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SCP-8490 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-8490
Expected annual
$18.3M
One-time setup
$12.7M
Annual recurring
$17.8M
Personnel
110
Estimated one-time site retrofit and contingency reserves for a medium-sized site are approximately $12.66M; annual recurring operational uplift is approximately $17.76M driven primarily by additional staffing (buddy system and supervisors), hazard pay, and lost productivity. Other notable recurring costs include research/robot ops, consumables (candles/aerosols/scent media), and legal/psychological services.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.7M
Decommissioning Reserve $5.0M
[#28] Reserve for potential site decommissioning, relocation, or long-term mothballing if containment becomes untenable.
Historical Replacement Costs Incurred $2.7M
[#10] Past costs already incurred for replacement/onboarding of 67 assimilated staff (~$2.68M as noted).
Emergency Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#23] One-time contingency reserve and vendor contract setup for large-scale containment failure response.
Equipment $1.1M
[#3, #13, #16] Installation/purchase of aerosol dispensers, initial procurement/development of non-human remote sensing platforms (robots/drones/tethered probes), and wearable device prototypes/basic device purchases.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#12] Initial non-visual/sensor research lab buildout and specialized instrumentation to support LiDAR/IR/seismic/quantum sensor efforts.
Facilities $670K
[#1, #5, #14, #15, #20, #25] Reflective-surface mitigation, fire-safety retrofit, replacement/refurbish of fixtures and furniture, ceiling/lighting adjustments, construction of quarantine vaults, and initial communications/signage installation.
Redundancy And Cross Training Initial $150K
[#19] Initial costs for cross-training and redundancy programs to reduce single-point staffing failures.
Training Program Development $50K
[#8] Initial development of behavioral compliance training modules, certifications, and specialized content.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.8M/yr
Staff Wages $9.3M/yr
[#6, #7, #9] Ongoing salaries/benefits for additional buddy/escort FTEs (~100 FTEs), increased supervisor headcount (4–12; modeled here), and on-site clinical staff salaries.
Hazard Pay Premiums $3.2M/yr
[#26] Ongoing hazard pay / retention premiums (modeled as a 10–30% pay uplift for front-line escorted staff; mid-case used here).
Research And Monitoring $2.1M/yr
[#12, #13] Baseline non-visual research program funding and ongoing maintenance/operations for robotic/sensor platforms.
Lost Productivity $2.0M/yr
[#11] Estimated ongoing productivity hit from restrictions and paranoia (modeled as ~10% of a $20M/yr operational value).
Psychological Services And Claims $300K/yr
[#9] Ongoing psychological monitoring, expanded EAP services, and claims/reserve for workplace accommodations and case management.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#17] Ongoing legal/cover-up, PR, family compensation reserve and classified communications budgets.
Operational Admin Overhead $100K/yr
[#22] Administrative overhead for policy creation, audits, compliance reporting, and enforcement of non-standard restrictions.
Accreditation And Auditing $100K/yr
[#27] Recurring classified audits, interdepartmental coordination, and oversight costs.
Supplies And Consumables $87K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #16] Candles, aerosol cartridges, scented beads/passive scent media, and recurring replacement for low-tech wearable devices/badges.
Facilities Maintenance $80K/yr
[#5, #21] Increased insurance premiums and HVAC-related maintenance/energy due to permitted open-flame devices and scent integration.
Cross Training Ongoing $60K/yr
[#19] Ongoing costs to maintain redundancy and cross-trained teams (refresher training, overtime during cross-training).
Incident Forensics Per Incident $50K/yr
[#18] Average per-year forensic/investigative costs assuming occasional assimilation events; per-event range noted in analyst notes.
Replacement And Repair $50K/yr
[#24] Ongoing replacement/repair budget for equipment damaged by paranoia-driven sabotage or accidents.
Replacement Recruitment And Onboarding $40K/yr
[#10] Expected per-year budget for recruitment/onboarding of replaced assimilated staff (modeled ~1 replacement/year at ~$40k each). Past one-time historical costs recorded separately.
Behavioral Training And Development $30K/yr
[#8] Recurring delivery costs for compliance training refreshers, certification renewals, and retraining cycles.
Quarantine Vault Monitoring $10K/yr
[#20] Ongoing monitoring and maintenance for quarantined storage and evidence handling vaults.
Signage Update $5K/yr
[#25] Recurring updates to internal signage, LED reminders, and messaging.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.8M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with no major assimilation incidents beyond historical steady-state and expected churn.
steady_state_operations routine_replacements scheduled_training_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $18.3M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Single-site assimilation / localized incident requiring recruitment, forensics, and modest legal/operational response.
single_assimilation localized_investigation temporary_productivity_hit
🚨 Major Breach $24.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment failure or rapid multi-person assimilation requiring emergency contingency, possible partial decommissioning, and large-scale rehiring/relocation.
mass_assimilation site_evacuations large_scale_decommissioning
👥 Personnel 110 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 70 [#6] Portion of additional buddy/escort FTEs used to ensure no unaccompanied personnel; salaries included in staff_wages.
Escort / Liaison 30 [#6] Additional escort/liaison FTEs to pair with operational staff; salaries included in staff_wages.
Supervisor / Monitor 8 [#7] Extra supervisors/monitors to enforce behavioral rules and audit compliance; salaries included in staff_wages.
Psychologist / Clinical Staff 2 [#9] On-site clinical staff for monitoring and risk management; partial salary included in staff_wages and services in psychological_services_and_claims.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and a medium-sized (≈200 staff) site model. Many line items have wide ranges and incident frequencies are uncertain (anomalous behavior); this yields moderate confidence in the order-of-magnitude but low precision on specific line items.
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