SCP-8457 — SCP-8457 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-8457 Tiamat1 ~ medium confidence

SCP-8457

Expected annual

$587.1M

One-time setup

$209.9M

Annual recurring

$86.2M

Personnel

200

One-time capital expenditures ~ $210M driven by facility retrofit, vessels, R&D and an emergency reserve; recurring operations ~ $86M/year driven mainly by staff wages, logistics/raid operations, sensors and legal/cover programs.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $209.9M

Emergency Response Reserve $100.0M

[#21] Liquid contingency/reserve fund for rapid surge operations or large-scale escalation (policy-determined; kept as one-time reserve capitalization).

Equipment $50.4M

[#2, #4, #5, #8, #11, #10, #19, #25, #26, #27] Vessel/submersible/helicopter procurement & modification, specialist capture kits, PPE & decontamination shelters, ISR hardware, cold storage and high-containment cages, interrogation room fit-out, forensic gear, interagency comms setup, public-safety fire-suppression gear, archive hardware.

Facilities $40.0M

[#1] Sea-based Tidewall retrofit / holding facility modifications, one-time legal/lease buyout and structural work.

Portal Detection R And D $10.0M

[#23] R&D into extradimensional access-point signatures and initial geophysical sensor development.

Sensor R And D $5.0M

[#7] R&D capital for field sensors, handheld kits and prototype detection technologies.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.5M

[#6, #17] Laboratory buildout and initial scientific equipment for physiology/genomics work; initial medical/vaccine R&D capital.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $86.2M/yr

Staff Wages $30.0M/yr

[#16, #9] Salaries, hazard pay and insurance for dedicated program staff (MTF operators, scientists, medical, analysts).

Logistics And Transport $18.0M/yr

[#2, #3, #13] Recurring costs for MTF raid logistics, per-raid vessel/airlift/escort operation, evacuations and rehousing events.

Program Overhead $9.2M/yr

[#30] Administrative overhead, HR, procurement and auditing estimated as ~12% of operational recurring budget.

Cover Story And Legal $8.0M/yr

[#12, #14, #28] Amnestics, public relations, legal/diplomatic liaison, indemnities, and major misinformation/PR campaign budgets.

Facilities Maintenance $6.0M/yr

[#1] Tidewall/GOC facility operational lease, utilities, dock operations and on-site staffing/maintenance.

Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr

[#6] Ongoing lab staffing, sequencing, assays, consumables and experiment cycles for physiology/mimicry research.

Satellite Drone Operations $2.4M/yr

[#8] Imagery purchase, bandwidth, drone ops and analyst time for ISR and automated detection.

Replacement And Casualty Compensation $2.0M/yr

[#24] Replacement of destroyed equipment, vehicle losses and casualty payouts/rehab budgets.

Capture Equipment Replenishment $1.2M/yr

[#4] Per-raid replenishment for nonlethal capture tech (nets, sedatives, crates) averaged across expected raid frequency.

Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr

[#18, #5] Monthly consumables: reagents, PPE replacements, sedatives, fuel, batteries; recurring PPE cleaning/replacement.

Sensor Deployment Maintenance $1.2M/yr

[#7] Ongoing maintenance, calibration and replacement for deployed detection sensors and handheld kits.

Interrogation Program $600K/yr

[#10] Staffing, medical checks, psychological safeguards and equipment operation costs for single-interviewer interrogation protocol.

Waste Management $600K/yr

[#20] Secure biohazard disposal, incineration, autoclave operation and offshore waste handling.

Medical Supply And Monitoring $500K/yr

[#17] Vaccines/prophylactic supply chains, exposure monitoring and occupational health follow-up.

Long Term Monitoring $500K/yr

[#22] Surveillance and medical follow-up of released or returned civilian cohorts.

Portal Sensors Maintenance $500K/yr

[#23] Site maintenance for deployed extradimensional-access sensors and periodic re-surveys.

Psychological Operations $500K/yr

[#28] Targeted misinformation budgets and media buys for incident-level cover and narrative control.

Training And Drills $500K/yr

[#15] Joint MTF/GOC training cycles, regional exercises and recurring drills to standardize procedures.

Secure Comms Maintenance $250K/yr

[#25] Encrypted comms, secure database maintenance, incident-response software subscriptions and audits.

Evidence Storage Maintenance $200K/yr

[#11] Cold storage maintenance, monitoring, sedation meds and life-support consumables for captive specimens.

Archive Maintenance $150K/yr

[#27] Secure data center operations, redundancy, retention and secure destruction protocols.

Forensic Operations $60K/yr

[#19] Routine forensic testing, DNA swabs, biometric confirmations and lab ops.

Public Safety Readiness $50K/yr

[#26] Annual readiness, training and small consumable replacement for fire-safety and public-health mitigation.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $86.2M/yr

90.9% probability / year

Normal operational year with scheduled raids, research, and maintenance; no major containment failures.

routine_raids ongoing_R&D regular_evacuations

🚨 Minor Incident $91.2M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Localized unexpected costs from a damaging raid or high-profile extraction requiring additional vessel charters, legal/PR response and reparations.

raid_damage unexpected_high-profile_extraction

🚨 Major Breach $136.2M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline

Significant containment breach or established multi-hive foothold requiring surge operations, large-scale evacuations and accelerated R&D.

multi-hive_establishment mass_infiltration surge_response

🚨 Catastrophic Spread $500.1B/yr

0.1% probability / year +$500.0B vs baseline

Uncontrolled spread / large-scale infiltration requiring national-to-global military mobilization, eradication campaigns and existential-scale mitigation.

widespread_infiltration loss_of_containment

👥 Personnel 200 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	120	[#16, #3] Front-line operators and raid teams sized to support frequent capture operations and rapid-response.
Research Scientist	25	[#6, #17] Lab staff for physiology, genomics, and vaccine/R&D.
Medical Officer	10	[#5, #17] Clinical staff for exposures, amnestic administration monitoring and long-term health tracking.
Intelligence Analyst	20	[#9] Analysts, linguists and cultural experts to trace infiltrations and process interrogation outputs.
Engineer / Maintenance	10	[#25, #8] Technical staff for facility, vessel and sensor maintenance.
Administrative Staff	5	[#30] Program management, procurement and HR.
Site Director / Executive Staff	1	[#30] Senior oversight for joint Foundation/GOC operations.
MTF Support / Technicians	9	[#4, #8] Techs for capture equipment, drone ops and mission support.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide broad, defensible ranges and many line items but uncertainty remains high for frequency of raids, scale of infiltration and political costs; catastrophic tail risk is poorly quantifiable.

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