SCP-8578 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8578
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$3.3M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
12
Initial setup and reserves require a multi-million dollar one-time outlay driven by land acquisition, construction, and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are driven by personnel (including psychic premiums), research/monitoring, and cover-story/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.3M
Facilities $750K
[#2, #3, #6] Entrance closure/civil works (#2), on-site secure storage vault (#3), and on-site buildings & staff accommodation (#6) — structural/construction costs combined.
Incident Insurance Reserve $750K
[#26] Large contingency reserve for catastrophic accidental exposures, litigation, or long-term remediation (#26).
Site Acquisition And Front Company $500K
[#1] Land/lease acquisition in alpine region, front-company incorporation and initial PR/legal/title/environmental assessments (#1).
Heavy Equipment Reserve $500K
[#24] Reserve for heavy equipment rental/purchase (cranes, excavation, contractor standby) for containment escalation (#24).
Equipment $437K
[#4, #5, #9, #12, #15] Non-structural hardware: cave monitoring sensor suite (#4), power generation & comms hardware (#5), security vehicle capex (#9), initial PPE kit (#12), and one-time data/security hardware (#15).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#13] Conservation and analysis equipment / initial specialist contracts for pithos study (#13).
Legal Setup One Time $100K
[#17] One-time legal/setup fees for local counsel, permit setup and initial liaison retainer (#17).
Media Escalation Fund One Time $50K
[#23] One-time escalation/burn fund reserved for immediate PR/controlled-leak operations (#23).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $950K/yr
[#7] Core permanent staffing salaries (site manager, technicians, two researchers, medic/paramedic, security personnel) including employer burdens and hazard pay (#7).
Research And Monitoring $410K/yr
[#13, #14, #25] Ongoing conservation consumables/outsourced tests (#13), active research program/experiments and data analysis (#14), and contracted external specialists per-project (#25).
Cover Story And Legal $375K/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #23] Front-company operating costs (McGavers Mining payroll/leasing/PR) (#16), ongoing local government/law-enforcement liaison & legal fees (#17), trespasser/civilian incident processing costs (#18), and recurring media/PR contingency spending (#23).
Psychic Staffing Premium $150K/yr
[#8] Additional compensation, recruitment and psychological oversight for class-2+ psychics used in monitoring/communication (#8).
Replacement And Depreciation $125K/yr
[#22] Annual capital replacement fund (8–12% of capex) for cameras, vehicles, generators and building components (#22).
Logistics And Transport $85K/yr
[#9, #10] Recurring patrol vehicle fuel/maintenance and emergency airlift/SAR retainer (helicopter medevac standby) (#9, #10).
Medical Supplies And Reserve $85K/yr
[#11] Consumables (analgesics/IV/sedatives) and contingency reserve for hospitalizations and acute care related to gympie gympie stings or sensory distress (#11).
Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr
[#6] Utilities, winterization, and routine building maintenance for year-round alpine operation (#6).
Staff Training $35K/yr
[#19] Ongoing staff training for gympie gympie handling, psi-protection and psychological counseling/support (#19).
Power And Comms Recurring $30K/yr
[#5] Fuel, generator maintenance, battery replacement and satellite/secure comms fees for remote uplink (#5).
Supplies And Consumables $25K/yr
[#21] General lab reagents, batteries for sensors, spare parts and mapping consumables (#21).
Data Security It $25K/yr
[#15] Ongoing cybersecurity, encrypted comms fees, backups and remote replication costs (#15).
Sensor Maintenance $20K/yr
[#4] Annual maintenance and calibration for thermal/IR cameras, seismic stations, LIDAR and other remote sensors (#4).
Environmental And Botanical Maintenance $18K/yr
[#20] Botanist visits, monitoring and management to keep dendrocnide moroides population undisturbed but contained (#20).
Ppe Replacement $6K/yr
[#12] Periodic replacement of specialized gloves, suits and botanical handling gear (#12).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; recurring monitoring, research, staff rotations and cover-story maintenance.
no breaches routine research expected staff and maintenance cycles
🚨 Minor Incident $2.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized breach or civilian exposure requiring medevac, legal processing, repairs and targeted PR response.
unauthorized civilian breach localized hospitalizations targeted PR/legal payouts
🚨 Major Breach $3.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment incident (e.g., pithos reconstruction-type event, wide-area sensory effects, or exposure requiring heavy equipment and large-scale remediation).
artifact reconstruction or major behavioral change widespread exposure or mass hospitalizations need for heavy equipment/contractors and litigation
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Site Manager 1 Overall site command and liaison (mapped to #7).
Technician / Maintenance 2 Sensor, power and building systems technicians for remote site (mapped to #7, #4, #5, #6).
Research Scientist 2 Researchers conducting conservation and psychic studies (mapped to #7, #13, #14).
Medical Officer 1 Medic/paramedic for on-site emergencies and treatment (mapped to #7, #11).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 Security personnel for site protection and patrols (mapped to #7, #9).
Psychic Operator / Class-2+ Psychic 1 On-roster class-2 psychic used to receive telepathic transmissions (mapped to #8).
Administrative Staff (cover company) 1 Local front-company administrative role for cover operations (mapped to #16).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and sensible ranges, but several large-range contingencies (reserves, insurance, escalation funds) and assumptions about staffing/rotation increase uncertainty; midpoint estimates used where ranges existed.
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