SCP-8600 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8600
Expected annual
$393K
One-time setup
$1.5M
Annual recurring
$357K
Personnel
3
Initial one-time setup and contingency provisioning are the largest upfront costs (~$1.55M), driven by containment/sample vaulting, worst-case recovery reserves, and specialized equipment. Annual operations are modest-to-moderate (~$357k/yr) dominated by personnel (retainer + handler + conservator), travel/logistics for monthly visits, and administrative/IT overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5M
Worst Case Recovery Contingency $1.0M
[#23] Major recovery / full containment contingency reserve for large-scale operations (item #23).
Emergency Extraction Fund $150K
[#15] One-time provisioning of a rapid-response / extraction contingency fund to ensure capacity for at least one deployment (item #15).
Training Program Setup $100K
[#17] Design and initial execution of a candidate identification / training program (item #17).
Facilities $90K
[#10, #11] Vaulting/quarantine storage (item #10) and archival infrastructure (item #11) for secure long-term storage and climate control.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $80K
[#8, #9] Initial digitization and translation program setup (item #8) and secure sample analysis / lab services (item #9).
Equipment $54K
[#5, #6, #7, #21] Ruggedized comms/sensor hardware (item #5), on-site monitoring hardware (item #6), conservation starter kit (item #7), and portable nondestructive analysis equipment (item #21).
Backup Knowledge Capture $50K
[#16] One-time program to record/biometrically capture Bumaro's knowledge (item #16).
It Infrastructure One Time $25K
[#19] Hardened servers/secure infrastructure one-time purchase and redaction/compartmentalization tooling (item #19).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $357K/yr
Staff Wages $210K/yr
[#1, #3, #12] Retainer/compensation for Bumaro (item #1), handler/liaison officer salary (item #3), and part-time conservator salary (item #12).
Administrative Overhead $45K/yr
[#22] Program management, accounting, procurement and other institutional overhead (10–20% applied to annual program cost; item #22).
Logistics And Transport $31K/yr
[#2, #4] Monthly visit travel (item #2) and contracted per-visit security costs (item #4) / associated surface transport and covert lodging.
Cover Story And Legal $22K/yr
[#13, #20] Legal counsel, cover-story maintenance and cultural/diplomatic liaison costs (items #13 and #20).
Research And Monitoring $11K/yr
[#6, #8] Ongoing sensor/data hosting and maintenance (item #6) plus continuing digitization/translation updates and researcher retention (item #8).
It And Cybersecurity $10K/yr
[#19] Ongoing cybersecurity, hardening, redaction workflows, and periodic audits for data and sensor feeds (item #19).
Insurance Liability $10K/yr
[#14] Medical, life, accident, and liability insurance premiums for Bumaro and Foundation personnel (item #14).
Emergency Fund Replenish $10K/yr
[#15] Annual replenishment allocation to maintain rapid-response contingency readiness after use or for inflation (item #15).
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#11] Recurring archival storage, backups, climate monitoring and audits (item #11).
Communications Service $2K/yr
[#5] Monthly data/service plan and maintenance for ruggedized satellite/secure communications (item #5).
Diplomatic Liaison $2K/yr
[#20] Small recurring fund for ad hoc diplomatic costs and culturally sensitive handling when SCP appears in sovereign territory (item #20).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#7] Consumable conservation supplies and routine maintenance replenishment (item #7).
Long Term Research Program $0/yr
[#18] Larger multi-disciplinary research program (item #18) exists as an optional expansion; baseline assumes no funded large program this year.
Backup Knowledge Capture Recurring $0/yr
[#16] Repeat knowledge-capture programs possible but not budgeted in a baseline year (item #16).
Training Program Recurring $0/yr
[#17] Ongoing training costs for candidate cohorts are possible but set to zero in the baseline (item #17).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $357K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with monthly maintenance by Bumaro and routine monitoring; no major incidents or recoveries.
monthly_maintenance_completed no_sample_anomalies no personnel loss or political incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $457K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized anomalous property discovered in sampled material or unexpected changes in murals require targeted analysis, temporary enhanced monitoring, and limited containment measures.
anomalous_sample_detected accelerated mural degradation sensor_alerts requiring forensic analysis
🚨 Political Exposure $557K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
SCP intermittently manifests in a sovereign territory or attention from local authorities requires sustained diplomatic/cover operations and possible buy-off costs.
incident_in_sovereign_territory local_authorities_interest diplomatic_leverage_needed
🚨 Major Recovery Operation $1.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Bumaro compromised or SCP becomes hazardous/accessible to unauthorized parties, triggering a large-scale recovery/recontainment campaign.
loss_of_primary_locator significant_breach_or_hazard large tactical recovery needed
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Primary Access / Maintenance Agent (contracted) - Robert Bumaro 1 [#1] Single individual who knows coordinates and performs monthly maintenance; budgeted as a retainer/compensation (item #1).
Handler / Liaison Officer 1 [#3] One FTE handler to manage scheduling, security briefs, communications and paperwork (item #3).
Research Scientist / Conservator (part-time/contract) 1 [#12] Part-time conservator/consultant for mural/book preservation and treatment oversight (item #12).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges are provided by analysts but many costs depend on uncertain factors (distance/location variability, whether fuladh proves anomalous, and reliance on a single human asset). Estimates use conservative midpoints; uncertainty about incident rates and contingency sizing keeps confidence at medium.
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