrade, and generator/UPS installation.
Contingency Invasive Intervention $300K
[#18] Contingency fund for invasive neurosurgical monitoring/implant procedures (midpoint of $100k–$500k).
Legal Initial Setup $275K
[#11, #12] One-time legal / compliance / containment plan setup, contracts, emergency authorizations and initial counsel (midpoint of $50k–$500k).
Equipment $272K
[#2, #4, #5] PSG/clinical sleep-lab equipment, neurostimulation units, and initial data/analysis workstation & server setup (one-time component).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#20] Initial training, protocol development, and lab-specific SOP creation / initial staff training build-out.
Relocation And Identity Setup $28K
[#19] One-time relocation/identity/lifestyle setup for subject removal from public life (midpoint $5k–$50k).
Decommissioning And Medical Waste Disposal $15K
[#23] End-of-program decommissioning, biohazard disposal and secure data destruction (midpoint $5k–$25k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $860K/yr
[#6, #7] Salaries for dedicated research & clinical personnel (PI, postdocs, techs, clinician) plus 24/7 security/night-shift monitoring (guards + on-call clinician); midpoint sums of ranges.
Research And Monitoring $165K/yr
[#3, #5, #16, #10, #20] Ongoing outsourced neuroimaging scans, data storage/maintenance, software/licenses/compute, psychotherapy/subject support, and annual refresher training costs (annual midpoints).
Logistics And Transport $122K/yr
[#22, #19] Emergency rapid-response team & on-call crisis fund and ongoing relocation/subject support (annual maintenance/support costs).
Supplies And Consumables $72K/yr
[#8, #17, #9] EEG electrodes/consumables, experimental consumables/participant incentives, and pharmacological stockpile/administration operating costs (annual midpoints summed).
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#11, #13] Ongoing legal counsel, PR retainer, cover-story maintenance and media/FOIA response (midpoint of $20k–$100k).
Insurance And Overhead $55K/yr
[#21] Insurance, institutional overhead, regulatory & compliance fees (annual midpoint of $10k–$100k).
Advanced Neuroimaging Outsourced Scans $35K/yr
[#3] If in-house MRI/MEG is not purchased: budget for outsourced scans (assumes ~20 sessions/yr at midpoint per-scan cost).
Facilities Maintenance $21K/yr
[#14, #15] Ongoing security system maintenance and backup power fuel/service (midpoints of listed ranges).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, therapy, scheduled scans, and no major incidents.
routine_monitoring scheduled_research_sessions
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$65K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring increased emergency response, short-term legal/PR work, added clinical hours, and extra scans.
acute_subject_crisis limited unauthorized access urgent external scans or treatments
🚨 Major Breach $2.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$715K vs baseline
Significant containment failure, public exposure, or anomalous propagation requiring large-scale legal action, expanded security, and emergency clinical interventions.
public_disclosure anomalous_propagation major_containment_breach
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / PI 1 [#6] Principal Investigator leading program (senior salary component included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist / Postdoc 2 [#6] Two postdoctoral-level researchers / research scientists for experiment design and analysis.
Sleep Technician 2 [#6] Two full-time sleep technicians for overnight monitoring and PSG setup.
Psychiatrist / Psychologist (clinical) 1 [#6, #7] One part-time clinician on staff (counted as one headcount; part-time status noted) for therapy and on-call crisis support.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#7] 24/7 security coverage (night-shift guards + rotations) accounted in security wage estimates.
Data Analyst / IT 1 [#5, #16] One IT/data analyst for secure servers, backups, and analysis workstation maintenance.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#15, #14] Single engineer/maintenance staff for UPS/generator, facility/security systems upkeep.
Administrative Staff 1 [#11, #13] Administrative/legal liaison to coordinate contracts, PR scheduling and compliance paperwork.
📋 Confidence Notes
Midpoint estimates were used for wide ranges in analyst notes; major drivers (neuroimaging purchase vs outsourcing, invasive interventions, and contingency choices) introduce significant uncertainty. Staffing and recurring items are better constrained by provided salary ranges, giving medium confidence overall.
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